Title: Light pollution as a Risk Factor for Breast Cancer: A GISAssisted Case Study
1Light pollution as a Risk Factor for Breast
Cancer A GIS-Assisted Case Study
I. Kloog, 1 B. Portnov 1, and A. Haim 2
1Department of Natural Resource and
Environmental Management,University of Haifa
2Department of Biology, University of Haifa-Oranim
Presented 21 June 2005
2- Definition of Light Pollution
- Light pollution is environmental pollution
consisting of harmful or annoying light from
cities and outdoor lighting, which prevents the
observation of faint objects (http//www.darksky.
org).
3Previous studies
Very few studies have been done to date to
determine a possible negative impact of
artificial light on human health. However, some
indirect evidence in this direction is
nevertheless available
- Brainard G. C. et al. (2001) show that there is a
strong correlation between the exposure to the
prolonged photoperiod and melatonin levels in
blood. - Davis et al. (2001) point up at a direct link
between the lack of melatonin caused by an
exposure to a prolonged period of artificial
illumination and an increase in the breast cancer
rate. In particular, studies of night shift
workers indicate higher rates of breast cancer by
36-60 compared to the general population - Verkasalo et al. (1999) pointed out that the rate
of breast cancer in visually impaired women
decreases as the degree of impairment increases.
4Goal of the Study
- Although previous studies indicates that the
exposure to light pollution may be a risk factor
in breast cancer development, the empirical
evidence in this direction is rather fragmented
and largely inconsistent. - The goal of the present analysis is to
Investigate the relationship between exposure to
artificial illumination (light pollution) and
breast cancer rates, using Israel as a case study.
5Novelty of the study
- To the best of our knowledge this is the first
study that uses macro-level remote sensing data
to link light pollution with the incidence of
breast cancer.
6Research Phases
The study was carried out in three separate
phases
- A GIS assisted analysis of light intensity using
satellite maps - a low-resolution scale that
covers the whole country - Light intensity and breast cancer rates in
residential neighborhoods - a high resolution
scale covering four residential neighborhoods in
Tel-Aviv, where light intensity was measured
in-situ. - Questionnaires which were distributed among
breast cancer patients and among a control group
of healthy women from the same area.
7Phase 1 Analysis of Nightlight Map
- Data source 1996-1997 satellite image of
radiance-calibrated night light intensity
supplied by the U.S. Defense Meteorological
Satellite Program (DMSP). - Data range The light intensity is measured in
digital numbers (DN) ranging from 8 to 113, which
are converted into nano-watts/cm2/sr as follows
- Radiance0.1DN(2/3) (nanowatts/cm2/sr)
- (The radiance in Israel ranges from 2.52 to 120
nano-watts/cm2/sr).
8Breast Cancer Data
- Data source Israel Ministry of Health
- Resolution Small Statistical Areas (SSA)
- Number of observations ca. 214
- Time span 1998 2001.
9Data Matching
- The rates of breast cancer and nightlight
intensity were merged using the Spatial Join tool
in ArcGIS. - The result is the mean values, standard deviation
of light intensity against cancer rates for each
locality (or SSA).
10General Trends
11- The localities with abnormally high cancer rates
consist mainly of towns that are located on the
seam line between the Palestinian autonomous
areas and the State of Israel (Tzoran, Tzor
yigal, Meitar). - In all these towns and their surrounding areas we
found extensive and large scale illumination
systems (with very high light intensity ranging
between 0.29 and 0.47 micro-lux), which were
built by the state for security reasons.
12- The localities with abnormally low cancer rates
consist mainly of towns with predominantly
minority population Arab, Druze or Circassian
(Kusife, Shfram, Umm Al-Fahm, Baqa Al-gharbiyye
etc.). - These towns are characterized by relatively low
average incomes - low-income households and
municipalities try to minimize their outlays, by
using (inter alia) less illumination at both
private homes and public domains. - These localities are also characterized by the
relatively low rates of labor force participation
by the minority population (ca. 37, as opposed
to 52 among Jews), and specifically by minority
women, reduces their exposure to artificial light
at the work place.
