Version Bror 11 System for transportation of goods realistically will diminish car traffic with calculated one third to one fourth and climate gases with 20 to 25 percent without any sacrifices at all from side of the public - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Version Bror 11 System for transportation of goods realistically will diminish car traffic with calculated one third to one fourth and climate gases with 20 to 25 percent without any sacrifices at all from side of the public

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Title: Version Bror 11 System for transportation of goods realistically will diminish car traffic with calculated one third to one fourth and climate gases with 20 to 25 percent without any sacrifices at all from side of the public


1
Version Bror 11 System for
transportation of goods realistically will
diminish car traffic with calculated one third to
one fourth and climate gases with 20 to 25
percent without any sacrifices at all from side
of the public
  • Short description of the system
  • with effects
  • This presentation is intended for using also at
    self studies

2
Section A
  • Short description of the system

3
A 1. Light transportation of goods by car on duty
has close to astronomical extent and comprise
small loadings 1 of 4
  • In county of Stockholm with 2 million people and
    an area of 6 000 km2 more than 100 000 cars
    driven of about 60 000 chauffeurs counted in full
    time in our calculations are engaged in light
    transportation of goods on duty.
  • Last sum we partly base on the circumstance that
    202 000 light lorries owned by juridical persons
    in Sweden 1999/2000 was driven 3 188 million km
    (newer data arent available, probably distance
    is longer today). The distance in county of
    Stockholm was 660 million km. At a calculated
    average speed of 16 km per hour (10 miles per
    hour) including time for loading and unloading
    the distance in county of Stockholm corresponds
    to 41 million hours for drivers (660 000 000/16)
    corresponding to 25 800 wholly occupied persons.
  • Median weight at transportation of goods in light
    lorry on duty according to study in Gothenburg is
    as low as about 85 kg.

4
A 1. Light transportation of goods by car on duty
has close to astronomical extent and comprise
small loadings 2 of 4
  • Partly we base this on the comparably unknown
    circumstance due to investigation in Stockholm
    that 29 percent of driving by personnel cars on
    duty are pure goods transportation, 21 percent
    combined personnel and goods transportation and
    10 percent others, probably sometimes the car
    itself at transportation till and from service.
    Statistics here is insufficient as no actor in
    logistics area will inquire systematically data
    in this area. The number of personnel cars being
    owned by juridical persons in 2007 numbered 881
    000 units in Sweden or 21 percent of all
    personnel cars.
  • The extent goods transportation on duty in
    personnel cars therefore probably is larger than
    in light lorries also if this judgement rests on
    a comparably uncertain foundation.
  • Median weight of loaded goods reasonably is lower
    at transportation in personnel cars than in light
    lorries and perhaps will be possible to count in
    one digit number of kilos. As transportation in
    personnel cars ought to dominate median weight in
    summed light transportation by car on duty may be
    found in the interval 10 to 20 kilos.

5
A 1. Light transportation of goods by car on duty
has close to astronomical extent and comprise
small loadings 3 of 4
  • About 80 percent of costs for goods
    transportation on duty is valid for the driver.
    Costs for light transportation on duty as result
    probably will be about three times higher than
    for heavy transportation by lorry (on the other
    hand the number of tonkm is much lower).
  • At a calculated cost of 500 000 SEK1 per driver
    with car and year, total cost for light
    transportation in county of Stockholm will attain
    30 billion SEK per year.
  • The transports are short and at dominating part
    rolls between working places.
  • 1 1 dollar is about 7.25 SEK

6
A 1. Light transportation of goods by car on duty
has close to astronomical extent and comprise
small loadings 4 of 4
  • These car transportation very easily ought to
    have possibility paying for own winding up with
    gigantic environmental advantages as a result,
    however choice of the right new transportation
    system.

7
A 2. Chosen goods transportation system is
tailored for executing light transportation today
done by car 1 of 4
  • At this background we sketched out a system for
    transportation of goods suited after real loading
    on light lorry. It then also can execute goods
    transportation done in personnel car. The system
    consists of wagons with a loading capacity about
    the same as boot in a personnel car, preliminary
    250 litres (500 x 500 x 1 200 mm) that is about 9
    cubic feet (18 x 18 x 4) or 300 kg (660
    pounds).
  • When loading will permit and for certain
    customers capacity will be preliminary 70 litres
    or 100 kg.
  • The wagon rolls wholly automatic, follows bands
    on rubber wheels at a speed of 30 to 40 km an
    hour. Own weight is calculated to 50 respectively
    20 kg. The wagon is driven with directly working
    electricity as a tram.
  • Preliminary the wagon consists of a driving unit
    with motor and a loading box. The driving unit
    docks with bayonet to the loading box and fixes
    it in a tight grip.

