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The Future of Transportation

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The Future of Transportation Fred Abousleman Executive Director National Association of Regional Councils – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: The Future of Transportation


1
The Future of Transportation
  • Fred Abousleman
  • Executive Director
  • National Association of Regional Councils

2
Thank you
  • Thanks to Rural Arizona Partners
  • Rural Transportation Advocacy Council
  • Yuma MPO
  • Western Arizona COG
  • Sponsors/Speakers and Friends

3
The future?
  • Hard to predict next year
  • Especially in transportation funding and finance
  • We can however assume a few things

4
The future?
  • Assumptions based on trends
  • Double/triple population
  • Declining condition of infrastructure
  • Less and less gross percentage of economy spent
    on infrastructure
  • Population densification
  • Older population
  • More diverse population
  • Congestion of roads, rail, ports, airspace
    because of
  • massive, complex, new global trade networks

5
Pacific Trade 2000 - 2010
6
The future
  • Climate and energy concerns
  • Drastically changed climate
  • Less oil need for alternative fuels
  • fixing for technology
  • Clean engines
  • Affordable high speed rail
  • Low impact aviation
  • Smart cars and highways

7
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8
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9
The future
  • Fixes?
  • Multi-modal system
  • High speed rail (freight and passenger?)
  • Smart highways and smarter cars
  • On-demand and smart transit systems
  • Aviation congestion technology
  • New engines, alloys, fuels
  • Acceptance that we have to invest
  • And build less, use what we have more efficiently
  • Innovative finance
  • RIIZs
  • Smart parking, smart EMS, smart everything

10
Current State of the Nation
  • US economic conditions is hitting everything
    federal, state and local budgets are under
    constraints and cuts.
  • ASCE has given our nation's public infrastructure
    a D, estimating that it will cost 2.5T over the
    next five years just to repair current
    infrastructure
  • More than 72,000 miles of municipal water and
    sewer pipe are more than 80 years old,
    threatening the public health and economies of
    communities large and small
  • Japan, China, India, and the EU are investing
    much more in infrastructure

11
The Nation
  • The U.S. spends less than 1 of GDP on
    infrastructure
  • China spends 9
  • India spends 3.5
  • Federal infrastructure spending accounted for 10
    or more of the budget from 1959 -1966
  • TODAY, federal spending on infrastructure is
    approx. 3 of total federal budget
  • States and localities account for around 75 of
    total infrastructure spending

12
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13
Authorization
  • SAFETEA-LU extended through 3/31/2012
  • FAA extended through 1/31/12
  • Chair Mica (R-FL) vowed no more extensions
  • Senate Majority Leader Reid (D-NV) promised to
    move forward with Senate floor action in early
    2012
  • House Leadership open to moving transportation
    legislation in 2012
  • Some House Members not optimistic

14
  • Can still transfer funds between accounts
  • Future funding reductions
  • Time to discuss local impacts of funding
    shortfalls
  • Lessons from ARRA (wasnt supposed to supplant a
    LT reauth)
  • State level developments
  • Budget
  • Authority

15
  • Congress to Cut Discretionary Funding in 2013
  • Including transportation
  • Increases pressure on states and locals to
    maintain assets
  • FY 2013 Budget Cycle Begins Again
  • How to Project Funding/Financing Beyond Current
    Extension?
  • Election-year Politics
  • Changing Administration Officials Signifies
    Different Priorities
  • Shortened Calendar
  • Greater Marketing of Accomplishments

16
Presently
60 of Republicans and Democrats believe the
federal gas tax increases annually. 61 in the
Northeast, 58 in the South, 54 in the Midwest
and 67 in the West. Building Americas Future,
2010
17

Bottom Line 67 of Americans do not believe we
are on the right track overall.
18
  • MAP-21 a 2-year bill with policy changes
  • Passed out of the Senate EPW Committee on 12/9/11
  • Focuses on key outcomes such as
  • reducing fatalities,
  • improving bridges,
  • fixing roads, and
  • reducing congestion
  • Several organizations perceive it as an expansion
    of state-level authority

