Actuaries: Deeper Broader Uncertain

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Actuaries Deeper? Broader? Uncertain?
GIRO 10 October 2002
Robert F. Conger, FCAS, MAAA, FCIAPresidentCasua
lty Actuarial Society
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Provide your answer as a RANGE, such that you are
90 CERTAIN that the correct answer will fall
within your range
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What is the geographic area of France, in
square kilometers?
Provide your answer as a RANGE, such that you are
90 CERTAIN that the correct answer will fall
within your range
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DEEPER
BROADER
UNCERTAIN
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Number of Members 976,000 19,839 134,000 23,60
0 19,000 239,000 658,000 1,465,000
Profession Accountant Actuary Economist Mathematic
ian Statistician Financial Analyst Financial
Manager Engineer
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(No Transcript)
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Ultimate Losses to First Report LossesU.S.
Property/Casualty Industry
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DEEPER
BROADER
UNCERTAIN
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Raise your hand if your rangeencompasses this
correct answer
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France has an area of 547,030 square kilometers
Raise your hand if your rangeencompasses this
correct answer
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DEEPER
BROADER
UNCERTAIN
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DEEPER
?
BROADER
?
UNCERTAIN
?