8
A 2. Chosen goods transportation system is
tailored for executing light transportation today
done by car 2 of 4
  • One single wagon with this loading capacity due
    to investigation in Gothenburg according weight
    will have possibility executing about 85 percent
    of transportation in light lorry on duty of
    today. It reasonably also can execute close to
    100 percent of goods transportation in personnel
    cars.
  • Customers will have strong economical reasons
    adapt and substitute commodities in such a way
    that they will have room in the wagon.

9
A 2. Chosen goods transportation system is
tailored for executing light transportation today
done by car 3 of 4
  • The wagon rolls in a certain culvert system dug
    down just beneath among others streets and
    pavements, protected from wind and weather and
    from unauthorized. Inspection lids to the culvert
    from street are placed probably at a distance in
    between of preliminary 5 to 10 meters.
  • Standard culvert has an inner dimension for two
    meeting lanes of 1 200 x 600 mm. The smaller
    wagon can roll also in one directed one lane
    culverts of 400 x 400 mm mainly in small house
    areas. As well see below also households on own
    economical merits will be possible connecting to
    the culvert.

10
Goods transportation system in simple sketch
Outer dimension of the wagon Standard wagon 500 x
500 x 1 200 mm Loading capacity 250 litres or 300
kg Wagon in small house areas 300 x 300 x 1 000
mm Loading capacity 65 l or 100 kg
Armed concrete

Street (roof of the culvert)
Width and height of the culvert (prel. inner
dimensions) Standard culvert 1 200 x 600 mm One
lane culvert in small house areas 400 x 400 mm
Kulvertgolv
Wagon
Street or pavement
Wagon
Wagon
Wagon
Armed concrete
Gravel
11
A 2. Chosen goods transportation system is
tailored for executing light transportation today
done by car 4 of 4
  • Houses are connected to culvert in cellars to
    which the wagon can roll by own engine. No
    elevators are needed.
  • Small dimensions and digging down in the street
    (no bursting of deeply placed tunnels) ought to
    mean low costs for the culvert per length unit.
    Construction works in much resembles construction
    of way drum.
  • The wagon can roll indoors by automatically
    docking to a battery furnished aggregate. Indoors
    it follows bands cheaply taped on the floors.
  • In each crossing between culverts a computer is
    placed that partly will chose way for the wagons
    based on lists on different destinations, partly
    will give priority to wagons passing the
    crossing.
  • Safe distance ought to be possible choosing
    shorter here for goods transportation than what
    is possible for personnel transportation.

12
A 3. Extremely low variable transportation costs
for the goods transportation system 1 of 2
  • Variable transportation costs (added costs for a
    transport) according to ground course in business
    economics totally are decisive for competitive
    strength between different transportation kinds.
    The transportation kind having the lowest
    variable costs will execute a transport. The
    wagon is supposed to roll 100 000 km per year
    during writing off time of 5 years. Variable
    transportation costs will be extremely low for
    the small wagon.
  • Rörliga transportkostnader för systemvagnen
    (standardvagnen) tillverkad i mycket lång serie
    och efter ett antal års förfining av såväl vagn
    som tillverkningsteknik under den beräknade
    femåriga avskrivningstiden med en tillryggalagd
    körsträcka om ca 500 000 km

Life time costs SEK
Writing off of the wagon (Buying cost for the wagon) Reparation and maintenance Electrical energy 0.01 kWh per km, 500 000 km, 1 SEK per kWh Others 10 000 8 000 5 000 500
Sum 23 500
Variable transportation cost, SEK per km (23 500/500 000) 0.047
13
A 3. Extremely low variable transportation costs
for the goods transportation system 2 of 2
  • Variable transportation costs for the system,
    0.05 SEK per km, only will be about one four
    hundredth of the cars on duty (including
    drivers time for among others loading and
    unloading) of about 20 SEK per km (0.04/20).
    Turned around this means that 400 wagons can
    transport goods at the same variable costs as for
    a car on duty.
  • A transport of 10 km by car bringing a variable
    transportation cost including drivers time for
    loading and unloading (only personnel costs) of
    200 SEK thus via the system will bring a total
    variable transportation cost of calculated only
    0.50 SEK.
  • The totally dominating transportation of goods by
    car in number counted contains so small goods
    quantities that only one wagon will be able
    replacing the car.

