CA Cumulative Energy GWh Savings: Utility EE Programs and Bldg.

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• Miracle or Mirage
• The California Efficiency Success Story
• 2008 NASUCA MID-YEAR MEETING
• June 24, 2008
• Cynthia Mitchell, Principal
• Energy Economics Inc.

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Fig. 1 CA Cumulative Energy GWh Savings Utility
EE Programs and Bldg. Appliance Standards
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Fig. 2 Per Capita Electricity Use in the U.S.
and CA 1960-2004
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EE CAs Highest Priority ResourceCPUC / CEC
June 2006

• Because of its EE standards and program
  investments, electricity use per person in CA has
  remained relatively stable over the past 30
  years, while nationwide electricity use has
  increased by almost 50.

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CECs 2007 Integrated Energy Policy Report
(IPER), December 2007

• Largely as a result of these energy
  efficiency policies, CA has the lowest
  electricity use per person in the nation. While
  the United States has increased by nearly 50
  percent over the past 30 years, CAs per capita
  electricity use remained almost flat,
  demonstrating the success of a variety of
  cutting-edge energy efficiency programs and
  cost-effective building and appliance efficiency
  standards.

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Energy Action Plan 2008 Status Update CEC / CPUC
February 2008

• We have included one of CAs famous graphics
  of success in EE. As the figure indicates U.S.
  v. CA Per Capita Electricity Sales, electricity
  use per person in California has remained
  relatively stable over the past 30 years, while
  nationwide electricity use has increased by about
  50 percent.

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Fig. 3 Change in Per Capita Res Elec. Use vs.
Change in Annual Res Savings from Utility EE
Programs 1969-2000 (with 1 year lag)
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Fig. 4 Change in CA Per Capita Res Electricity
Consumption vs. Change in CA Price of Res
Electricity 1970-2004
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Fig. 5 Change in CA Per Capita Res Elec.
Consumption and Change in CA Price of Res.
Elec. 1970-2004
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Fig. 6 Per Capita Res Elec Consumption and Price
of Res Elec 2004 by State
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Fig. 7 Per Capita Consumption of Res Electricity
in CA vs. Cooling Degree Days for the Pacific
Region 1969-2003
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Fig. 8 Average HH Size in CA and the US
1970-2004
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Fig. 9 Multi-Family and Attached Housing as a
of Total Housing Units
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Fig. 10 Percent of Households Reporting That
They Lower Winter Temperature Settings, 2001
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Fig. 11 Energy-Intensive Industries as a of
Manufacturing GDP/GSP 2005
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Fig. 12 Energy Intensive Industries as of
Total Manufacturing Employment 2005
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Fig. 13 CA Cumulative Energy GWh Savings
Utility EE Programs and Bldg. Appliance
Standards
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Fig. 12 Re-ordered CA Cumulative Energy GWh
Savings Utility EE Programs and Standards
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Fig. 13 Forecast of CA Cumulative GWh Savings
2004-2013 Based on the Utilities Forecast of EE
Program Savings
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EE is Good for CA Lowers Energy Costs,
Supports Economic Development and Creates Jobs in
CA

• Energy conservation and energy efficiency
  support economic development and create jobs by
  lowering energy costs, which allows businesses
  and households to make greater investments in
  non-energy goods, equipment, and services and
  reduces the outflow of money spent on imported
  energy supplies.
• Each dollar spent on energy efficiency in
  California provides about 2 in net bene

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Fig. 14 Sensitivity on Levelized Costs for
IOUs 2006-2008 Portfolios including Shareholder
Earnings
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Lets Talk CFLs.

• Energy Star-qualified CFLs nearly doubled in 2007
  with 290 million CLFs sold, accounting for 20 of
  the light bulb market through ES retail partners
  such as Wal-Mart, Lowes, Home Depot, Costco,
  Menards, Ace Hardware, Sams Club, etc.
• Wal-Mart surpasses its 2007 goal of 1 million
  CFLs at 137 million.
• Wal-Mart and Home Depot national pricing
• DOE / EPA Change a Light, Change the World
  campaign.

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and more CFL Talk

• China largest producer at 80 of global output
  2 billion 2006 and 2007.
• European market for CFLs exploding 240 million
  to 400 million end of 2007.
• Incandescent lamp sales falling 10 -12 per year,
  w/ various state, national, international bans
  near-term incandescent production.

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and now some CA CFL Talk

• CA IOUs 06-08 75 million CFLs _at_ manuf. Cost 2.00 lamp, or
• CA IOU CFLS sold at Wal-Mart, Lowes, Home Depot,
  Costco, Menards, Ace Hardware, Sams Club, etc.
• IOUs 06-08 savings claims majority CFLs
• CA IOUs 06-08 EE costing 2.2 billion
• Residential lighting load 90 winter mid- and
  off-peak.

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and just a bit more CA CFLs

• CA IOUs paying manufacturers 1.70 to 1.90 per
  CFL to get retail lamp price down to 0.50 to
  1.25 per lamp.
• CA consumers (consumer/ratepayer) paying minimum
  2 times what consumers outside of CA paying
  (Wal-Mart / Home Depot national pricing per CFL).
• Closer to 4 times when counting CA IOUs total
  overhead and internal expenses.

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