FISTERA http:fistera'jrc'es

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FISTERA http//fistera.jrc.es/
Fistera a dynamic platform for Foresight on IST
in an enlarged Europe Meeting with IST-ERA WG
18 November 2003 J.C. Burgelman, C. Pascu
P.Desruelle (IPTS Fistera project
lead) Institute for Prospective Technological
Studies.Seville, Spain http//esto.jrc.es Joint
Research Centre http//www.jrc.cec.eu.int
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FISTERA http//fistera.jrc.es/

• What is FISTERA
• Why Objectives
• European added value
• Main organisations involved
• Approach
• Main milestones expected results

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What is FISTERA?

• A Thematic Network on Foresight on Information
  Society Technologies in the European Research
  Area
• Competitive action under the European IST
  programme (FP V)
• Started on 01 September 2002 - Duration of 3
  years
• Currently 17 Network Members
• Coordinated by JRC-IPTS

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What is FISTERA?

• Aim
• To bring together on a systematic and extended
  basis, actors and insights in national foresight
  exercises on IST in order to provide input to FP7
  (in particular the IST programme).
• Involve as much as possible the key IST policy
  makers and players in the EU and at the national
  level.

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What is FISTERA?

• Three main objectives
• Compare results of national foresight exercises
• Provide a new forum for consensus building on
  future visions for IST
• Contribute to constructing the European Research
  Area through benchmarking and community building,
  by providing a dynamic pan European platform on
  foresight on ISTs

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FISTERA Value for the EU

• Community Added Value
• Rapid growth of Foresight in Europe since the
  mid-1990s more recently in the Candidate
  Countries
• Nearly all these exercises have involved an
  activity on ISTs
• Currently no mechanism to prevent overlap and
  redundancy in the carrying out of foresight work
• FISTERA is expected to
• Reduce duplication of efforts and increase mutual
  learning and sharing of results
• Help development of a more coherent structuring
  of the Foresight research community in ISTs,
  within the context of ERA under FP6 and in
  preparation of FP7

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FISTERA Who?

• Network Members
• 5 core scientific partners JRC-IPTS (EU),
  FZK-ITAS (D), Telecom Italia Lab (I), ARC/sr (A),
  PREST (UK)
• Currently 11 members in UK, NL, DK, E, PT, BG,
  HU, SL, TR, IRL USA, and a subcontractor in F
• High Level Group of senior Industry people
• Administrator GCI (B)
• Close interaction with
• DG Information Society, ISTAG, European
  Parliamentary Technology Assessment (EPTA)
  Network,

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FISTERA how?

• Approach
• Reviewing analysing national foresight exercise
  outcome
• Building aggregate pan-European Technology
  trajectories
• Mapping the European IST actor space
• Providing an IST Futures Forum
• Disseminating results interacting with the IST
  community

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FISTERA Workpackage 1Review and analysis of
national foresights

• Key Achievements
• Synthesis of selected foresight exercises at the
  national level and eight case studies (available
  on FISTERA website at http//fistera.jrc.es and
  on the ITAS workpackage1 site http//www.itas.fzk.
  de/eng/projects/fistera/wp1.htm)
• Web site presenting detailed information on
  workpackage1 (http//www.itas.fzk.de/eng/projects/
  fistera/wp1.htm)
• Collection of information on further IST-related
  foresight studies.
• Future Targets
• Supplemented and updated synthesis of selected
  foresight
• exercises at the national level (February 2005)

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FISTERA Workpackage 2European Technology
Trajectories

• Key Achievements
• Collection of information on technologies
• Web site presenting detailed information on
  workpackage2 (http//fistera.telecomitalialab.com)
  
• Preparation and initial development of database
  and web site in order to manage the information
  on technology trajectories.
• A timeline on the first group of selected
  technologies, including a presentation of the
  methodology and guidelines for using information
  in what-if analyses (September 2003)
• Future Targets
• A revised timeline expanded to include other
  selected emerging technologies, including an
  assessment of the previous timeline and refined
  guidelines for what-if analyses (September 2004)
• Two key emerging technology roadmaps
• A guideline for what-if simulation and a better
  understanding of relationships among technologies
  evolution and market pull

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FISTERA Workpackage 3IST Actor Space Mapping

• Key Achievements
• Collection of names and addresses of possible key
  actors
• Construction of the database
• Preparation of co-nomination questionnaire
• Questionnaire mailed to key actors in database
  and initial processing of responses.
• Future Targets
• Report on European IST actor space and an
  assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of
  European IST research and industry (September
  2004)
• A SWOT analysis of the EU IST actor space
  represents the second main milestone, both as a
  stand-alone result and for use in the scenario
  development process

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FISTERA Workpackage 4IST Futures Forum