14
A 4. Costs will be low for a culvert system
linking together almost all users of
transportation 1 of 5
  • Infrastructure investments in a culvert net
    reasonably will dominate costs for the goods
    transportation system. The culvert however ought
    to be comparably cheap partly by small dimensions
    that also will make possible cheap digging down
    of the culvert in streets instead of busted
    deeply placed and as result expensive tunnel.
  • We assume that head culvert will follow all state
    and county roads and all streets in Stockholm
    county and added to that connections into almost
    all houses.
  • Stately owned roads in Stockholm county with a
    population of 2 019 000 persons has a total
    length of 405 km and county roads 2 334 km which
    the culverts in first will follow. The length
    corresponds to a net of squares placed over the
    county with side of every square 4.6 km.
  • In second street length in Stockholm county is
    assumed to be proportional to population in
    Sweden. By 21 percent of population in Sweden and
    a total length of 40 000 km in the country,
    length of the roads and streets that the culvert
    will follow will be 8 400 km. Of that we assume
    that about half is large and half small culvert
    dimension.

15
A 4. Costs will be low for a culvert system
linking together almost all users of
transportation 2 of 5
  • The number of small houses in county of Stockholm
    31/12 2006 was 244 318 and the number of
    dwellings in block of flats 668 904. Connections
    to small houses we assume are of mentioned
    smaller dimension. At a length per connection of
    15 meters total length of culverts connecting all
    small houses in third will be 3 660 km (0.015 x
    244 318).
  • If every block of flat in average will include 12
    dwellings (low counted) number of connections for
    them will be 55 800. Many working places in inner
    cities in Sweden are placed in these houses where
    one or many floors often are used for working
    places. We furthermore assume that additional 10
    000 houses with working places exist in the
    county that dont include dwellings.
  • At a length per connection of 15 meters for 65
    800 block of flats and working places total
    length for connections of them in fourth will be
    987 km (0.015 x 65 800).

16
A 4. Costs will be low for a culvert system
linking together almost all users of
transportation 3 of 5
  • As result total length of culverts of the large
    standard dimension in this rough calculation will
    be 7 926 km (2 739 4 200 987) and
    of the smaller dimension 7 860 km (4 200 3
    660).
  • A culvert net following all state and county
    roads and streets in county of Stockholm
    including connections to all houses of 15 meters
    as result will have a calculated length of
    totally 15 786 km.
  • Of the length calculated about 7 000 km will be
    related to culvert net between working places,
    while rest of the net, scantily 8 800 km, will be
    valid for the complementing part connecting
    dwellings.

17
A 4. Costs will be low for a culvert system
linking together almost all users of
transportation 4 of 5
  • Based on material from a large construction
    company in our judgement culvert of the large
    dimension will be possible to construct at a cost
    of 7.2 and of the small dimension of 4.6 million
    SEK per km. As comparison costs for a 13 meter
    broad road a couple of years ago was 15 million
    SEK per km.
  • As result investment costs for culvert of the
    large dimension will sum up to 57.1 billion SEK
    (7.2 x 7 926) and of the small dimension 36.2
    billion SEK (4.6 x 7 860). Total investment cost
    for these culverts will be 93.3 billion SEK (57.1
    36.2).
  • At 310 100 connections (55 800 10 000 244
    318) and a cost per connection (among others
    making holes in outer cellar walls) of 30 000
    SEK, total costs for connections will be 9.3
    billion SEK.
  • Total investment costs for culvert and
    connections as result will sum up to 102.6
    billion SEK (93.3 9.3). At 5 percent interest
    and 30 years annuity, total capital costs for
    culvert net and connections will be 6.7 billion
    SEK per year (0.06505 x 102.6).

