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POS 203: 12142006

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Cioffi-Revilla, Claudio and Todd Landman. 1999. ... Terror 99 Website (English/Russian). Co-author, with Yuri Felshtinsky, of 'Blowing-up Russsia. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: POS 203: 12142006


1
POS 203 12/14/2006
  • Course status.
  • Final exam guide discussed at end of class.
  • Paper due today via e-mail before class.
  • Top scoring papers I will sponsor for RU
    library award.
  • Consider submitting as conference papers (e.g.
    ISA).
  • Exam Review Evaluations 1145 gt 1215.
  • Final Exam Tuesday December 19th, 1100-130pm.
  • Grades posted on RU Access 12/28 (early evening).
  • Grades available via e-mail 12/22 (late evening).
  • Course Agenda
  • Lecture/Discussion.
  • Presentations.
  • Extent and limits of empire.
  • Global futures.

2
  • Extra Credit Option Due via e-mail by
    12/20/2006.
  • Write a 2-3 page essay applying concepts from
    reading or lecture to
  • Analyzing a film or video released during this
    semester or clear with Prof. Erickson first.
  • Participation in a political event
    (demonstration, observation, internship, etc.).
  • Political biography (your own)
  • Example. Prof. Ericksons political socialization
    1980-1986.
  • C below 5 points applied to midterm score, 3
    points for second assignment.
  • B 3 points for first assignment, 1 point for
    second.
  • A 3 points for first assignment.
  • Extended extra credit option Due via e-mail by
    12/24/2006 2pm.
  • Movie The Good Shepard (film website/IMDB).
  • Status of Iraq, Polonium-210 investigation, as of
    12/23/2006.
  • Review coverage in major news outlets (web
    based).
  • Predict near future direction of events (to 5
    years out).
  • Use specific concepts from Landman, Hauss, Howe.
  • 4-5 sources.
  • Only essays on above subjects will be accepted on
    12/24.

3
  • Mayan.
  • Cioffi-Revilla, Claudio and Todd Landman. 1999.
    Evolution of Maya polities in the ancient
    Mesoamerican system. International Studies
    Quarterly Dec99, Vol. 43Issue 4.
  • Test theories of rise and fall of Mayan polities.
  • Six year study.
  • 72 polities, over 900bc to 1697ad.
  • Implications.
  • Two periods of expansion and contraction.
  • Political integration and competition problem
    before conquest.
  • Larger-scale organization necessary for growth.
  • Can this model of collapse be extended to empires
    with holdings in Latin America, and Latin
    American nation-states?

4
  • Pre-Conquest/Colombia Polities Mayan Polities
    1.

5
  • Pre-Conquest/Colombia Polities Mayan Polities
    2.

6
  • Pre-Conquest/Colombia Polities Mayan Polities
    3.

7
  • Pre-Conquest/Colombia Polities Mayan Polities
    4.

8
  • Conquest Impact.

9
  • Hauss.
  • Interconnected global crises.
  • Dangers.
  • War and violence.
  • Environmental degradation.
  • Economic interdependence and fragility.
  • Global poverty and inequality.
  • Catastrophic natural and technological disasters.
  • Opportunities.
  • Hauss contrasts old and new modes of thinking.
  • Global democratization.
  • Globalization positive aspects.
  • Technological development.
  • Zero-sum versus positive sum.
  • Howe.
  • Quote p. 128-129.

10
  • Global Futures 1 War, Terror/Counterterror and
    Human Rights.
  • Polonium-210.
  • Alexander V. Litvinenko (NYT).
  • Accused FSB of false flag terror attacks as
    pretext for launching second Chechen War - 1999.
  • Terror 99 Website (English/Russian).
  • Co-author, with Yuri Felshtinsky, of
  • Blowing-up Russsia. Second Edition Acts of
    terror, abductions and contract killings
    organized by the Federal Security Service of the
    Russian Federation.
  • Russian Security Apparatus FSB, MVD, EMERCOM,
    Antiterror.ru roughly equivalent to US
    ready.gov.
  • Russian Political Paranoia (NYT).
  • Polonium-210.
  • What is it? NYT.
  • How to buy it. United Nuclear.
  • Assembling weapon. - Very difficult United
    Nuclear.
  • CNN Video Clip 12/04/2006.

11
  • Homeland Security.
  • 9/11 Public Discourse Project
  • Follow-on to 9/11 Commission
  • Report Card, Iraq War Justification.
  • Interview with Keane and Hamilton.
  • Discourse Project Website.
  • Report Card released 12/05/2005.
  • A year later
  • No follow-up and grades have likely all gotten
    worse.
  • Washington Post 12/01/2006 article on
    commissions, study groups, and lack of response.
  • NBC News (12/04/2006) Is the FBI doing its
    best to combat terrorism? Highest-ranking
    Arab-American agent says no, sues for
    discrimination.

