NWS

1
NWS Science and Technology Infusion Plan A
Basis for Joint Planning, Execution, and
Management
NWS/OAR Review March 27, 2002
Paul Hirschberg NWS/Office of Science and
Technology
2
STIP
Three Timeframes

• NWS Today
• Continuous refreshment of the Modernized NWS
• Service Requirements driven
• NWS Next
• What NWS will evolve to by 2010
• NWS After Next
• NWS of 20 or more years from now
• ST Opportunities driven
• (from Dorman Report, 99)

3
STIP
Notional Elements
After Next
Next
Today (Program. Improvements)
Area

• Phased Array
• UAV dropsondes
• NPOESS

• Dual Polarization
• Expanded MDCRS
• NPOESS Prep

• NEXRAD
• Radiosondes
• Polar

Observations

• Eta
• MRF
• Local Models

DA / Num. Pred.

• Community multiscale, fully coupled

• WRF
• Community Global / Climate

• probability theory
• Advanced hybrids
• Seamless database

Forecast Techniques and Product/Information
Generation

• Neural nets
• Fuzzy logic hybrids
• 4-D digital database

• MOS
• Decision Assist.
• IFPS

• NWR
• SBN

• Video
• Global ubiquity

• Digital Radio
• Internet 2

Dissemination

• keep up
• data on demand

• min. 300 sust. tflps.
• wireless

• Class IX/X comp.
• AWIPS networks

Enabling Tech.
4
Plan for STIP Next

• Keep After Next vision in view while focusing
  STIP on NWS Today and NWS Next 2002 - 2010.
• Strengthen linkage between planned outcomes,
  Performance Measures/Goals, and ST needs.
• Focus on optimizing return on investment.
• Develop Roadmaps taking us from NWS Today to
  Next.
• Develop specific Action Plans and Agreements.

5
Plan for STIP NextForm Planning Teams

• Aviation Weather
• Marine/Coastal Weather and Ocean Conditions
• Tropical and Extratropical
• Public Weather
• Severe Storms, Winter Wx., Fire Wx.
• Hydrology
• QPE, QPF, Flooding
• Climate Analysis and Prediction
• Other Service Areas, e.g.,
• Air Quality, Space Wx, other

6
Plan for STIP NextTeam Representatives

• NWS/OST, OHD, OCWWS, NCEP, Regions
• OAR
• NESDIS
• NOS
• Other Agencies
• NCAR
• Universities
• Other Experts

7
Plan for STIP NextPlanning Team Tasks

• Define Plan of Attack for NWS Today (02 06)
• Refine/Evaluate gaps in performance
• Refine/Identify gap causes
• Refine/Define gap fillers and needs
• Obs., NWP, Forecast Tech., Enabling Tech,
  Dissem., Training, etc.
• Scope costs
• Propose Performance Measures and Goals for NWS
  Next
• Identify outstanding/additional ST/RD needs?
• Develop a Roadmap from Today to Next

8
Aviation Planning TeamInitial Members

• Kevin Johnston (OST)
• Mark Andrews (OCWWS)
• Jack May (NCEP/AWC)
• Ralph Petersen (NCEP/EMC)
• Lynn Sherretz (OAR)
• Gary Ellrod (NESDIS)
• Andy Nash (ER RAM)
• Jeff Tongue (ER SOO)

9
Plan for STIP NextNotional Roadmap Budget
Rollup
10
Plan for STIP NextCross-cutting Roadmaps
Integrate Prioritize Across Service/Science
Areas
e.g., AWIPS NEXT
11
Roadmaps

• Basis for specific
• Action plans and agreements defining
• Deliverables
• Milestones
• Budget Initiatives

12
STIP NextMilestones

• Team Roadmaps - Aug. 02
• Science Review - Sept. 02
• Corporate Board Review Oct. 02
• STIP Next Nov. 02
• Basis for 05 Initiatives
• Update Annually