Ageing and Cultural Diversity Demographics and Challenges

1
Ageing and Cultural Diversity Demographics and
Challenges

• Diane Gibson and the staff of the Ageing and Aged
  Care Unit

2
Predicting the future

• Economic forecasting is useful for predicting the
  future up to about ten years ahead. Beyond ten
  years it rapidly becomes meaningless. Beyond ten
  years the quantitative changes which the forecast
  assesses are usually sidetracked or made
  irrelevant by qualitative changes in the rules of
  the game. Qualitative changes are produced by
  human cleverness or by human stupidity Neither
  cleverness nor stupidity is predictable
• (Freeman Dyson)

3
Population of Australia, 2001 and 2011
4
Population aged 75

• 3.5 of population in 2001 (677,100)
• 6.4 of population in 2011 (1,368,800)
• 102 increase over the period

5
The future culturally and linguistically
diverse population 65
6
Older persons from culturally and linguistically
diverse backgrounds
7
Main countries of birth for older people from a
CLDB
8
Countries which maintain a significant presence
in the 65 population
9
Countries which significantly increase their
presence in the 65 population
10
Countries with significantly reduced presence in
the 65 population over the projection period
11
Profile of community care clients, 02-03
12
HACC service usage (per 1000)
13
CACP service usage (per 1000)
14
Residential aged care service usage (per 1000)
15
What are the differences?

• Older people from a culturally and linguistically
  diverse background are
• More likely to be living with their children (30
  vs 17)
• Less likely to be living alone (21 vs 29)
• Have a larger proportion of men (49 vs 42)
• Are younger (8 are 85 compared to 12)

16
What are the differences?

• Older people from a culturally and linguistically
  diverse background
• Are ageing more rapidly
• Show some indications of poorer health
• Are less likely to be covered by superannuation
  schemes
• Are likely to have retired earlier (and more
  often due to redundancy
• Are more likely to be dependent on a govt pension

17
Within group differences

• The EP classification
• EP group 3 (Greece, Italy, Hungary, Poland and
  others)
• EP group 4 (Vietnam, China and Turkey and others)
• Shows for example that the poorer health status
  is located in EP groups 3 and 4, not 1 or 2.
• Shows lower incomes for EP groups 3 and 4, and
  lower home ownership rates for EP group 4.

18
For more information

• Projections of older immigrants, 1996-2026 (2001)
  by Gibson, Braun, Benham Mason. Canberra AIHW
  http//www.aihw.gov.au/publications/index.cfm?typ
  edetailid6786
• Independence in ageing the social and financial
  circumstances of older overseas-born Australians.
  (2000) by Benham Gibson with Holmes Rowland.
  Canberra Department of Immigration
  Multicultural Affairs and AIHW. (Available from
  DIMA)
• AIHW Ageing and Aged Care Unit web
  portalhttp//www.aihw.gov.au/agedcare/index.html
  
• AIHW web sitehttp//www.aihw.gov.au/index.html

19
Ageing and Cultural Diversity Demographics and
Challenges

• Diane Gibson and the staff of the Ageing and Aged
  Care Unit