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Title: The Taguchi Loss Function and the Definition of Optimal


1
  • The Taguchi Loss Function and the Definition of
    Optimal Performance

2
The Taguchi Loss Function and the Definition of
Optimal Performance
  • A primary goal of management in any organization
    should be the effective allocation of resources
    aimed at optimizing the performance of the
    processes entrusted to them.
  • Given this goal the obvious question to ask is,
    how can optimal performance be defined and
    achieved in a practical sense?
  • The answer to this question is based on the
    application of Shewharts theory of variation
    already presented combined with the concept known
    as the average loss function developed by Dr.
    Genichi Taguchi.

3
The Concept of "Ideal Performance
  • Consider any process for which a performance
    characteristic X is routinely measured which
    characterizes the performance of the process.
  • Let T denote the target value for X, such that
    the ideal performance is defined as X T.
  • That is, the process is operating in an ideal
    state if it always produces its output with the
    performance characteristic identically equal to
    the target value T with no variability.

4
The Employee Attendance Example
  • Consider employee attendance within any process.
    Let X equal the percent of scheduled work hours
    that an employee actually works during the pay
    period. The target value for X is T 100, and
    ideal performance would be defined as perfect
    attendance. That is, X 100 for every
    employee for every pay period.

5
The Patient Transport Example
  • Consider a patient transport process, and let V
    equal the variance from target arrival time in
    the ancillary unit. The target value for V is
    clearly T 0, and ideal performance would be
    defined as every transport completed with
    variance from target arrival time V 0 minutes.

6
The Medication Ordering Example
  • Consider the process of filling medication orders
    in a pharmacy. Let X equal the daily error rate
    associated with filling the orders. In this case
    the target value for X is T 0, and the ideal
    performance is X 0. That is, the process
    produces no medication errors.

7
The Accounts Payable Example
  • Consider an accounts payable process, and let X
    equal the number of days it takes to pay a vendor
    once the invoice is received. Suppose the terms
    of payment are 30 days upon receipt. The target
    number of days to pay might be T 30 days, and
    ideal performance would be defined as paying
    every invoice at exactly 30 days from receipt of
    invoice.

8
The Cup Weight Example
  • Consider the HD-2 filling process. Let X equal
    the net weight of a cup filled by the process.
    In this case the target value might be T 240
    grams, and ideal performance is X 240 grams.
    That is, the machine fills every cup with exactly
    240 grams of product.

9
The Concept of "Ideal Performance
  • It should be obvious that in practice ideal
    performance can never be achieved.
  • This is because in the ideal state there is no
    variation in process performance, and therefore
    the performance of the process is totally
    predictable.
  • But the axiom of variation does not allow for
    such an ideal state to exist, and therefore a
    search must be made for a more practical view of
    optimal process performance.

10
The Taguchi Loss Function - L(x)
  • Consider any process for which the performance
    characteristic X is measured on the process
    output, and let T denote the target value for X.
  • Further assume that the process is in a state of
    statistical control about an average or mean
    value denoted by µ, and with a standard deviation
    denoted by ?.
  • Although it may not be known exactly, it is
    reasonable to assume that some economic loss is
    incurred for each individual output X, and that
    the loss depends upon the deviation of the
    measured output from target (i.e., on the
    difference X-T).

11
The Taguchi Loss Function - L(x)
  • In mathematical terms, the loss associated with X
    can be expressed as a function of X, denoted by
    L(X), with the following general properties.
  • 1) L(T) 0 i.e., the loss is minimized
    when X T
  • 2) L(X) increases as X deviates
  • from T.

Figure 7.1. A Typical Loss Function
12
The Average or Expected Loss - EL(x)
  • Because of the variation in process performance,
    the value of the performance characteristic X is
    not constant.
  • If the process is operating in a state of
    statistical control, however, the behavior of X
    is characterized by a single statistical
    distribution (i.e., the process distribution).

13
The Average or Expected Loss - EL(x)
  • Figure 7.2 illustrates the relationship between
    the loss function L(X) and the process
    distribution.

