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EXPECTED CLIMATE IMPACTS

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Title: EXPECTED CLIMATE IMPACTS


1
  • EXPECTED CLIMATE IMPACTS
  • Agriculture impacts on food security
  • Natural resources water, energy,
  • Health
  • Social change conflicts
  • Increasing natural disasters

2
Climate change is unequivocal and global
IPCC
3
(No Transcript)
4
HURRICANE KATRINA
5
HURRICANE KATRINA
6
CYCLONE NARGIS FLOODING IN OUTSKIRTS OF YANGON
7

DISASTERS
HUMAN DISASTERS
NATURAL DISASTERS


SUDDEN
TECHNOLOGICAL
SLOW
ENVIRONMENTAL
- Greenhouse effect - Deforestation -
Uncontrolled town planning, megacities
- Drying Lakes
- Chemistry (Bhopal, AZT) - Nuclear
(Chernobyl) - Oil spill
- Earthquakes - Tsunami - Volcanic Eruptions
- Floods
- Landslides - Storms, Hurricanes, -
Cyclones
  • - Desertification
  • Drought

INTERACTIONS COMPLEX DISASTERS
8
HAZARD
VULNERABILITY
RISK
x

V
R
H
x

9
  • Increasing vulnerability/complexity
  • Development of megacities
  • Growing inter-connection natural /technological
    disasters
  • Technological dependance (power, computers,
    communication systems)
  • Growing globalization growing interdependency
    growing vulnerability from distant disasters
  •  Inconceivable  events 

10
BREAKING THE LINK
  • Prevention
  • Preparedness
  • Risk management

DISASTERS ARE NOT INEVITABLE
HAZARDS ARE INEVITABLE
11
(No Transcript)
12
HURRICANE DEAN CATEGORY 2 STORM ON AUGUST 16
13
HURRICANE DEAN PHOTO FROM ENDEAVOR ON AUGUST 18
14
CYCONES IN BANGLADESH
  • Facts
  • In 1970, a cyclone caused 400.000 deaths and
    left 1.3 million homeless
  • Installation of a cyclone early warning system
  • In 1985, thanks to the early warning, a cyclone
    of same intensity caused a number of deaths
    limited to 10.000

15
CYCLONE NARGIS APPROACHING BANGLADESH MAY 1,
2008
16
CYCLONE NARGIS FLOODING IN OUTSKIRTS OF YANGON
17
  • MYANMAR CYCLONE
  • Inadequate warning and evacuation systems
  • Inadequate advance preparations
  • Limited expertise for disaster assistance

18
(No Transcript)
19
  • Barriers to disaster reduction
  • perception of inevitability fatalism
  • prevention measures neglected
  • information about natural disasters and
    disaster reduction techniques is not
    disseminated
  • planning divorced from hazard management

20
  • Women are more vulnerable to natural hazards
  • Women are key actors in disaster
    preparedness

21
  • Women constitute up to 80 of refugee and
    displaced populations
  • In emergency situations women and children make
    up 70 to 80 of those needing assistance
  • (IUCN)

22
Bangladesh Cyclone 1991
  • Women aged 20-44 death rate was 71 per 1000
  • Men aged 20-44 death rate was 15 per 1000
  • (IUCN)

23
WHY ARE WOMEN MORE VULNERABLE Biological, social
and economical differences
  • Women have less access to resources
  • Women are victims of the gendered division of
    labour
  • 3. Women are primarily responsible for domestic
    duties, are caregivers

24
WHY ARE WOMEN MORE VULNERABLE Biological, social
and economical differences
4. Early warning systems are orientated
towards males
5. After a natural disaster, women are more
likely to become victims of domestic and sexual
violence 6. Migration due to climate change
will leave women behind

25
TROPICAL CYCLONE SIDR DESPAIR
26
Survivors Temporary Housing, May 10
27
HOMELESS AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE MIANZHU
28
Womens role in Disaster Risk Management
  • WOMEN ARE KEY ACTORS IN BUILDING, SHAPING AND
    SUSTAINING RESILIENT COMMUNITIES

Photo Credit Joanne Omang
29
Womens role in Disaster Risk Management
  • Women respond to disasters

Building houses digging wells and ditches
hauling water and building shelters, considered
as male tasks.
Forming groups and networks which is essential
in disaster preparedness and mitigation.
30
Womens role in Disaster Risk Management
  • Women play decision-making roles in disaster
    issues
  • Women and young girls play an important role in
    their families and communities (in health,
    education and childcare).

Posted by Mayan Families www.mayanfamilies.org/6a
61re2.jpg
31
  • Promote Gender Concerns

Launch global campaign on disaster reduction in
which gender is fully mainstreamed
Urge governments policies and strategies with
gender balanced approaches
Establish focal points to promote gender
balanced approaches at all levels
32
Looking to Natural Disasters from a Gender
Perspective
Ensure womens access to policy-making,
information and knowledge on disaster reduction
Respond to women's needs and concerns
Gender-based approach to the study on natural
disasters
Increase efforts in promoting gender equalities
Acknowledge womens vulnerable status
Strengthen the dialogue within between
communities and the national government
capacity-building
Assure womens access to relief resources
33
Good practices and Lessons Learned
  • Hurricane Mitch, Honduras, 1998 Garifuna
    Emergency Committee of Honduras was created to
    promote womens leadership in decision-making
    roles.
  • Indian Ocean Tsunami, India, December 2004
    Tsunami Relief and Rehabilitation Programmes
    were led by women from the communities involved.
  • Earthquake, Pakistan, 2005 Potohar
    Organization for Development Advocacy (PODA)
    promotes womens rights following a disaster.

34
Fresh water management should take into account
the needs and role both of men and women through
an equitable approach
35
Women and Water
  • They have major role in
  • managing
  • communal safe maintaining
  • regulation control of the social use
  • of
  • WATER SUPPLY

36
Women collectors, users managers of water
They provide household water
They cook, clean take care of the sick
They have vital role in agriculture
37
Limited access to energy has a disproportionate
effect on women, especially in rural areas.
  • Risk for their health and safety
  • They are not able to perform essential child-care
  • Limits the opportunities for better education
  • Electricity is essential for creating new
    employment opportunities
  • Energy services enable improved food production
    and human well-being
  • - Energy poverty is a main factor for increased
    migration
  • ENERGY IS A KEY FACTOR IN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL
    DEVELOPMENT

38
DISCRIMINATION LESS PAYMENT LESS EDUCATION LESS
ACCESS TO NATURAL RESOURCES LESS FINANCIAL
RESOURCES BEING MORE EXPOSED TO RISKS BEING
EXCLUDED OF PLANNING DECISION MAKING
39
The United Nations system engaged
in disaster reduction
World Meteorological Organization
WORLD BANK
40
  • United
  • Nations
  • Educational
  • Scientific (natural, environmental, social)
  • Cultural (culture, communication, information)
  • Organization

41
Long-term Goals
  • Observation and early warning networks of natural
    hazards
  • Hazard risk mapping
  • Disaster-resistant building codes
  • Education for disaster reduction
  • Help make schools safer
  • Promotion of public awareness through
    communication
  • Protection of cultural monuments and sites

42
  • Hydrological hazards
  • Studies of hydrological processes of floods,
  • Design of engineering works for flood control
  • Development of a decision-support system for
    urban water disaster mitigation
  • International Flood Programme/Initiative.

43
  • International
  • Consortium on Landslides

44
  • Drought/desertification
  • The Man and Biosphere Programme (MAB).
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