Orange AgentBased Model for Mobile Malware

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OrangeAgent-Based Model for Mobile Malware
Interim Meeting Icosystem Corporation May 24,
2006
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Work in Progress

• Finalizing User Interface
• Model Calibration
• Different future scenarios can match the existing
  data
• Analyzing Network characteristics
• Scenarios and Analysis

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Parameter manipulation
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Parameter manipulation

• Change model start and end time
• Number of subscribers
• Initial infection rate
• Background mode
• Model reset

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Parameter manipulation
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Background Mode
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Network Visualization
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Network Visualization
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Calibration - Short Term
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Calibration - Short Term
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Calibration - Short Term
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Calibration - Short Term
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Scenario 1 - What happens a year from now?

• Ran the model from Oct 14th 2005 - Oct 4th 2006
• Virus increasing
• Virus decreasing
• Virus stabilizing

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Number of infections increasing
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Number of infections increasing
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Number of infections increasing
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Number of infections decreasing
Number of infections increasing
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Number of infections decreasing
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Number of infections decreasing
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Number of infections stabilizing
Number of infections increasing
Number of infections decreasing
Number of infections decreasing
Number of infections decreasing
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Number of infections stabilizing
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Number of infections stabilizing
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Parameters impacting virus growth

• Social network structure
• Overall number of edges
• Number of hubs
• Magnitude of difference between hubs and leaves
• Social network parameters are the main difference
  between decreasing and stabilizing
• Reinfection
• The increasing infection occurs only when
  re-infection is possible
• Suggests that protective anti-virus software (vs
  virus removal software) may be important
• Contact rate/transmittability
• Well be examining these more closely for the
  final delivery meeting

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Social network analysis - ongoing
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Social network analysis - ongoing
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Additional Calibration Issues
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Moving Forward

• Calibrated model analysis
• Possible scenario analysis
• Transmittability
• Spread through MMS network
• Final presentation May 31st

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Final Presentation Agenda

• Model description
• Social Network
• CommWarriorB initial and revised behavior and
  analysis
• Calibrated model
• Model demo and movies
• analysis
• Scenarios
• Future Work

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Final Presentation - Issues

• How long of a presentation?
• Phone for Pablo to call in