19

Differences Between Urbanized Areas of 50-200K in
MAP-21
MPO Type Retained MPOs Decommissioned MPOs Nonmetropolitan Regions
Description Existing MPOs can apply to US DOT to retain MPO status MPOs that either did not apply or did not win MPO status Regions below 200K after MAP-21 enactment
US DOT designation DOT considers them a metropolitan area DOT considers them a nonmetropolitan area DOT considers them a nonmetropolitan area
Level of consultation Cooperation Consultation Consultation
State project selection Cooperation Consultation Consultation
20


Rural Consultation Changes in MAP-21
NARC Priorities MAP-21 Changes
Create RPOs where they do not currently exist No change in authority for RPOs
The original draft of MAP-21 increased the level
of consultation for RPOs, but that language
removed by a committee amendment.
21
  • Transportation Enhancements

Graph provided by Streetsblog
22
  • Senate Commerce,
  • Science and Transportation Committee
  • Passed legislation focusing on
  • Overall goals of a surface transportation system
  • Stand-alone freight program
  • including MPOs
  • NHTSA
  • PMSHA
  • Contentious Committee action
  • Passed without unanimous support (unusual)

23
  • Senate Banking,
  • Housing and Urban Development Committee
  • Addressing the federal transit title of the bill
  • Yet to Introduce
  • Senate EPW and Banking Committees both share
    jurisdiction over the transportation planning
    titles
  • Must be the same language

24
  • Senate Finance Committee
  • Chaired by Sen. Baucus (D-MT)
  • Developing ways to pay for the legislation as a
    whole
  • Chair Boxer (D-CA) projects the need for 12
    billion over 2-years to fund her portion
  • Yet to Introduce

25
  • House Transportation
  • Infrastructure Committee
  • Projected 6-year authorization
  • Yet to be Introduced
  • May reorganize key formula programs
  • Emphasizes performance measures and targets for
    all formula programs
  • National Highway System (assets)
  • Highway Safety Improvement Program (safety)
  • Surface Transportation (?)
  • CMAQ (?)

26
  • Differences b/t House and Senate

House Outline Senate MAP 21
6-yr authorization 2-yr authorization
30 cut Funded at current levels
Restructuring and Devolution Restructuring and Devolution
Constrained by House Rules Spend for Job/Economic Growth
27
  • Role of MPOs and Local Govts
  • Many MPOs voluntarily adopting PM systems
  • More than safety and asset management
  • Including quality of life fuzzy measures
  • What will the role of MPOs be in a formula based,
    state DOT system
  • MPO policy function
  • Need flexibility to address on the ground
    factors
  • Politically sensitive topics

28
  • Role of MPOs and Local Govts
  • How do talk about transparency and accountability
    without talking about MPOs and their local
    governments?
  • Closest unit of government to the people
  • Own majority of infrastructure in U.S.
  • Navigate local political barriers to
    infrastructure
  • Where do the RPOs play?

29
  • NARC Transportation Priorities

30
  • Showcase your activities and successes
  • Completed stimulus projects
  • Regional collaboration
  • Keep Communication Open
  • DC AND District staff for Members of Congress
  • Engage your local elected officials
  • Case studies/examples
  • Contact Erika with more information

31
  • H.R. 3780
  • Regional Infrastructure Improvement Zones
    (RIIZs)
  • An Innovative
  • Infrastructure Financing Funding Tool
  • Introduced by
  • U.S. Congressman Geoff Davis (R-KY, 4)
  • Conceptualized by
  • Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Regional Council of
    Governments (OKI)

32
RIIZs are
  • A simple change to federal tax code tax
    deduction
  • A voluntary public-private partnership for
    investment in infrastructure urban rural
  • Infrastructure surface transportation, water,
    wastewater, stormwater
  • A part of an approved plan through COG/MPO, local
    governments and community stakeholders
  • A possible local match contribution
  • A way to leverage private, federal, state, local
    dollars
  • A complement to other infrastructure funding
    opportunities and mechanisms

33
RIIZs are NOT
  • Reliant on lengthy federal authorization/appropria
    tion processes
  • A tax credit
  • An infringement on or contradictory to local or
    state statutes
  • A direct liability of the local governments or
    their officials
  • New mandates or federal requirements
  • To supplant other funding/financing mechanisms
  • Limited to any one category of public
    infrastructure

34
Legislative Update
  • House bill (H.R. 3780) introduced by Rep. Davis
    (R-KY, 4) on 1/18/12
  • Looking for Congressional Co-sponsors
  • Building Support
  • Educating on Infrastructure Needs
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