Figure 7.2. Relationship Between L(X) and f(X)
14
The Average or Expected Loss - EL(x)
  • Although it is beyond the scope of this book, it
    can be shown that the expected loss as defined
    above reduces to
  • ELoss k?2 (? - T)2 .
  • The important summary points resulting from this
    fairly complex mathematical analysis are the
    following.
  • For any process that is in a state of statistical
    control, the average loss incurred over time is
    directly proportional to the process variance
    plus the square of the deviation of the process
    mean from the target value.

15
The Average or Expected Loss - EL(x)
  • These results have great practical, as well as
    theoretical, value. Note that the value for the
    unknown proportionality constant K is not
    important. No matter what K equals, the average
    loss is minimized by minimizing ?2 and (µ-T)2.
    Therefore, we can assume for convenience that K
    1.
  • The loss function concept clearly demonstrates
    that for any process and any loss function L, in
    order to control and minimize the average loss
    over time, focus must be placed on
  • 1) bringing the process into statistical
    control
  • 2) bringing the process mean on target (i.e.,
    moving µ as close as possible to T) and
  • 3) minimizing the process variance ?2.

16
The Average or Expected Loss - EL(x)
  • It is this analysis that has led to the new
    definition of world class quality as on-target
    with minimum variance, and to the operational
    definition of optimal performance.

17
The Definition of Optimal Performance
  • The average loss function concept leads directly
    to the following practical, operational
    definition of "optimal performance."
  • A Process . . . is operating in an optimal
    manner if
  • 1) the process is operating in a state of
    statistical control
  • 2) the process mean has been brought as close to
    the target value T as is physically and
    practically possible and
  • 3) the process standard deviation has been
    reduced to the economically minimum value.

18
Estimating the Average Loss
  • The average loss function is estimated using the
    measured values of the performance characteristic
    X obtained routinely from the process, and the
    summary statistics used to create the process
    control charts.
  • The data are first used to establish that the
    process is in a reasonable state of statistical
    control by creating average and range charts, or
    average and standard deviation charts.
  • If the control charts indicate that the process
    is in control, then let
  • denote the center line for the average chart and
    or denote the center line for the range
    or S chart.

19
Estimating the Average Loss
  • Letting K 1, the average loss function is then
    estimated by either

20
The Patient Transport Example
  • Consider the patient transport example, and let
    the target value be T 15 minutes. A study was
    conducted in which the total transport time was
    tracked on 120 consecutive transports.
  • Figure 7.3 is the histogram of the transport
    times. The trips were ordered chronologically
    and placed into rational subgroups of size n5.
    The average and range charts were constructed,
    and they are presented in Figure 7.4 which
    indicates that the process is in statistical
    control

21
The Patient Transport Example
Figure 7.3. Histogram of Patient Transport Times
Figure 7.4. Control Charts for Transport Times
22
The Patient Transport Example
  • Based on these charts, the process mean µ, and
    the process standard deviation ? are estimated
    by
    minutes,
    respectively. Therefore, the average loss is
    estimated to be

23
The Patient Transport Example
  • In this case the inherent process variation
    (i.e., ? 2) accounts for (62.29/82.72) x 100
    75 of the economic loss in the transport
    process. The amount by which the process mean is
    off target contributes only 25 to the loss.
  • Therefore, management should first address those
    factors causing variation in the transport time
    from trip to trip, and redesign the process with
    the primary goal of reducing the variation in the
    process. A secondary concern should be moving
    the average transport time closer to the 15
    minute target.

24
Loss Function Analysis ofCup Compression
Strength Exercise
  • The compression strength of plastic cups created
    by a thermoforming process is a critical
    performance characteristic. If the compression
    strength is too low then the cups will crush when
    stacked in pallets.
  • Engineering studies determined that the
    compression strength of an individual cup must
    exceed 60 lbs to enure that the cup will not
    crush when stacked in pallets.
  • Perform a loss function analysis on compression
    strength using the data presented in Table 7.1.

25
Loss Function Analysis ofCup Compression
Strength Exercise
Table 7.1. Cup Compression Strength Data
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