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WCP ACTIVITIES RELEVANT TO CLIVAR

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Title: WCP ACTIVITIES RELEVANT TO CLIVAR


1
WCP ACTIVITIES RELEVANT TO CLIVAR
World Climate Programme Department World
Meteorological Organization Geneva Switzerland
2
World Climate Programme (WCP)
  • An authoritative international scientific voice
    on the Earths Climate System and on Climate
    Variability and Change
  • Helps countries collect and use climate
    information and knowledge to benefit their
    national economies and improve human well-being

3
WMO/WCP Structure
CCA Climate Coordination Activities coordination
of climate activities including interagency
collaboration and international conventions
WCDMP World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme
AgMP Agricultural Meteorology Programme
WCASP/CLIPS World Climate Applications Services
Programme
Goal develop climate services, increase awareness
of benefits, develop practical products/methods,
increase utilization of climate information and
predictions
Goal improve databases and data management,
improve climate system monitoring efforts and
awareness, develop and pursue data rescue
strategies
Goal assist members in the provision of
meteorological and climate servicesfor
agriculture, assist in sustainable development
and economically viable agricultural systems
4
Commission for Climatology (CCl) Overall
Objectives
  • Strengthen the climate network (monitoring,
    watch, assessment e.g. of CC, SI Prediction)
  • Improve NMHSs skill (training, reference docs and
    practices, support regional mechanisms such as
    RCCs,)
  • End-user liaison
  • Development of effective sector-specific climate
    products and services
  • Contribute to cross-cutting issues
  • Enable stronger visibility in climate related
    areas strategic to WMOs leadership role

5
CCl-XIV Structure
  • Management Group (MG)
  • Implementation and Coordination Team (ICT)
  • 4 OPAGs with a total of 12 Expert Teams and 3
    Rapporteurs
  • Climate and Data Management
  • Monitoring and Analysis of Climate Variability
    and Change
  • CLIPS
  • Climate Applications and Services
  • Rapporteurs reporting to MG
  • Climate-related hazards
  • Guide to Climatological Practices
  • GEOSS
  • Gender Focal Point

6
WMO COMMISSION FOR CLIMATOLOGY (CCl)
President Pierre Bessemoulin (France)
Vice-president Wang, Shourong (China)
Regional Representatives RA III Luis Molion
(Brazil) RA V Michael Coughlan (Australia)
World Data Centres Aleksandr Sterin (Russian
Federation)
MANAGEMENT GROUP (MG)


OPAG 3 Climate Information and Prediction
Services (CLIPS)
OPAG 4 Climate Applications and Services
Chair Abdallah Mokssit (Morocco) Co-chair José
Luis Santos (Ecuador)
Chair Dong, Wenjie (China) Co-chair Muhammed
Kadi (Algeria)
3.1 ET on Research Needs for Intraseasonal,
Seasonal Interannual Prediction Jean-Pierre
Ceron (France)
4.1 ET on Climate and Health Glenn McGregor (UK)
4.2 ET on Climate and Energy David Wratt (New
Zealand)
3.2 ET on CLIPS Operations, Verification and
Applications ServicesOperations Philbert
Tibaijuka (Tanzania) Verification Simon Mason
(USA) User Liaison Jaakko Helminen (Finland)
4.3 ET on Climate and Tourism Dan Scott (Canada)
3.3 ET on El Niño and La Niña Luc Maitrepierre
(New Caledonia)
4.4 ET on Urban and Building Climatology Sue
Grimmond (UK)
Reporting to the President or Management
Group 5.1 Rapporteur on Climaterelated Hazards
(Member of the MG,TBD) 5.2 ET on the Guide to
Climatological Practices (Ned Guttman, USA) 5.3
Gender Focal Point (Juliana Ukeje, Nigeria) 5.4
Rapporteur on GEOSS (Stephan Roesner, Germany) 7.
Implementation/Coordination Team (ICT) CCl VP
Co-Chairs of OPAGs 1, 2, 3, 4 Chairpersons of
the Working Groups on Climate-related Matters
for RAs I, II, III, IV, V and VI.
3.4 Rapporteur on Climate And Water Nakaegawa
Tosiyuki (Japan)
Reporting to the OPAG Chairs 6. CCl Experts
serving on teams of other Technical Commissions
3.5 Rapporteur on Climate and Agrometeorology
Roger Stone (Australia)
7
CCl OPAGs 1 and 2 (WCDMP)
  • OPAG-1 Climate Data and Data Management
  • 1.1 ET on Climate data management including
    metadata
  • 1.2 ET on Observing Requirements and Standards
    for Climate
  • 1.3 ET on Data Rescue, Preservation and
    digitization of Climate records
  • OPAG-2 Monitoring and Analysis of Climate
    Variability and Change 
  • 2.1 Joint CCl/CLIVAR/JCOMM ET on Climate Change
    Detection and Indices
  • 2.2 ET on Climate Monitoring including the use of
    Satellite and Marine Data and Products
  • 2.3 Rapporteur on Climate Extremes

