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Mississippi Statewide Accountability System

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End of Month 8 School = Same School on 6 of the 7 Earlier End of Month Records ... residual value for each prediction cohort to a z-score equivalent using state ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Mississippi Statewide Accountability System


1
Mississippi Statewide Accountability System
  • School Level Accountability Model
  • Based on Achievement and Growth
  • Approved by the Mississippi State Board
  • of Education for Use in Fall 2003
  • October 25, 2002

2
Students Included for Accountability
  • Spring Testing Data (MCT and Traditional Schedule
    SATP)
  • End of Month 8 School Same School on 6 of the 7
    Earlier End of Month Records (Month 1 through
    Month 7) -- 75
  • End of Month 7 School Same School on all 6 of
    the Earlier End of Month Records (Months 1
    through 6) -- 75
  • Fall Testing Data (SATP Semester/Block Schedule)
  • End of Month 3 School Same School on End of
    Month 1 and End of Month 2 Records -- 67
  • Spring Testing Data (SATP Semester/Block
    Schedule)
  • End of Month 8 School Same School on End of
    Month 5, 6, and 7 Records -- 75

3
Achievement Model Calculations (1/2)
  • Calculate Basic and Above and Proficient and
    Above at each grade (3-8) and content area for
    MCT administered at grade level.
  • Calculate Basic and Above and Proficient and
    Above at each test level (13-18) and content area
    for MCT instructional level tests.
  • Calculate Pass and above an established
    higher cut point at each grade level (8-12) for
    students taking Algebra I and Biology I.
  • Calculate Approaching Proficiency and Above and
    Proficient for all students participating in a
    low stakes alternate assessment.
  • Convert the schools values on the (up to 46)
    variables above to z-score equivalents using
    state mean and standard deviation from the base
    year. This standardizes the variables.
  • Weight each variable based on the student n-count
    on that variable compared to the total
    accountability n-count for the school.

4
Achievement Model Calculations (2/2)
  • Calculate the Basic Achievement Index (BAI)
  • Sum all the weighted z-scores based on the basic
    achievement measures ( Basic and Above on MCT,
    Pass on SATP, Approaching
    Proficiency or above on alternate assessments).
  • Apply the two established index cut scores to
    determine whether basic achievement will place
    the school in achievement level 1 or 2.
  • Calculate the Higher Achievement Index (HAI)
  • Sum all the weighted z-scores based on the higher
    achievement measures ( Proficient and Above on
    MCT, meeting higher criterion on SATP,
    Proficient on alternate assessments).
  • Apply the two established index cut scores to
    determine whether higher achievement will place
    the school in achievement level 4 or 5.
  • Assign school to an achievement level based on
    BAI and HAI. The achievement level is NOT the
    School Performance Classification!

5
Growth Model Calculations (1/7)
  • Apply additional criteria for student inclusion
    -- MCT.
  • Must have MCT (on grade) data in at least one
    content area for the school year just ended (call
    this Year 2).
  • Must have MCT (on grade) data in all three
    content areas for school year before that (call
    this Year 1).
  • MCT scale scores in all three content areas for
    Year 1 must not fall into the chance score
    range.
  • MCT level in Year 2 must be one level greater
    than the level in Year 1.
  • Apply additional criteria for student inclusion
    -- SATP.
  • SATP for Year 2 must be Grade 8 Algebra I, Grade
    9 Algebra I, or Grade 9 Biology I.
  • Must have MCT (on grade) data in all three
    content areas at next lower grade level for Year
    1.
  • MCT scale scores in all three content areas for
    Year 1 must not fall into the chance score
    range.

6
Growth Model Calculations (2/7)
  • Assumptions Underlying the MCT Growth Model
  • A student with a higher overall achievement level
    might make more gain than a student with lower
    overall achievement.
  • A student whose score in one content area was
    high at the beginning of the school year might
    gain less than a student whose initial score was
    lower (due to regression to the mean).
  • A students gain on the MCT can be predicted
    given that students initial achievement on the
    MCT.
  • Assumptions Underlying the SATP Growth Model
  • A student with a higher overall MCT achievement
    level might score higher on the SATP than a
    student with lower overall achievement.
  • A students score on the SATP (Algebra I and
    Biology I) can be predicted given that students
    previous year MCT achievement.