12
  • Global War on Terrorism
  • Militarism and Imperial Overstretch.
  • Permanent superbases in Iraq?
  • Newsweek. (05/01/2006) Stuck in the Hot Zone,
    Don't dream about full exits. The military is in
    Iraq for the long haul.
  • DOD Domestic Surveillance.
  • Rolling Stone (04/20/2006) The Pentagon's New
    Spies, The military has built a vast
    domestic-intelligence network to fight terrorism.
  • NBC News (12/14/2005) Is the Pentagon spying on
    Americans?
  • NBC News (11/22/2006) Dems want to see
    citizen-monitoring database - Pentagon has been
    keeping tabs on groups perceived as security
    threat
  • Counterintelligence Field Activity.

13
  • Selective Service.
  • Draft? Selective Service What happens in a
    draft?
  • Danger of breaking the sword of the republic
    (McCaffrey 10/2006).
  • Iraq Study Group (ISG).
  • Housed with the USIP.
  • About ISG.
  • Report released 12/06/2006.
  • Report.
  • Analysis and debate.
  • Brookings Institute. An Analysis of the Iraq
    Study Group Report (held 12/07/2006).
  • International News Coverage.
  • Independent UK Apocalypse Now.
  • Regional War?
  • Saudis threaten to intervene if US leaves (WP,
    NYT1, 2).
  • CNN clip from yesterday..

14
Islam Overview.
  • Islam/Middle East and Central Asia
  • Maps.
  • Countries where Al Qaeda was/is active.
  • Sunni/Shiite.
  • Doctrinal difference stem from disagreement over
    succession to Muhammad, after death 632 AD.
  • Merit or Bloodline.
  • Majority decision merit, Abu Bakr (close
    associate of Muhammad) appointed first Caliph.
  • Bloodline supporters for (cousin and son-in-law
    of Muhammad) Ali ibn Abi Talib.
  • Shiite shiat Ali supporters of Ali.
  • Violent interaction 656 - 680 AD, Ali and sons
    killed by Sunni faction.
  • Shiite (Shiite, Shia, Shia) 10-15.

15
Islam - Global Pattern of Diffusion.
16
Middle East/Sunni/Shiite
17
Middle East/Sunni/Shiite
18
Ibrahim al-Jaafari
19
Iraq - Sunni/Shiite.
20
Ibrahim al-Jaafari
21
Ibrahim al-Jaafari
22
(No Transcript)
23
Operation Enduring Freedom (Afghanistan)
  • CENTCOM. US Army.
  • Enduring Freedom Operations.
  • Global Security.
  • Difficulties of combined counterterror/counterinsu
    rgency operations.
  • Coalition casualties.
  • Iraq Coalition Casualties Enduring Freedom
    section.
  • Civilian casualties.
  • Estimates.
  • Marc Herold, Prof. University of New Hampshire.
  • Project on Defense Alternatives.
  • Cooperation with Pakistan security apparatus.
  • Tribal Areas.
  • Video1 Return of the Taliban PBS Frontline
    10/03/2006.
  • Video2 In the Footsteps of Bin Laden (CNN Fall
    06)
  • AQ assassination of Masud 9/11.

24
Afghanistan
25
Afghanistan
26
  • Global Futures 1
  • Global Environmental Crisis.
  • Anthropogenic Ecocide.
  • Human generated destruction of planets ability
    to sustain life.
  • Example
  • Report Arctic Climate Impact.
  • What happens when India and PRC get larger middle
    class and an automobile culture.
  • Video Clip CNN.
  • Day After Tomorrow?
  • Interruption of the North Atlantic
    thermocline/conveyor.

27
  • Global Futures Population Projections.
  • Source United Nations. 2004. World Population in
    2300.

28
  • Global Futures 4 Resource Competition.
  • Source Center for Strategic and International
    Studies 2004.

29
  • Global Futures 5 National Intelligence Council
    2020.
  • Report.
  • International Futures Model.

30
  • Global Futures Catastrophic Natural Events.
  • Global warming and extreme weather events.
  • Near Earth Objects (Asteroids/Comets).
  • NASA Near Earth Objects.
  • Video Clip Killer Asteroids.
  • Asteroid 1950 DA.
  • Catastrophic Natural Events and the possible
    perfection of the technical means of forecasting
    and prevention.

31
Evaluation
  • Instructor Name Christian Erickson.
  • Course Number P0S 203-01.
  • Please take time to fill out both forms
  • SIR II Form.
  • SIR II Report Number 094589.
  • Narrative evaluation forms.
  • Good luck with finals!!!
  • Have a great winter break!!!
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