8
OPAG 3 on CLIPS (WCASP)
  • 3.1 ET on Research needs intraseasonal, seasonal
    and interannual prediction
  • Sector-specific needs, verification and
    assessment of capabilities
  • Methodologies for creation and presentation of
    prediction products
  • Support to user decision process
  • 3.2 ET on CLIPS Operations, Verification and User
    Liaison
  • Climate outlook products (end-to-end process,
    tailoring for user needs)
  • Capacity building and training workshops
  • Guide to best operational practices including
    verification and user liaison
  • Regional climate outlook forums (RCOFs)
    sustainability, effectiveness
  • 3.3 ET on El Niño/La Niña
  • Atlas of regional impacts
  • Common language for ENSO communication
  • 3.4 Rapporteur on Climate and Agrometeorology
  • 3.5 Rapporteur on Climate and Water
  • Coordinate with WCRP, AREP, CBS, CAS, DPM,
    Space/GEO, DCR (LDCs and more), Global Producing
    Centres of LRF, and with OPAG 4-Applications and
    Services

9
OPAG 4 on Climate Applications and Services
(WCASP)
  • 4.1 ET on Climate and Human Health
  • Heat-Health Warning Systems
  • Health-related information early warning
    systems infectious diseases Health and CC
  • 4.2 ET on Climate and Energy
  • Climate services for energy development and
    operations
  • Climate aspects of renewable energy sources
  • 4.3 ET on Tourism
  • Role of climate in touristic frequentation/destina
    tion
  • Sustainable tourism
  • 4.4 ET on Urban and Building Climatology
  • Urban and building climate science Education and
    Training
  • Urban modelling
  • Coordination with OPAG3 CLIPS partnership
    building

10
Guide to Climatological Practices
  • Core Content of Version 3
  • Climate Observations, Stations and Networks
  • Climate Data Management
  • Characterizing Climate from Data Sets
  • Statistical Methods for Analyzing Datasets
  • Services and Products
  • Work Plan
  • Complete graphics, illustrations, equations,
    references Feb 2008
  • Peer Review followed by editing and assembly Apr
    2008
  • CCl Approval May-June 2008
  • WMO Publication process (copy-editing, layout,
    translation)
  • EC approval and publication of all language
    versions June 2009

11
Climate Data Management
  • AIM
  • Managing Climate records using state-of-the-art
    data management systems
  • Ensuring easy access, and Data Import-export,
  • Providing quality control function
  • THE CHALLENGE
  • Bridging IT gap in developing Countries, LCDs and
    SIDS
  • A capacity building package includes
  • Four weeks training
  • Provision of CDMS
  • Provision of computer ready to operate

12
Data Rescue, Preservation and Digitization
  • Transforming old archives into invaluable data
  • Rescue historical data records at risk of
    degradation and make them available in digital
    form for climate studies and climate change
    detection
  • A worldwide effort through WCDMP and the
    implementation by NMHSs with International and
    Regional collaboration of
  • In Americas NOAA-NCDC (USA)
  • In Europe France, Belgium
  • In Oceania Australia, New Zealand
  • In Africa ACMAD, ICPAC, AGRHYMET

13
Monitoring and Analysis of Climate Variability
and Changes
  • The WMO authoritative annual statement on the
    State of the Climate An insight into the global
    and regional climate variability, trends and
    extreme climate events around the world