18
A 4. Costs will be low for a culvert system
linking together almost all users of
transportation 5 of 5
  • About half of total costs, or 3.3 billion SEK per
    year, are assumed to be valid for the culvert net
    between working places and rest of the sum to the
    complementary net between dwellings.
  • The sum 3.3 billion SEK per year for the culvert
    net between working places ought to be possible
    to compare to costs for light goods
    transportation on duty as to above of 30 billion
    SEK per year.
  • Its true that all these transportation arent
    saved, but this falling off ought to be
    compensated as costs knotted to the transports
    for among others other personnel than drivers are
    engaged in the transportation and often will be
    superfluous or needs of which sharply will
    diminish. So ought to be the case among others
    for personnel for packing, loading, unloading,
    reloading, sorting, receipts, registration,
    controls, payments and others. Also costs for
    among others cars, not included above, will
    disappear. To end with also heavy lorry
    transportation will be replaced with, due to
    below, comprehensive savings as result.

19
A 5. Savings in transportation very easily ought
to motivate a culvert net connecting almost all
working places in county of Stockholm to each
others
  • In our judgement savings in transportation at
    this background very easily ought to finance the
    culvert net connecting almost all working places
    in county of Stockholm to each others. According
    to this calculation it will finance costs about
    nine times over (30/3.3 9.0)
  • The sum 30 billion SEK per year in fact, if
    desirably, would cover total costs for building
    of motor way all length of the culvert system
    between almost all working places of above
    mentioned 7 000 km in county of Stockholm.
    Savings of 30 billion SEK per year at 5 percent
    interest and 30 years annuity thus will finance
    461 billion SEK, corresponding to 66 million SEK
    per km (461 000/7 000). A motor way now being
    built in Sweden from Enköping in the direction of
    Västerås thus will cost 48 million SEK per km.
    Its hardly reasonable to believe that the small
    culvert would cost as much as a motor way.

20
A 6. Heavy transportation in lorries at high
degree will be transferred to railway and ships
in the form of combination transports 1 of 3
  • Long heavy transportation in lorries at high
    degree will be transferred to railway and ships
    as the wagon automatically by own engine will
    roll up on these vehicles in the form of
    combination transports.
  • Competitive strength for railway and ships
    dramatically will increase when connecting
    transports, an Achilles heel not least for
    railways competitive strength against car, by
    the wagon will be much cheaper than if these
    connecting transports are executed by car.
  • Furthermore the wagon on a railway station by own
    engine will be able to change railway carriage on
    the same train, change to a train in another
    direction and also change railway station to a
    train there. Thus for example it will be possible
    rolling between so called sack stations. Sack
    stations often ends at suburbs in among others
    large cities.
  • Reloading today is more complicated for railway
    than for the car that easier will park next to
    places for origin and destination for goods.
  • The second important Achilles heel, for railways
    competitive strength against railway, shunting,
    as result also often will be possible to avoid.

21
A 6. Heavy transportation in lorries at high
degree will be transferred to railway and ships
in the form of combination transports 2 of 3
  • Investments in new terminals for railway and
    ships that these possibilities will open up for,
    will be less capital demanding than today as the
    wagon will be able of rolling up on and off from
    them on simple ramps dimensioned only for low
    loadings.
  • Needs of especial stockings in these terminals
    for wagons furthermore ought to be considerably
    lower than needs today in the form of among
    others storehouses on railway stations and
    harbours as what we name common waiting stores,
    stockings of wagons and loading boxes accessible
    for all customers, ought to be possible to use
    for storing in these cases also if they are
    placed on a little distance from the railway
    station or harbour in question. From the waiting
    stores the wagons at own engines easily will roll
    many kilometres in minutes directly up on the
    railway carriages or the ships.

22
A 6. Heavy transportation in lorries at high
degree will be transferred to railway and ships
in the form of combination transports 3 of 3
  • As we see it combination transports between the
    system and ships are much more efficient and
    cheaper than container transports with ships.
  • Thus it ought to be possible faster and cheaper
    than at container transport loading and unloading
    a ship. Its most just a question of how many
    ramps that are placed from quay to the ship.
  • The really important factor for higher efficiency
    for the system however is that at container
    transports there are no savings in handling
    inside companies, no simpler packing and no
    savings in stockings and locals of kind in
    gigantic scale emerging at transportation with
    the system according to below.
  • Powerful building out of railway, coast- and
    canal shipping ought to be the result at the same
    time as heavy lorry traffic will diminish.

