Title: The Global Integrated Model: a KeyPlayer for Value Creation JeanLuc COLONNA Senior Vice President, L
1The Global Integrated Modela Key-Player for
Value CreationJean-Luc COLONNASenior Vice
President, LNG
50 Years Experience inthe LNG Industry
Beauvais (experimental vessel) - 1958
Gaz de France energY - 2006
7th Doha Natural Gas Conference and Exhibition
9-12 March 2009
2Presence and partnerships in Qatar
- GDF SUEZ has been involved in Qatar through
several long-term activities and major projects
including significant investments - 2005 Doha West sewage water treatment plant
- 2006 Doha Lusail sewage transfer and treatment
system - 2008 Representative Office in Doha MoU signed
withQatar Petroleum International (QPI) - 2008 Ras Laffan C project US 3,700 M
investment - Biggest independent water and power project
(IWPP)of the country production capacity of
2,730 MW (powerproduction) and 286,000 m3/day
(water desalination) - Partnership with Mitsui, Yonden, Chubu, Qatar
Petroleumand Qatar Electricity Water Company - 2008 Marafeq Qatar
- Multi Utility Company in the field of energy
services (inc. districtcooling), water (inc.
desalination), waste water, power
transmissionand distribution, gas supply (LPG),
solid waste, etc. - Partnership with Qatari Diar and Barwa
3Hard times have arisen for global economy
- Financial crisis started in end 2007 and has
worsen since then into a global economic crisis
- Developed countries will experience recession in
2009 whereas developing countries should see a
reduction of GDP growth rate
- Industrial production dropped steeply by the end
of 2008
4 troubled times for gas demand
- Demand reduction
- Had already been underway since 2006 high energy
prices have made industry keenly aware of
necessity of energy efficiency - Widespread recession reduces current gas demand
in the industrial and power sectors and even to a
small extent in the domestic sector - Decline of industrial production casts doubt on
the rate of future gas demand growth - Duration depth of crisis and pace of recovery
are key-issues - Security of supply
- Russian supply transiting via Ukraine totally
stopped for two weeks, with major impact in
South-Eastern Europe - Negative impact on gas supply reputation
questioning if gas is a reliable source of energy - Greater consideration given to fuel diversity
(coal, nuclear) - Energy Efficiency and Carbon Policies
- EU and US decisions to strengthen energy
efficiency and carbon policies could favour
nuclear power, renewables and clean coal, and
reduce gas demand
5Where will flexible LNG flow?
- Compared with the last 2 years, Asia will not be
a destination for flexible LNG - Asia will not be able to absorb all LNG coming
on-stream in 2009-2012 (70 mtpa) - and should not need significant spot/short-term
supply - Flexible LNG volumes should be more than
sufficient to satisfy European needs - LNG terminal capacity is available to receive
flexible LNG - but pipeline Take or Pay obligations limit the
demand for flexible LNG in particular during
summer time - and European liquid markets are not very deep
- Therefore the remaining volumes will probably
need to go to the US - Deep and liquid markets
- Large idle LNG regasification capacities
- but at what price?
- Development of cheap unconventional gas means US
does not need to import LNG - US the 'last resort' market for LNG
6Europe, the "new" LT destination for LNG?
- Reliable gas market offering visibility, based on
LT relationships between counterparts - Mature low growth gas market but declining
indigenous gas production - Requiring increasing gas imports
- Expecting the strongest world wide medium term
growth in LNG imports - Europe already has LNG infrastructures that can
handle more LNG on the short/mid term - Spare capacity in existing terminals
- New terminals coming on stream 2009
- Expansion of existing terminals
- Renewed interest of the European Commissionand
of several European countries - Diversity and security of supply major issues
- Intending to promote LNG projects
- Fast-track opportunities and solutions exist
- Floating terminals, expansion of existing
infrastructures
7GDF SUEZ Bringing confidence to the LNG business
- Strong positions all along the LNG value chain
- Worldwide Group's gas supply 100 bcm/year
- Highly diversified and stable customer base
(geography, type of markets, indexation) - Long-term contracts with producers
- Financial strength and creditworthiness
- Technical and commercial expertise through
- Development of some of the core technologieson
which the LNG industry is based andcontinued
commitment to RD - Group investment and presence all alongthe LNG
value chain - Development and operation of Group's assets
- Design Engineering consultancy services to the
LNG industry - Ad hoc partnerships
8REDISCOVERING ENERGY