7
Growth Model Calculations (3/7)
  • Predict MCT gain from Year 1 MCT in each content
    area for each student in each cohort (e.g.,
    Cohort Grade 2 to Grade 3).
  • Apply regression coefficient for overall
    achievement (i.e., sum of the students Year 1
    scale scores in reading, language, and
    mathematics).
  • Apply regression coefficient for regression to
    the mean (i.e., the students Year 1 scale score
    in the content area being predicted).
  • Add the constant (y-intercept) value from the
    regression equation.
  • The result is the expected scale score gain from
    Year 1 to Year 2.
  • Subtract the predicted gain from the students
    actual scale score gain from Year 1 to Year 2.
  • The result is the degree to which the student met
    expected gain, stated in scale score points. This
    value is called the students raw growth
    residual.

8
Growth Model Calculations (4/7)
  • Predict Algebra I and Biology I Year 2 Scale
    Score from Year 1 MCT.
  • Apply regression coefficient to the students MCT
    reading scale score.
  • Apply regression coefficient to the students MCT
    language scale score.
  • Apply regression coefficient to the students MCT
    math scale score.
  • Add the constant (y-intercept) value from the
    regression equation.
  • The result is the expected scale score in Algebra
    I or Biology I.
  • Subtract the predicted score from the students
    actual score.
  • The result is the degree to which the student met
    the expected score, stated in scale score points.
    This value is called the students raw growth
    residual.

9
Growth Model Calculations (5/7)
  • Sum the student level raw growth residuals within
    each prediction cohort (i.e., MCT Reading Grade 2
    to Grade 3, Biology Grade 9). This produces a
    set of mean raw residual values for the school.
  • Convert the schools mean raw residual value for
    each prediction cohort to a z-score equivalent
    using state mean and standard deviation from the
    base year. This step standardizes the residual
    means.
  • Calculate a total student n-count by summing the
    n-counts for each prediction cohort containing at
    least 10 students.
  • Weight each standardized growth residual based on
    the student n-count in that prediction cohort
    compared to the total accountability n-count for
    the school.

10
Growth Model Calculations (6/7)
  • Sum all the weighted z-scores for prediction
    cohorts containing at least 10 students. This is
    the school level standardized/weighted growth
    composite.
  • Apply an appropriate confidence interval to the
    schools growth composite. The confidence
    interval is one standard error of the mean for
    the distribution of over 800 school growth
    composites.
  • Determine whether the schools growth composite
    falls below the lower bound of the confidence
    interval.
  • If the growth composite is at or above the lower
    bound value, the school met its growth
    expectation.
  • If the growth composite falls below the lower
    bound value, the school failed to meet its growth
    expectation.

11
Growth Model Calculations (7/7)
  • Determine whether the school exceeded its growth
    expectation by at least 10. The procedure is the
    same as that used to determine whether the school
    met its growth expectation (Growth Model
    Calculation slides 3 through 6), except that the
    constant/y-intercept value in each prediction
    equation is increased by 10 before using the
    equation to predict a students MCT gain or SATP
    score.
  • Apply an appropriate confidence interval to the
    schools exceeded growth composite.
  • Determine whether the schools growth composite
    falls below the lower bound of the confidence
    interval.
  • If the growth composite is at or above the lower
    bound value, the school exceeded its growth
    expectation.
  • If the growth composite falls below the lower
    bound value, the school failed to exceed its
    growth expectation.

12
School Performance Classification
  • A schools achievement level (1-5) and growth
    status (failed to meet, met, or exceeded) are
    combined to determine the School Performance
    Classification. No school meeting its growth
    expectation will be assigned a classification
    below 3 (Successful).
  • School Performance Classifications
  • Level 5 (Superior-Performing) School is in
    achievement level 5.
  • Level 4 (Exemplary) School is in achievement
    level 4 -OR- school exceeded its growth
    expectation and is in achievement level 3.
  • Level 3 (Successful) School met its growth
    expectation -OR- school failed to meet its growth
    expectation and is in achievement level 3.
  • Level 2 (Under-Performing) School failed to
    meet its growth expectation and is in achievement
    level 2.
  • Level 1 (Low-Performing) School failed to meet
    its growth expectation and is in achievement
    level 1. Some of the schools in this School
    Performance Classification may be designated
    Priority Schools.

13
Schools that Cannot be Included in the
Achievement and/or Growth Models
  • Only schools that can be included in the
    achievement and growth models are assigned a
    School Performance Classification.
  • Schools that cannot be assigned a School
    Performance Classification include
  • 10-15 schools that can be included in the
    achievement model, but do not meet the
    requirements for inclusion in the growth model
    and
  • 35-40 regular public schools that cannot be
    included in either the achievement model based on
    the MCT at grades 3-8 and the SATP -OR- the
    growth model.

14
End
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