South East London subregion Strategic Housing Market Assessment

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South East London sub-regionStrategic Housing
Market Assessment

• Chris Broughton
• Catherine Nock
• Opinion Research Services

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Presentation Overview

• Introduction
• Current housing market
• Population growth
• Migration and economy
• Recent market changes
• Key questions

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Introducing ORS

• Generic social research organisation
• Spin-out company from Swansea University
• Established in 1988, not primarily commercial
• 40 full-time staff
• Specialise in quantitative and qualitative
  research methods
• Research includes
• Housing planning SHMAs, need/demand analysis
• Health promotion/primary/secondary care
• Local government Panels/BVPI/employees
• Emergency services police and fire

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Housing Research Portfolio

• Greater London Authority
• Regional SHMA 2008
• Quality Reviews for EERA and GOEM
• Identifying good practice in Strategic HMA work
• Further Strategic HMA work
• Bedfordshire, LCB East, LCB West, Milton Keynes,
  Greater Norwich, Exeter/Torbay, West Cornwall,
  Birmingham, South East Wales, Neath Port Talbot
• Over 60 further local housing studies
• English Partnerships
• Accredited consultants for SHMA work

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What is an SHMA?

• The Vision
• a key tool to inform policy and help shape
  strategic thinking in housing and planning
• The Basics
• a robust evidence base
• promotes joint working
• not a snap-shot survey but an ongoing process
• provides estimate of the need for affordable
  housing and demand for market housing
• helps understand requirements of niche groups

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Approach in South East London

• Household survey
• personal interviews
• addresses selected at random
• detailed interviews
• overall sample size 7,250 households
• Bexley 1,250 Bromley 1,250 Greenwich 1,500
• Lewisham 1,500 Southwark 1,750
• Secondary data analysis
• Stakeholder engagement
• Developers RSLs Estate and Letting Agents
• Private Landlords Housing Front-line Staff
  Planners
• Supporting People Commissioners Lenders HEIs
• Business Community Neighbouring Authorities

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Different Levels of SHMA Impact

• Regional
• Developing regional housing policy evidence base
• Informing Regional Housing Strategy reviews
• Assisting with reviews of Regional Spatial
  Strategy
• Sub-regional
• Deepening understanding of housing markets at the
  strategic (usually sub-regional) level
• Developing an evidence base for sub-regional
  housing strategy
• Local
• Developing an evidence base for Local Development
  Documents
• Assisting with production of local Core Strategies

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OVERVIEW OF THE AREA

• Current Housing Market

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Index of Multiple Deprivation
Source CLG
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Housing Tenure
Source Census 2001, SHMA 2008 Preliminary
Analysis