• Building upon the findings of Work Packages 2
  and 3, this workpackage will promote a greater
  understanding of the feasibility and desirability
  of alternative visions of the future for IST. It
  will generate new scenarios from the emerging
  results of the project and with the participation
  of IST experts. These will promote discussion and
  debate, and be used as visions to stimulate
  strategic thinking and monitor progress. Also, it
  will contribute to the development of
  scenario-based methodologies to be deployed in
  future forward-looking work in relation to ISTs.
• Key Achievements
• Collation of key data resources (reports,
  interviews)
• Classification and production of background
  analysis
• Future Targets
• Synthesis of the starter scenarios prepared in
  connection with workpackages 2 and 3 (July 2004)
• IST Futures Forum methodology (Feb 2005)
• Final report describing scenarios elaborated by
  the IST Futures Forum (Aug 2005)

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FISTERA Workpackage 5Dissemination and
Interaction with the Research Community

• Key Achievements
• A continuously updated FISTERA Web site
  (http//fistera.jrc.es)
• Compilation of the e-mail alert list, as a key
  channel for the interactive dissemination of
  FISTERA results continuous
• Publication of articles in academic journals,
  workshop, seminar and conference presentations
• 15 national roadshows (first round) begun in
  Summer 2003 presenting the results of the first
  two workpackages
• Future Targets
• The expected result of this workpackage is to
  enable FISTERA to disseminate its findings in a
  focussed and interactive manner to the relevant
  constituencies, thus contributing to a ERA for
  ISTs, and to make FISTERA a reference for
  European foresight in IST.
• A second round of about 15 national roadshow
  workshops (Summer-Autumn 2004)
• Final conference and book (September 2005)
• Plan for exploitation of FISTERA results beyond
  the end date

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Roadshow workshops

• A Roadshow workshop will be organised by each of
  the FISTERA partners in both Year I and Year 2.
  Around 15 workshops will be organised per year.
  These nationallybased events will gather
  together around 30-50 of the key IST foresight
  players in the country and relevant industry
  representatives, therefore enabling FISTERA to
  reach more effectively a larger and more targeted
  audience more cost effectively.
• The principal objectives of the workshops are
• To secure the interest, support and participation
  (buy-in) of the relevant national IST and
  foresight communities
• To obtain validation of project results by local
  experts
• To provide feedback from workshop participants on
  the project results presented
• To influence the future of the project and of
  foresight in IST more generally
• To increase awareness and attractiveness of
  FISTERA and to enlarge the FISTERA community
• To expose and investigate, through expert
  discussion, problems identified by the project
  and
• To support the development of a platform for IST
  foresight.

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Roadshow workshops

• Past roadshows
• 27 June, Venice, Italy - TILAB
• 19 September, Sofia, Bulgaria - ARC Fund (within
  Foretech workshop)
• 1 October, Hague, The Netherlands TNO
  (ICT-Forum)
• 30 October, Graz, Austria - ARC/s (FIT-IT event)
• 20 October, Mataro-Barcelona, Spain - TCM (Mataro
  International Conference)
• Next roadshows
• 19 November, Montpellier, France IDATE (IDATE
  International Conference)
• 26 November, Berlin, Germany ITAS
• 8 December, Copenhagen, Denmark DTI (Synergy
  with Danish Technology Foresight)
• 17 December, Budapest, Hungary IQSOFT
• 21 January 2004, Oxford, UK PREST   

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FISTERA Website statistics(October 2002- Mid
September 2003)
The first round of co-nomination survey in
Workpackage3 IST Actor space and the first
e-mail sent to the FISTERA alert list in June
2003 have increased considerably visibility of
FISTERA in the research community. Most accessed
pages main page, the Workpackage1 page (D1.1
report case-studies - E, F, UK, H and SE in the
TOP10), the News page (events).Most the
accesses came from I, D, UK Most downloaded docs
Workpackage1 synthesis report case-studies
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FISTERA Main Milestones Expected Results

• 2003
• First synthesis of foresight exercises available
  eight recent national foresight exercises
  analysed
• 1st Selection of Key European Technologies
  Trajectories ten technology trajectories and
  nine disruptions identified
• 1st series of national workshops in all
  participating countries (ongoing)
• 2004
• 2nd Selection of Key European Technologies
  Trajectories
• Mapping of the EU IST actor space (ongoing)
• Second series of national workshops (planning)
• 2005
• IST Futures Forum (planning started)
• Update of synthesis of foresight exercises
• Final conference - Book

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FISTERA and ERA (1)

• Stronger focus in than in previous foresights on
  societal problems
• No homogeneity across countries in many respects
  (scope, motivation, methodology, treatment of
  ICTs, time horizon, participation, etc.)
• Foresight as a process seems more important than
  intrinsic output.
• "Experts" often carried away by hype.
  Participants sometimes have difficulties truly
  "thinking forward".

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FISTERA and ERA (2)

• Great interest involvement of sponsor needed
  (DG INFSO)
• Enthusiasm of partners members (filling a
  need)
• Need for ERA wide foresight and FS platform in
  IST
• Scientific credibility of core group very
  important
• Hands on management more than necessary
• Dissemination is very expensive (time and
  labour)
• Web based collaboration difficult

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FISTERA and ERA (2)

• Most Important
• Develop the common vision and approach to the IS
  in an enlarged Europe in 2010
• Involve as many as possible key players into the
  Fistera process.
• http//fistera.jrc.es/