Title: 5. WHAT ARE THE KEY BENEFIT/COST MEASUREMENT METHODS FOR NATURAL RESOURCE
15. WHAT ARE THE KEY BENEFIT/COST MEASUREMENT
METHODS FOR NATURAL RESOURCE ENVIRONMENTAL
ISSUES?
- SPRING 2002
- Larry D. Sanders
Dept. of Ag Economics Oklahoma State
University
2INTRODUCTION
- Purpose to understand alternative ways to
measure value of natural resource/environmental
management options - Learning Objectives
- 1. To understand how Benefit Cost Analysis (BCA)
operationalizes utilitarian concepts of ethical
social policy making with money as a common
measure. - 2. BCA includes time future generations by
searching for present value of net benefits. - 3. There are several methods to apply BCA to
nonmarket goods, although ethical values
cultural considerations are not likely to be
quantified.
3Overview of Benefit/Cost Analysis (BCA)
- BCA provides a method to compare an array of
alternative public policy choices - If BgtC for a given policy, it says that for every
1 of project expense, more than a 1 of benefits
would be generated by the project - If there are several alternative projects to
resolve a problem, the project with the greatest
net benefits would be preferred, assuming to
ethical/cultural reasons to the contrary
4Overview of BCA (continued)
- For BCA to work
- apples oranges measured by money
- nonmarket goods/services measured by money
- proxy measures are sought if no market exists
- Alternatives to BCA
- public vote (democracy)
- those in power decide
- use a noneconomic decision rule (social,
cultural, religious, etc.)
5BCA (continued)
- Mix BCA w/others
- BCA used to guide/educate public/decision makers
- Integrated environmental assessment
- economics plus ecological/social/political/ethical
factors
6BCA compared to others
- BCA
- may be scientific, objective, equitably applied
- requires time/resources to conduct/evaluate
- ethical questions
- nonmarket goods problematic
- interdependencies problematic
- Noneconomic
- may be easy to do
- ethical questions (majority rule future
generations, etc) - subject to manipulation
7Efficiency is central to economic assessment...
- Minimize waste (of resource, profits, time)
- Ecosystem must be valued in monetary terms to be
included in efficient solution - Efficient policy option selects alternative
which generates most social utility relative to
status quo - Kaldor-Hicks PDV or gt status quo
- Pareto Criterion no other policy can make some
better off without making anyone worse off - B/C ratio policy w/greatest benefit per of
cost B/C gt 1
8Cost-Benefit Analysis Economic Measures
- Project evaluation, typically over time
- Choice of Discount Rate Key
- Higher rate lowers future value of b, c
- Risk-free real market rate of interest may be
preferred social discount rate (sdr) - Choice for sdr lt individual r suggests society
values future gt individuals value future - Potential for Abuse
- Assumptions who decides are critical
- May run counter to Native American Ethic, Deep
Ecology, Leopold land ethic, etc.
9Dynamic Efficiency
- Rapid development of resource drives price down
- Future price rapidly increases
- Hi future P suggests incentive to reduce current
production, thus raising current P potentially
reducing future P - Dynamic Efficiency maximum present discounted
value (PDV)
10Optimal Environmental Quality Level
- Opportunity Costs to reduce externality increase
as pollution levels approach zero - Marginal Abatement Cost Function (MAC)
- Damage (real perceived) to physical/natural
environment - Marginal Damage Function (MD)
- Optimal Level MD MAC
- Economics provides analytical tools society
provides the goals (sometimes thru market,
sometimes thru public action)
11Marginal Damage/Marginal Abatement
Marginal Damage FunctionMD
Damages Costs ()
Marginal Abatement Cost Function MAC
Pollution Level
Total Damage
Total Abatement Cost
12Economic Incentives to Improve Natural
Resource/Environmental Quality
- Marketable Pollution Permits
- Trade permits in market to equate MC across
polluters - Initial distribution
- history, auction, lottery
- equity geographic concerns
- Bonding Systems
- Liability Systems
- Pollution Subsidies
13Natural Resource/Environmental Valuation
- Determined by people willingness to make
trade-offs - Producer Consumer Surplus
- Nonmarket valuation--use non-use value
14Non-market Valuation Techniques
- Direct--hypothetical questions on willingness to
pay/sell (wtp/wts) - Contingent Valuation Method (CVM)
- open/closed-ended w/specific mechanism
- Conjoint Analysis
- preferences among bundles of characteristics
- Indirect (revealed preference)--peoples
decisions reveal preferences value - Hedonic Pricing/Wages
- Travel Cost Method (TCM)
15Economic Returns--Rent Applications (cont.)
- Land Values In theory, current market value
present value of expected future land rents
worth of current investment held at acceptable
interest rate - Discounting determines present worth of expected
rental returns negative premium on waiting - Present Value Future Value / (1rate)
- Future Value Present Value x (1 rate)
- rate appropriate discount rate
- social discount rate?
- Risk-free real market rate of interest?
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