23
A 7. Low variable transportation costs by the
system will make possible a variable fee for the
transports that easily ought to finance all costs
for the system 1 of 2
  • The exploiter during an introductory period will
    be able taking out a high variable fee per
    transport of say 30 SEK in driving up fee and 5
    SEK per km and no other fee at all. For a
    transport of 10 km the cost will be 80 SEK (30
    5 x 10). By car the transport as mentioned will
    cost 200 SEK. Instead of buying the transport
    from car with a driver the employer will chose to
    buy it at comprehensive environmental advantages
    from the system and as result will get a profit
    of 120 SEK. The exploiter, with a variable cost
    of only 0.50 SEK, then will be able using 79.50
    SEK for financing of culvert, which easily ought
    to be enough for financing a comprehensive
    culvert net.
  • The crucial point is if the customer will chose
    this much cheaper and environmentally better
    alternative, which we consider being a matter of
    course. Then money already are disposable making
    possible financing of the system.

24
A 7. Low variable transportation costs by the
system will make possible a variable fee for the
transports that easily ought to finance all costs
for the system 2 of 2
  • In the long run our judgement is that the
    exploiter will chose a construction of fees with
    extremely low variable fees however covering
    variable transportation costs. A thinkable fee
    for a transport is 2 SEK in driving up fee plus
    0.06 SEK per km.
  • Head part of the costs then is taken out in the
    form of fixed for example yearly fees.
  • Value of the system powerfully will increase at
    this combination tax as more transportation will
    be profitable for customers transferring to the
    system. At the same time environmental advantages
    further will increase.

25
A 8. Savings in other than transportation is much
larger than in transportation
  • Gross savings in transportation is many times
    higher for the goods transportation system than
    for which ever other system for transportation of
    goods and/or persons (inside the limitation
    described in point A 24 below).
  • Furthermore, and probably surprising for the
    uninitiated, savings in other than transportation
    in our calculation stand for about four fifth of
    all economical advantages by the system. They
    thus totally dominate and dramatically will
    enhance value of the system and value of
    connecting.
  • These gigantic savings in other than
    transportation is unique for the system, that is,
    they wont appear for other systems for
    transportation of goods and/or persons (outside
    mentioned limitation) and depends firstly on
    largeness of the wagon that partly will permit
    transportation of almost all goods people will
    fence themselves with and in reality being object
    for light transportation of today and partly will
    permit direct connection to culvert of almost all
    users of transportation.
  • These savings in other than transportation are
    especially important in commerce and industry.

26
A 9. Commerce will be rationalized in ground 1 of
4
  • Commerce will be rationalized in ground.
  • - Shops will be unnecessary when goods can be
    sent directly from wholesalers to households.
    Probably this will be norm in daily goods.
  • - Remaining shops will get most commodities
    delivered directly from producers, among others
    industrial companies. Commodities as result
    neednt pass wholesalers. These shops furthermore
    will be rationalized when the wagon will roll
    next to the shelf for exposing. From there the
    goods can be lifted over to the shelf.
    Alternatively the wagon or its loading box in
    itself can constitute exhibition case.
  • - Industry will be able sending commodities
    directly to households, by which both wholesale
    and retail sale links will be superfluous with
    yet larger savings as result.

27
A 9. Commerce will be rationalized in ground 2 of
4
  • Lower prices on commodities among others by
    falling off needs of commercial links will land
    up at buying households. Lowering of prices in
    our calculation normally will be larger than fees
    that households will pay for the transportation
    at a fee financing transportation costs to the
    customer in question including costs for
    connection of the customer and part of passing
    culvert and also a normal profit.
  • So is the case for almost all households in
    blocks of flat and also for the totally
    dominating parts of the households in small
    houses. Connection of households powerfully will
    increase economical and environmental advantages
    of the system.
  • In our calculation a small house thus on own
    economical merits among others by savings in
    commerce will motivate culvert of the smaller
    dimension on a distance of about 200 meters.
    Accordingly for example 10 households will
    motivate 2 km of culverts and 100 of 20 km.
  • Economical life in built up areas will motivate a
    comprehensive nation wide culvert net for
    transports them in-between. In rural areas it
    will be placed next to roads where most working
    places and small houses in the latter areas are
    located. The nation wide net thus also ought to
    permit probably most among others households in
    rural areas being connected to culvert.

