Darfur Joint Assessment Mission - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Loading...

PPT – Darfur Joint Assessment Mission PowerPoint presentation | free to view - id: 146707-MTc3Y



Loading


The Adobe Flash plugin is needed to view this content

Get the plugin now

View by Category
About This Presentation
Title:

Darfur Joint Assessment Mission

Description:

Scenarios are intended to form a basis for strategic conversation they are a ... More heavy fighting in localised areas of Darfur ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:32
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 11
Provided by: Andre410
Category:

less

Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: Darfur Joint Assessment Mission


1
Darfur Joint Assessment Mission
  • Scenarios for the JAM

2
What are scenarios?
  • A scenario is a story that describes a possible
    future.
  • Building and using scenarios can help people
    explore what the future might look like and the
    likely challenges of living in it.
  • Scenarios are intended to form a basis for
    strategic conversation they are a method for
    considering potential implications of and
    possible responses to different events

3
Why use scenarios?
  • We can use scenarios to think about the uncertain
    aspects of the future that most worry us.
  • To discover the aspects about which we should be
    concerned.
  • How do we react to these issues in our work?

4
How will we use scenarios?
  • Scenarios for Darfur as a whole
  • To be clear to everybody of what we try to do in
    each scenario
  • To guide the Early Recovery Programme
    implementation - what should happen when?
  • Plans A, B and C
  • Scenarios for the JAM Process itself.
  • Methodology
  • Reach and scope of the JAM
  • Security requirements

5
How would scenarios be used in the JAM Document?
  • Situation A
  • Large scale returns happen spontaneously in one
    state
  • Security situation gets gradually better
  • Progress made on DPA institutions
  • Confidence grows over time?
  • Implications for JAM
  • Large scale food security programmes
  • Infrastructure development
  • Humanitarian support to IDPs and refugees as they
    move
  • Reaction to the numbers, through mobilisation of
    resources

6
How would scenarios be used in the JAM Document?
  • Situation B
  • IDPs afraid, so no significant returns
  • Security situation gets progressively worse
  • DPA continues to be under strain
  • Some areas of Darfur could be quiet, while others
    experience extensive fighting
  • Implications for JAM
  • Heavier dependence on humanitarian aid
  • Work on Rule of Law, capacity and institution
    building
  • Limited infrastructure
  • Services continue to be provided in the camps.

7
Scenarios for the JAM process
  • Mixed security picture across Darfur,
    fragmentation, partial implementation of the DPA,
  • Collapse of security on the ground (outside state
    capitals), no efforts towards reconciliation and
    problem solving, DPA implementation slow or
    non-existent
  • Formal end to the peace process

8
JAM scenario 1
  • Current situation
  • Poor security for Darfurians and aid groups
  • Conflict on the ground in many areas
  • Some good will towards peace processes
  • Donor support for JAM process
  • Implications for JAM process
  • Strong Darfur-centered process
  • Build consensus and dialogue on the ground
  • Combination of key informant discussions and
    field visits
  • Close cooperation with agencies, NGOs and civil
    society
  • Field visits allow for a scaling up of needs
    assessment for early recovery for Darfur.

9
JAM scenario 2
  • A future deterioration of the situation on the
    ground
  • Movements of nationals and internationals becomes
    much reduced.
  • Armed groups declare no cooperation with the JAM
  • Tensions between factions and movements rise
  • More heavy fighting in localised areas of Darfur
  • DPA continues to be seen as a possible path
    towards peace / problem solving
  • Implications for JAM process
  • Work limited to state capitals and larger towns
  • Focus more heavily on key informants
  • Identify work that needs to be done later to more
    fully inform the Jam
  • Lesser focus on implementation in the coming
    months.

10
Contingency Planning
  • Defining the main focus or issue (political,
    social, security, ethical)
  • Understanding situation (time, size and scope)
  • Analysing hazards and risks
  • Identifying, defining and prioritizing
    contingencies
  • Developing scenarios for planning process
  • Continuous updating.
About PowerShow.com