13- we then plotted the cancer rates in selected
localities of each of these groups as a function
of the in-situ measured light intensity
As shown, there is a positive correlation
(R20.919) where higher light intensities
corresponded to higher rates of breast cancer
irrespective of the two group trends
14Regression Analysis
- Dependent variable per 100,000 breast cancer
rates (CR) - Main explanatory variable the logarithm of the
average night light intensity in a locality (LI,
nano-watts/cm2/sr). - Controls
- Average per capita income (INC). The variable is
added as a proxy for illumination inside peoples
houses As the average income increases, so does
the electricity consumption within the home,
since wealthier households can afford more
illumination. - Population The variable is added since it adds
missing data, not captured by the satellite
imaginary (artificial illumination in public
transport, shopping centers etc.), that
contributes to light pollution in a locality. The
bigger the population of a town, the more
vehicles and public lighted facilities it has. - G1 localities with abnormally high cancer rates.
- G2 localities with abnormally low cancer rates.
-
15Regression results
16Explanation of the model
- More affluent and more illuminated localities
tend to exhibit (ceteris paribus) higher rates of
breast cancer. - While the average night light intensity (LI) is
an indication of artificial illumination of
spaces outside peoples homes, the income
variable (INC) is a proxy for illumination
intensity inside dwellings.
17Phase 2 Neighborhood Survey
- Study area four neighborhoods in the City of Tel
Aviv. - Selection criteria
- Breast cancer rates - highest and lowest rates
across the entire city). - Average incomes - above 5000 NIS and bellow 1500
NIS.
18Haargaz a low-income neighborhood with low
breast cancer rates (40 cases per 100,000 women)
Afeka a high-income neighborhood with low
breast cancer rates (less than 30 cases per
100,000 women)
Tikva - a low-income neighborhood with extremely
high breast cancer rates (150 cases per 100,000
women)
Bavlei a high-income neighborhood with
extremely high cancer rates (160 cases per
100,000 per women)
19in-situ Light Measurements
- Using a light-meter (LI-COR, LI-189), night light
intensity was measured at 40 randomly selected
points in each neighborhood. - The light intensity was measured in micro-Lux at
the average height of woman eyesight (1.7 m above
the ground).
20Results
Within each socio-economic group of
neighborhoods, a similar significant difference
is reveled (plt0.01, plt0.05) Neighborhoods with
high light intensity show significantly higher
breast cancer rates (plt0.01).
21Phase 3 Questioners
- A specially designed questionnaire was
distributed among breast cancer patients in the
Sheba Medical Center in the Tel Aviv metropolis.
The control group consisted of healthy women. - The data were collected using questioners
(Helsinki committee approved) that were filled
anonymously by the subjects with the care of the
Department of Oncology of the Sheba Medical
Center. - Data were collected between the dates of 1.1.2003
to 1.3.2005 from 100 breast cancer patients and
100 healthy women.
22Questioners Results
- The answers to each question in the questioner
were compared between the two groups, averaged
and subjected to a t-test. - The analysis of answers of the two questioner
groups showed clear and highly significant
differences between the group of breast cancer
patients and healthy women in several important
categories
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24Directions for future research
- This study has been a preliminary analysis which
included a limited set of case studies. Future
research needs to be carried out in both higher
resolution (a worldwide scale and other
countries) and low resolution scale (e.g.,
in-depth analysis of individual urban localities
such as Tel Aviv and Haifa), to strengthen our
results. - In addition the relationship between light
pollution and other hormonal cancers (such as
prostate and colon cancers) needs to be also
investigated.
25Conclusions and Directions of Future Research
- The survey thus reveals a strong association
between the exposure to high nightlight intensity
and the incidence of breast cancer. - We thus suggest that municipalities should adopt
a smart policy of illumination. Such a policy
should reduce illumination when and where not
absolutely necessary, to both save energy (and
money) and prevent excessive light pollution
which appears to be a general environmental
hazard to public health.