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Proposed Revisions to Councils Fuel Price Forecasts

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Proposed Revisions to Council's Fuel Price Forecasts. Natural Gas Advisory Committee ... Revised Natural Gas Price Forecast Compared to Others. Northwest ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Proposed Revisions to Councils Fuel Price Forecasts


1
Proposed Revisions to Councils Fuel Price
Forecasts
  • Natural Gas Advisory Committee
  • June 27, 2007

2
5th Plan Natural Gas PriceCompared to More
Recent
3
5th Plan Natural Gasand Proposed Revision
4
Revised Natural Gas Price Forecast Compared to
Others
5
Natural Gas Price(2006/MMBtu)
6
Western Natural Gas Prices
7
Natural Gas Prices to PNW
8
Basis Differentials
9
West-Side Delivery Cost
10
East-Side Delivery Cost
11
Other Assumptions
  • LCD delivery cost for large customer?
  • Capacity release rates?
  • What share of firm pipeline capacity cost might
    be recovered from release market?
  • Incremental long-term capacity cost?
  • Any firm gas supply premium? Share of firm
    supply for electricity generator?

12
5th Plan Oil Price RangeCompared to Recent
Forecasts
13
Proposed Revisionof Oil Price Forecast
14
Revised Oil Price ForecastCompared to Other
Recent Forecasts
15
World Oil Price(2006/Barrel)
16
Revised Coal Price Forecast Compared to AEO 2007
17
Coal Price Forecast Rangeand Assumed Growth Rates
18
Comparative Fuel PricesIndustrial Sector
19
Historical Comparative Prices
20
Ratio of Real Crude Price Per Barrel to Wellhead
NG Price Per MMBtu
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