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Currency Union: Should Britain join the Euro

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... Union: Should Britain join the Euro? 'Why Britain Should Steer Clear of the Euro' ... If Britain joins the euro zone, the country can participate and ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Currency Union: Should Britain join the Euro


1
Currency UnionShould Britain join the Euro?
  • Why Britain Should Steer Clear of the Euro
  • BusinessWeek (6/2/2003)

2
Political Considerations
  • If Britain joins the euro zone, the country can
    participate and will likely assume a leadership
    role in a stronger and more unified Europe. If
    not, Britain would remain outside the euro zone
    and risk being marginalized and losing its
    influence over the greater Europe.
  • A strong case still needs to be made to the
    British explaining why Britain should give up its
    own currency, a symbol of its national pride and
    sovereignty. Political resistance is expected to
    be strong against joining the currency union.

3
Economic Considerations
  • Adopting a common currency could lower
    transaction costs and eliminate currency risk for
    British companies to export to, import from, and
    invest in the euro zone. It would also make it
    more attractive for euro zone companies to trade
    with and invest in Britain. If Britain does not
    accept the euro, British companies would not,
    like euro zone companies, be able to enjoy the
    full benefits of the European single market.
    This would affect the long-term competitiveness
    of British companies compared to those euro zone
    companies.
  • Since a single currency implies a single interest
    rate, Britain would not have its own monetary
    policy to meet its domestic objectives. For
    example, it would not be able to raise interest
    rates to combat inflation or lower interest rates
    to spur domestic demand. A one-size-fits-all
    monetary policy dictated by the ECB would not
    work in general, because different countries can
    have different economic conditions and different
    domestic objectives. Such ECB policy can be at
    odds with the needs of the British economy.

4
Economic Considerations (Continued)
  • Joining the currency union would take away
    Britains ability to make exchange rate
    adjustment when needed. Since the advent of the
    euro, the common currency has already appreciated
    substantially. If the currency continued to
    strengthen, it could seriously undermine economic
    growth among euro zone countries. Individual
    member countries have little control over
    exchange rate policy.
  • Designed to limit budget imbalance and curb
    inflation, the European Unions Stability and
    Growth Pact requires each member country not to
    exceed a 3 cap on budget deficits as a share of
    GDP. If Britain joins the euro zone, the budget
    cap would constrain Britains ability to conduct
    fiscal policy to stimulate domestic demand when
    needed.
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