14
WCDMP Climate System Monitoring (CSM)
  • WMO Statement on the Status of the Global Climate
    published in all WMO official languages (2005)
    latest available in English and French (2006).
  • CCl-XIV recommended that the WMO Global Climate
    System Review should be replaced by the annual
    State of the Climate article published in BAMS
    to avoid duplication of effort. WMO contributed
    to the issue of 2005 BAMS article by selecting
    authors from various region and its dissemination
    and translation into other languages.
  • WCDMP will work on issuing every five years a
    summary of the state of the global climate system
    based on the annual BAMS article to replace the
    previous 5 year Global Climate System Review.
  • This will enable monitoring multi-year climate
    variability . 

15
Climate Watch System
  • A warning advisory for a climate related hazard
    which is likely to happen, considering climate
    monitoring products and climate predictions

16
CCl/CLIVAR/JCOMM Joint Expert Team on Climate
Change Detection and Indices
  • Provide International coordination and help
    organize collaboration on climate change
    detection and indices
  • Develop indices and indicators of climate
    variability and change from the surface and
    subsurface ocean to the stratosphere
  • Coordinate with other commissions, programs and
    international working bodies relevant to climate
    variability and climate change detection
  • Explore, document and make recommendations for
    addressing capacity building

17
WCASP CLIPSstriving to provide an essential
link between climate prediction/information and
their applications
  • Primary objectives
  • to develop the capacity of the National
    Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs)
    to take advantage of recent advances in the
    science of climate and in the processing and
    dissemination of climate information, and
  • to pass on the benefits of the improved climate
    services to the user community.

18
CLIPS
  • Need for inter-programme coordination recognized
    right from the beginning
  • Congress requested the Secretary-General and the
    president of CCl to take appropriate action to
    ensure interprogramme coordination of the
    development of the Climate Information and
    Prediction Services (CLIPS) project within the
    framework of CCl in coordination with the Joint
    Scientific Committee for WCRP and with necessary
    interaction with other constituent bodies of WMO
    and GCOS. Congress emphasized the need for
    provision of required data and other necessary
    information in order to ensure optimal
    development and global dissemination of climate
    prediction services(Paragraph 3.2.2.10, Report
    of the 12th Session of the World Meteorological
    Congress, 1995)

19
CLIPS Main Tasks
  • Enhance capacity of NMHSs in SIP and their
    applications
  • Develop guidelines and methodologies on SIPs and
    applications on climate sensitive sectors and
    systems
  • Provide users with information based on new
    scientific understanding and establish links
    between providers of and users of SIPs
  • Work closely with international research
    community, especially WCRP, to exploit latest
    research advances as well as to address research
    needs.

20
Capacity Building
  • CLIPS Focal Points and their Global/regional
    networking
  • CLIPS Training Workshops (Upcoming event CLIPS
    Training Workshop for the Mediterranean Region,
    Tunis, 29 October to 9 November 2007)
  • Development of CLIPS Training Curriculum
  • Engaging end-users through workshops, projects
    and Regional Climate Outlook Forums

21
Regional Climate Outlook Forums (RCOFs)
  • A component of CLIPS
  • First established in 1996 (Victoria Falls,
    Zimbabwe), just before the major 19971998 El
    Niño event
  • Regional mechanism for the formulation and
    dissemination of climate forecasts and outlooks
  • Bring together providers of and users of SIPs
    facilitate partnership approach.
  • Constitute an important vehicle, particularly in
    developing countries, for providing advance
    information on the likely climate features of the
    upcoming season (including communication of
    uncertainty), and for preparing a consensus
    product from amongst the multiple available
    individual predictions.
  • RCOFs stimulate the development of climate
    capacity in the National Meteorological and
    Hydrological Services of the area, and do much to
    generate decisions and activities that mitigate
    adverse impacts of climate and help communities
    adapt to climate variability.

22
RCOFs
  • RCOFs active in several regions where NMHSs meet
    to develop regional consensus on SIP.
  • Typically involve a PRE-COF session to jointly
    work towards the consensus outlook, and a COF
    session to disseminate and assist in user
    interpretation.