28
A 9. Commerce will be rationalized in ground 3 of
4
  • Södermalm is an island in inner city of Stockholm
    with 108 640 inhabitants. Streets on the island
    have a total length of 97.7 km (lt1
    meter/inhabitant). We assume that all streets are
    furnished with culverts. If 20 persons live in
    every house the houses are 5 432 (108 640/
    20 the exact number isnt known, but this is
    high counted). A culvert distance of 15 metres
    per house will mean need of furthermore 81.5 km
    culverts (5 432 x 0.015) and a total length
    culvert of 179.2 km (97.7 81.5). Close to the
    island a couple of wholesalers of daily goods are
    located that also will be connected assumed
    offering daily goods also to households.
  • At a cost of 7.2 million a km the investment
    costs in culverts will be 1 290 million SEK
    (179.2 x 7.2). Including costs for connections of
    163 million SEK (5 432 x 0.030) total erection
    investments will sum up at 1 453 million
    SEK. This sum at 5 percent interest and 30 years
    annuity will amount a capital cost of 94.5
    million SEK per year
    (1 453 x 0.06505).

29
A 9. Commerce will be rationalized in ground 4 of
4
  • In our calculation value added in retail trade in
    Sweden amount 43.1 billion SEK per year (the
    figure is uncertain) corresponding to 4 789 SEK
    per inhabitant and 7 979 SEK per household on
    mentioned island and year. Per week this
    corresponds to 92 and 153 SEK (4 789/52 and 7
    979/52).
  • The 65 204 households if buying daily goods by
    the system once a week at high variable fee of
    80 SEK per transport will bring the exploiter an
    income of 271.2 million SEK (65 204 x 52 x 80).
  • Solely buying of daily goods will bring the
    exploiter a net income after financing the
    culvert net of 176.7 million SEK per year (281.2
    94.5). This surplus roughly estimated very
    easily ought to cover all remaining costs for
    this construction.

30
Terminal in small house
  • Hole is made in outer wall in for example cellar

Sliding lid on inside of outer wall that
automatically will open at passage of the wagon
and immediately after that will close
Box for automatically collection and leaving of
mail
Culvert dimension inner measure 400 x 400 mm
Wagon 300 x 300 x 1 000 mm
Outerwall
Wagon
Alternative placing of terminal at street/road
under locked lid (a box that the wagon will roll
into and from) Calculated cost per terminal for
small house 30 000 SEK
31
A 10. Savings in stockings will be enormous in
among others industry 1 of 5
  • Stockings are much more expensive than people in
    common probably believe and of companies often
    are seen on as a necessary evil.
  • According rule of thumb presented by Curt
    Nicolin, earlier managing director in ASEA (now A
    in ABB), yearly costs for stockings and directly
    related costs will sum up to about half worth of
    the stockings. In these costs are included many
    components. See these at point B 4 below.
  • Stockings in Sweden have a calculated worth of
    about 700 billion SEK and as result will bring
    costs of about 350 billion SEK per year.
  • A detail during successive refinement passing
    three engineering plants (for example punching a
    cover in one company that in next company is
    mounted in a motor and in a third company is
    placed in a vacuum cleaner) before it in a
    finished commodity via wholesaler is sold in a
    shop in our calculation (uncertainty by
    incomplete statistics) has a total time in
    stocking of 14 months before it attains customer,
    see mentioned point B 4 below.

32
A 10. Savings in stockings will be enormous in
among others industry 2 of 5
  • The wagon can roll from placement next to working
    chair at end assembler in an industrial plant
    where the commodities are loaded in the wagon one
    after one after completion. After that the
    commodities often without, or with simple packing
    by pushing a button wholly automatically will be
    sent in the wagon directly to next company in the
    logistics chain. There, perhaps via waiting
    store, it will land next to working chair at the
    assembler on question.
  • In such a case stockings of finished goods
    totally will disappear (except for the small
    quantity of goods already placed in the wagon
    just being loaded). The small packages of goods
    sent furthermore will make possible extraordinary
    small stockings of inset goods.
  • Of different reasons goods today arent always
    moved to next production moment at optimal point
    of time. This seldom will be compensated at next
    production moment. Instead delays at different
    production moments often are added to each
    others.

