Working Group on Telecom Sector 12th Five Year Plan July 18, 2011 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Working Group on Telecom Sector 12th Five Year Plan July 18, 2011

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Working Group on Telecom Sector 12th Five Year Plan July 18, 2011 Contents Indian telecom scenario Growth potential Investment estimates * Indian Telecom Scenario ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Working Group on Telecom Sector 12th Five Year Plan July 18, 2011


1
Working Group on Telecom Sector12th Five Year
PlanJuly 18, 2011
2
Contents
  • Indian telecom scenario
  • Growth potential
  • Investment estimates

3
Indian Telecom Scenario
  • Fastest growing Sector with average monthly
    addition of 16-18 million subscribers
  • Current subscriber base of over 875 million and
    active subscribers of about 588 million
  • Second largest mobile network with over 840
    million wireless subscribers
  • Addition of over 225 million connections last
    year
  • Roll out of services in more than 8000 towns and
    cities and over 500,000 villages
  • 12-14 mobile operators in most of the circles

4
Growth
Source DoT, TRAI
5
Wireless led Growth
  • March 2007
  • March 2011
  • Total telephones 205.87 million
  • Total telephones 846.32 million

Source DoT, TRAI
6
Teledensity Growth
7
Share of private network ()
Source DoT, TRAI
8
Broadband growth
Source DoT, TRAI
9
Growth Potential
  • Network Expansion
  • 1.1 billion subscribers by 2015
  • Broadband
  • TRAI -National Broadband Plan 160 Million by 2014
  • Investment of Rs. 60,000 crore
  • 2,50,000 villages Panchayats within 3 years
  • Broadband coverage for all secondary and higher
    secondary schools, Village Panchayats and all
    public health care centers.
  • Leveraging USO funds for faster expansion of
    broadband
  • Universal Access through support for shared
    infrastructure for rural cellular mobile
  • Optical fibre connectivity for broadband upto
    Village Panchayats

10
Investment estimates
11
Investment in Telecom Sector 11th Five Year Plan
Year Investment (Source TRAI) 11 Five Year Plan (Planning Commission) 11 Plan Centre 11 Plan Private
2007-08 37900 31900 7894 24007
2008-09 59200 52295 11048 41248
2009-10 77700 64206 13186 51019
2010-11 103900 84339 13988 70351
2011-12 120000 103900 15387 97007
Total 398700 345134 61503 283631
(Rs crore) Projected
12
Areas of Investment in 12th Plan
  • Investment required in
  • Network expansion- Triple Play
  • Especially in rural and remote areas
  • Network upgrades
  • Rapid Advancements in Technology/ customer demand
    cycles
  • 3G expected to account for 20 of subscriber base
    by 2015
  • NGN IPV6
  • Broadband expansion (BWA)
  • National Optical Fibre Network (NOFN)
  • Convergence of Technology
  • Value Added Services
  • Manufacturing and RD

13
Investment Assumptions
  • Existing
  • Telephone subscribers more than 875 million
  • Active subscribers about 588 million
  • Broadband subscribers more than 12 million
  • Expected by March 2017 (end of 12th V Year Plan)
  • Telephone subscribers- 1200 million
  • 3G/4G subscribers about 25 i.e. 300 million
  • Broadband subscribers- 175 million
  • e-Governance initiative to boost demand
  • Telecom tower, VAS
  • Low ARPU/Tariff

14
Estimated Sectoral Investment in 12th FYP
  • Core telecom equipment - Rs. 1,35,000 crore
    1,50,000 Crore
  • Investment in 2G network
  • 2G -Capacity addition - 500 million
  • 500 million _at_Rs. 2700/- per line
    (average)
  • Rs. 1,35,000 crore
  • Investment in 3G/4G, Wimax, LTE etc capacity- 500
    million
  • 500 million _at_Rs. 3000/- per line Rs.
    1,50,000 crore
  • Total Investment in Core telecom equipments
  • Rs. 2,85,000 crore

15
Estimated Sectoral Investment in 12th FYP
  • Transmission Network (SDH, Microwave Radio,
    Routers)
  • Rs. 40,000 crore (Approx. 14)
  • Access Network
  • (Investment in tower, battery, power plant,
    Green Telecom)
  • Rs. 1,00,000 crore
  • Total Investment in Access and Transmission
    Network Rs. 1,40,000 crore

16
Estimated Sectoral Investment in 12th FYP
  • Broadband Roll-out- Rs. 75,000 crore
  • Customer premises equipment (USB Dongles, modem
    etc) Rs 50,000 crore
  • Spectrum charges (on renewal/ through auction)
    Rs 1,00,000 crore
  • Total Investment 2,25,000 crore
  • Total Investment in Telecom Infrastructure
  • Rs. 2,85,0001,40,0002,25,000 Rs. 6,50,000
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