23
RCOFs Worldwide
24
WMO El Niño and La Niña Update
  • The WMO El Niño/La Niña Update is a global
    consensus statement.
  • Several international experts, including
    WCRP/CLIVAR community, participate in the
    discussions leading to the final statement.
  • NMHSs provide information on expected impacts
    after considering other factors that influence
    regional climate.
  • A collaborative effort between WMO and IRI
  • Issued once in about 3 months
  • The latest WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (July 2007)
    indicates a slight possibility of the development
    of La Niña in the later half of 2007.

25
WCASP/CLIPS activities continue
  • Congress XV (2007) endorses continuation of
    WCASP/CLIPS calls for an Implementation Plan for
    future evolution of CLIPS.
  • Capacity building training workshops
  • RCOF sessions extension to more regions
  • WMO Conference on  Living with Climate
    Variability and Change Understanding the
    Uncertainties and Managing the Risks , July
    17-21, 2006, Espoo, Finland integration of
    outcomes into CLIPS future plans.
  • Development of CLIPS webpages Curriculum
  • Expansion/revitalization of the CLIPS Focal Point
    Network
  • RCC development WMO designation process underway
  • Guidance documents on topical issues (heat-health
    warning systems verification of LRF, best
    practices in user-liaison, )
  • TNs Energy Urban climatology Socio-Economic
    benefits
  • Partnership building, especially with application
    sectors

26
Heat-Health Warning Systems
  • Goals
  • Reduce mortality and morbidity associated with
    life-threatening heatwaves
  • Strengthen WMO/NMHS partnerships with health and
    social services (global, regional, national) for
    effective service delivery Met forecasts alone
    are insufficient
  • Develop Guidance on and tools for
  • early warning and detection of health effects of
    heatwaves
  • national/local preparedness planning for extreme
    heat events
  • public/media outreach
  • interventions to save lives.

27
WMO Initiatives on Heat-Health Issues
  • CCl Expert Team on Climate and Health, with
    partnering agencies (WHO, LSTM, etc.),
  • developed the outline of Heat Waves and Health
    Guidance on Development of Warning Systems
  • set up project deliverables
  • gained commitment of authors and coordinated
    their contributions.
  • Developed a WCP/CCl/DRR project plan for
    multi-country multi-agency demonstrations to lead
    to implementation of HHWS and scope the special
    needs for developing countries (potential hosts
    to include China, France, Canada, India)
  • Guidance document Authors meeting held in Feb
    2007
  • Draft Guidance document presented to Cg-XV
    (May-June, 2007)
  • Resource mobilization (WCP, DRR and partners) for
    demonstration phase
  • Planning/organizing, with partners, of the
    demonstration activities in 2008

28
WMO/WCRP/IPY Workshop on CLIPS in Polar Regions
  • Spring/summer 2008
  • IPY legacy project
  • ID the sectors at risk in and the socio-political
    groups serving people living and working at high
    latitudes
  • Survey to assess user needs
  • Focus on
  • monthly to seasonal prediction, and other climate
    services
  • future climate scenarios for impacts assessments
  • Research accomplishments and gaps (i.e.
    predictive skill)
  • Capacity-building for climate service providers
  • Key outcomes
  • lay groundwork for regular polar RCOFs (PCOF)
  • Recommendations for gaining commitments of polar
    countries and socio-political mechanisms to
    sustain the legacy

29
Regional Climate Centres (RCCs)
  • RCCs will be Centres of Excellence, designated by
    CBS and CCl, to perform regional-scale climate
    functions, including
  • Operational LRF and Climate Monitoring
  • Coordination between RCCs, GPCs and NMHSs in the
    region
  • Data services
  • Climate Applications
  • Training and capacity building
  • Research and Development
  • RCCs will be complementary to and supportive of
    NMHSs, who will deliver all Warnings and
    national-scale products
  • Establishment of RCCs will be initiated by
    Regional Associations, based on regional needs
    and priorities
  • RAs will ensure guidance for and coordination
    between RCCs
  • Guidelines sent to regions December 2003

30
Regional Climate Centres (RCCs)
  • Working Groups on Climate-Related Matters in all
    regions have discussed needs and requirements
  • Pilot phases established in RAs II and VI
  • CCl and CBS are revising the Manual on the GDPFS
    (Vol 1, global aspects) to cover RCC function
    requirements for designation
  • Steps
  • CCl ICT (Oct 2007)
  • Expert drafting session (Jan/Feb 2008)
  • CCl submission to CBS (Spring/summer 2008)
  • CBS approval (fall 2008)
  • EC approval (June 2009)