33
A 10. Savings in stockings will be enormous in
among others industry 3 of 5
  • Also stockings at work will diminish of the same
    reason. These thus also consist of stocking of
    finished goods at one production moment and
    stocking of inset goods at next. The
    commodities also in this case will be sent at
    appropriate small goods packages (according
    capital binding in stocking and more) precisely
    when the sender wants and will roll to the
    receiver directly or via waiting store on the
    factory from which it by pushing a button will be
    called in by the receiver.
  • Extremely low variable transportation costs will
    mean that optimal quantity of goods transported
    at every single consignment dramatically will
    diminish. Today its profitable for a company
    with only one buyer of a commodity (comparably
    usual for subcontractors) building up stockings
    to the level that variable costs for stockings
    will be similar to variable costs for the
    transport (time will build up a quadratic
    function in costs for stockings). As variable
    transportation costs for the car is high this
    today will mean large stockings. With the system
    this variable cost will diminish dramatically,
    which will mean optimal transportation quantities
    at small goods packages. Loading room for the
    wagon therefore often ought to be large enough
    for optimal loading quantity.

34
A 10. Savings in stockings will be enormous in
among others industry 4 of 5
  • Costs for stockings dramatically will diminish by
    the system. A halving in our calculation ought to
    be possible for a full scale construction of the
    system in Sweden directly connecting almost all
    working places and households.
  • Only these savings in stockings and directly
    related costs, that is in necessary evil, as
    result are so gigantic that they alone ought to
    make possible financing of this full scale
    construction.

35
A 10. Savings in stockings will be enormous in
among others industry 5 of 5
  • Furthermore a saving will emerge in stockings
    above Nicolins rule of thumb and not included in
    the above, that ought to diminish value on the
    stockings perhaps with a three digit number in
    billion SEK counted for the full scale system in
    Sweden. It will emerge as result of diminishing
    accumulated costs by the system for goods placed
    in stockings. A component that earlier had a cost
    of 100 SEK thus as result of savings in among
    others logistics by the system will have a value
    of for example only 50 SEK. As result among
    others capital binding in stockings and wastages
    will diminish and the once for all income
    described in point B 4 below will increase.

36
A 11. Savings in handling will be enormous among
others in industry
  • Handling dramatically will be simplified when a
    wagon according to above wholly automatically
    will park next to working chair for end assembler
    in a company and, after loading often without or
    with simple packing, wholly automatically will
    roll to placement next to working chair at
    receiving assembler either directly or via
    waiting store. Handling on a similar way will be
    possible executing by the wagon between different
    production moments inside a working place and
    also directly to customers, among others at
    commerce or to households.
  • Conventional handling often is executed by manned
    lifting trucks lifting the goods and moving it.
    Many of these handlings as result totally will
    fall off or are replaced by wholly automatically.
    In a normal case today handlings among others are
    executed from lorry via loading ramp to stockings
    of inset goods, from there to production, between
    different production moments, into and out from
    packing into stockings of finished goods and via
    loading ramp to lorry.

37
A 12. Savings in packing will be enormous among
others in industry
  • Today packing will meet tough challenges. They
    aim at protecting transported goods from thrust,
    from wind and weather, from coldness and heat and
    from being easily accessible for unauthorized.
    For commodities to be sold in shops demand on
    packing furthermore is that its selling.
  • Demand on all these points powerfully will
    diminish at transportation by the system. Many
    transports wholly will fall off and then also of
    cause needs of accompanied packing, for example
    when whole commercial links will be superfluous.
    Furthermore need of packing often totally will
    fall off at lenient, protected transportation via
    the system. In other cases, the majority, packing
    can be manufactured and applied much simpler than
    today.

38
A 13. Savings in locals will be enormous among
others in industry
  • Handling, packing and stocking often are the most
    space demanding functions in among others
    industry. Savings in locals therefore will be
    enormous.
  • According handling the manual lifting truck today
    will need space before goods being handled in
    order having access to them, for backing and
    swinging and it needs broad gangways for the
    handling. The wagon in contrast will park on a
    small area next to the assembler and will follow
    bands on areas that at the same time are walking
    areas not needing larger width where the wagon
    rolls than 600 mm. It moves in exactly the same
    manner from time to time.
  • Needs of local as seen above also will diminish
    in commerce among others by falling off
    commercial links and in transportation in the
    form among others of garage.
  • Direct connection is ground for these savings in
    other than transportation and also is reason for
    much of net savings in transportation. The
    possibility of direct connection thus
    dramatically will increase worth of the system.

