NOAA and Hurricanes Meeting the Challenge

1
NOAA and HurricanesMeeting the Challenge

• Scott Kiser NOAAs NWS Tropical Cyclone Program
  Manager
• Scott Carter NOAA Legislative Affairs

2
Facing the Challenges

• Growing coastal population and infrastructure
• Increase in tropical cyclone activity

3
Meeting the ChallengesModel Improvements

• Improved physics
• Coupling the atmosphere with the ocean
• HWRF model of the future

4
Meeting the ChallengesResearch to Operations

• Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT)
• Mission To transfer more rapidly and smoothly
  new technology, research results, and
  observational advances into improved tropical
  cyclone analysis and prediction at operational
  centers.
• NOAA, Navy, and NASA

5
Meeting the ChallengesProbabilistic Information
Wind Speed Probability Graphic Product
6
Meeting the ChallengesProbabilistic Information
Wind Speed Probability Text Product
7
Meeting the ChallengesIncreased Data Collection

• GI-V, P-3, and USAFR aircraft
• Reconnaissance
• Surveillance

• Dropwindsondes
• SFMR

8
Meeting the ChallengesEducation, Outreach
Partnerships

• Training of local, state, federal and
  international emergency managers
• Hurricane Awareness Tours
• Internet
• Continue and strengthen partnerships with media,
  private weather sector, and emergency management

9
Final Thoughts

• Come a long way in hurricane prediction
• Remain vulnerable to a hurricane catastrophe
• WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV