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PPA 415 Statistical Methods in Public Administration

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Are arrests for DUI increasing over time? Hypotheses can also be causal. Do increases in DUI arrests reduce deaths in motor vehicle accidents? ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: PPA 415 Statistical Methods in Public Administration


1
PPA 415 Statistical Methods in Public
Administration
  • Lecture 1c Research Design Summary

2
Research Questions
  • Research questions can be descriptive.
  • What is happening to a variable currently or what
    will happen in the future?
  • Research questions can be causal.
  • What factors are causing a variable to change?
  • What factors influence the key variables in the
    research question?

3
Variables
  • Concepts, variables, indicators.
  • Causal direction.
  • Independent variables (causes).
  • Dependent variables (effects).

4
Hypotheses
  • Hypotheses can be descriptive.
  • Are arrests for DUI increasing over time?
  • Hypotheses can also be causal.
  • Do increases in DUI arrests reduce deaths in
    motor vehicle accidents?
  • Does nearness to a presidential election increase
    the likelihood of granting a major disaster
    declaration?

5
Sampling
  • Population (states, counties, IAEM members).
  • Random samples (simple, systematic, cluster,
    random digit dialing).
  • Snowball sampling
  • Purposive or haphazard sampling.

6
Data Collection Procedures
  • Surveys.
  • Agency records and primary documents.
  • Direct observation.
  • Existing data sets (Census, BLS, ICPSR, etc.).
    www.fedstats.gov.
  • Participant observation.
  • Focus groups.
  • Literature review.

7
Data Analysis Procedures Quantitative (What,
Where, When)
  • Descriptive statistics (mean, median, mode,
    standard deviation).
  • Inferential statistics.
  • T-tests, analyses of variance, chi-square, cross
    tabulation.
  • Measures of association.
  • Bivariate.
  • Regression-based analysis.
  • Multivariate analysis.
  • Multiple regression, analysis of covariance,
    logistic regression.
  • Data reduction (factor analysis, scaling).

8
Data Analysis Procedures Qualitative (Why, How).
  • Focus group summaries.
  • Interview summaries.
  • Historical analysis.
  • Content analysis.
  • Case studies.
  • Ethnography.
  • Participant observation.

9
Interpretation, Conclusions
  • Looking for answers to research questions.
  • Quantitative research often asks what, where, and
    when. Focuses on common elements across
    subjects. Makes inferences to whole population.
  • Qualitative research asks why and how. Focuses
    on what is unique across subjects. Makes
    in-depth analysis of complexities of choice.
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