31
RCCs and climate prediction
  • GPC global products essential to RCCs
  • RCCs will downscale and develop regional-scale
    prediction products
  • RCCs will serve NMHSs, all latitudes/regions
  • End-users are sectoral experts, governments, the
    public

32
WCRP
AREP
Climate Watches
WCP
GCOS
HWR
GAW
AgM
GEOSS
WWW
RCOFs
CLIPS
DPM
33
International Climate Activities
GOOS (IOC, WMO, UNEP, ICSU)
34
UNFCCC related Activities
  • WMO distributed a Concept Paper on the Role of
    WMO and NMHSs in the Implementation of the
    Nairobi Work Programme
  • WCP and WCRP finalizing a joint brochure for
    COP-13 entitled Climate Information for
    Adaptation and Development Needs.
  • WCRP, WCP and GCOS are organizing a side event
    for COP13 entitled Improved Decision Making for
    Climate Adaptation Providing a Science Base

35
World Climate Conference-3
  • Following the request of EC-LVIII
  • WCP organized 3 meetings of Provisional
    Orgnaizing Committee
  • Representatives from 10 international
    organizations, including UN Agencies, ICSU, WCRP,
    etc. joined regular members of the committee
  • Cg-XV approved the overall theme for WCC-3
    Climate Information for Decision Making
    Focusing on Seasonal to Inter-annual Timescales

36
WCC-3
  • Delivery of projects/actions with decision makers
  • Leading to improved climate coordination at
    international level
  • Current and future actions
  • Strategies to promote contributions from multiple
    sources
  • Establishment of WCC-3 International Organizing
    Committee (WIOC) with representatives from major
    institutions
  • Organizing the 1st WIOC meeting in February 2008
  • A Trust Fund for the Conference has been
    established
  • A local Secretariat is being established

37
WCC-3 is expected to
  • Build more social science into the science
    sessions
  • Improve linkages between users and providers
  • Consider extreme events economically as well
  • Review scientific advances on anthropogenic
    climate change
  • Consider observing systems in the context of
    GEOSS

38
Strengthening CLIVAR-WCP Linkages
  • Concerted efforts being made to ensure close
    coordination and support joint activities
  • Recent examples
  • CLIPS support to VACS Southern and Eastern
    African Climate Predictability Workshop, Dar es
    Salaam, Tanzania (July 2006)
  • CLIPS support to WCRP Workshop on Seasonal
    Prediction, Barcelona, Spain (June 2007)
  • Joint initiatives to contribute to UNFCCC
  • CLIVAR experts within CCl Expert Teams and
    capacity building initiatives of WCDMP and
    WCASP/CLIPS
  • CliC technical support to WMO/WCRP/IPY Workshop
    on CLIPS in Polar Regions (2008)

39
Concluding Remarks
  • Networking between climate information
    providers, researchers, users and other
    stakeholders will be essential.
  • Clear need for close coordination between
    WCRP/CLIVAR and CCl/WCP to optimize climate
    applications in real world context.
  • CLIVAR research into predictability, indices,
    improved modeling, and development of new tools
    for users (NMHSs) is vital to GPC and RCC product
    skills and socio-economic benefits of users
  • CLIPS Implementation Plan could include a
    recommendation for a sustained CLIPS/CLIVAR
    interface (A CLIVAR-CLIPS Intersect ?), and use
    of RCOF process for transfer of research
    accomplishments, capacity building, including
    user-feedback to research
  • Local ownership of climate products crucial for
    their effective use enhancement of regional
    capacities in research/operations need to be
    proactively pursued, particularly in developing
    countries.
  • CLIVAR expertise (especially its regional panels)
    is vital for professional capacity-building for
    operational climate services specalists
    training, development of curricula

40
Thank You
  • B. Nyenzi
  • O. Baddour
  • A. Delju
  • R. Kolli
  • H. Kontongomde
  • L. Malone
  • M. Sivakumar
  • R. Stefanski
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