39
A 14. Possibilities of savings in air traffic
will be large 1 of 3
  • The system can be used at handling of luggage
    between terminal building and the aeroplanes.
  • However the most interesting use of the system in
    air traffic probably is another. Thus it will be
    considerably more comfortable and very cheap for
    an air traveller to send luggage directly from
    own dwelling (normally from cellar) to the
    destination via the goods transportation system
    and combination transport with railway or ship
    some days before the travelling day.
  • Control that the luggage has arrived to the
    destination can be executed before travelling. At
    arriving for the passenger to destination the
    luggage already waits there. Many passengers will
    need commodities on the air travelling only for
    the travelling in itself, that is almost nothing.
    The passenger then will be spared from wearing of
    heavy suitcases.
  • Costs for security controls at air terminals
    radically will diminish.
  • Handling of luggage on airports also dramatically
    will diminish.

40
A 14. Possibilities of savings in air traffic
will be large 2 of 3
  • Today these functions will bring large costs with
    large needs of personnel, transport bands,
    equipments for security control, trucks and
    wagons that at large parts ought to be possible
    saving. Large local areas will be saved of the
    same reasons.
  • Fuel consumption for existing aeroplanes ought to
    diminish at lower total transporting weights.
  • Existing aeroplanes perhaps sometimes can be
    rebuilt for loading more fuels aiming at flying
    on longer distances.
  • Security on aeroplanes will increase as heavy
    hand luggage today often are placed on shelves
    close to roof where it at among others air
    pockets risks of falling down on passengers.

41
A 14. Possibilities of savings in air traffic
will be large 3 of 3
  • Future aeroplanes can be constructed for lower
    luggage weight. Useful loading for one version
    of Boeing 737 with 189 seats thus is 20 tons of
    maximum starting weight of 79 tons. If passengers
    today will bring luggage of each 30 kg total
    weight for luggage is 5.7 tons. Perhaps its
    possible to manufacture aeroplanes lighter for
    the same number of passengers or more passengers
    for the same total transporting weight. Smaller
    and lighter aeroplanes for the same passenger
    number will diminish costs for manufacturing
    aeroplanes among others by lesser needs of raw
    materials.
  • In our judgement air authorities, air port
    operators and airlines in different ways will
    support this development.
  • Market for air transportation ought to increase
    as result firstly of shorter total time for
    flight passengers by simpler security controls
    and suitcase handling, secondly of the same
    reason lower starting and landing fees on
    airlines from air port operators and thirdly more
    effective using of the aeroplanes as luggage
    weights will diminish.

42
A 15. Savings in other than transportation is
head explanation why total savings will be
calculated 45 times as large as costs for the
culvert net in county of Stockholm directly
connecting almost all working places to each
others
  • Savings in other than car transportation
    according to our calculations as said constitutes
    for about 80 percent of all savings.
  • As savings in transportation due to above is nine
    times as large as costs for described culvert net
    in county of Stockholm directly connecting almost
    all working places to each others, total savings
    for this construction roughly calculated ought to
    amount a 45 times higher sum than costs for the
    culvert net. Totally dominating part of the
    savings will land up at buyers of the transports.
  • In our opinion therefore its far beyond border
    for what is reasonable that the project wont be
    profitable in business economic terms.

43
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
1 of 8
  • Energy needs powerfully will diminish of many
    reasons
  • Transporting distances often will diminish as the
    system doesnt need to transport round about ways
    via lorry centrals and commercial links and more.
    Needs of energy then will diminish corresponding.
  • In the gigantic volume light transportation of
    goods transferred from car to a similar long
    transporting distance with the goods
    transportation system energy needs will be about
    one hundredth of the cars. So is the case by
    lower transported weight (often one twentieth),
    lower air resistance both by lower speed and
    lesser cross section and air swept area, lower
    velocity accelerating up to, fewer braking,
    electrical instead of fuel motor driving and so
    on.
  • Also when more than one wagon demands for
    replacing a car energy needs at transportation
    will diminish.
  • Energy needs will diminish also at transferring
    of heavy transportation from car to combination
    transportation between the system and railway and
    ships. Last mentioned transportation kinds thus
    are more energy efficient than the heavy lorry.
  • Fever cars will diminish needs of among others
    steel and energy at manufacturing of the cars
    while energy needs for the wagon is small.

44
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
2 of 8
  • Many handlings with accompanying energy needs
    totally will fall off when whole commercial links
    will fall off and when intermediate stockings
    will be superfluous at for example lorry
    centrals.
  • Handling today often are executed by fuel or
    electric driven lifting trucks, often manned and
    heavy (sometimes furnished with counter weight
    that furthermore will increase weight) with
    strong, heavy motors for also managing of lifting
    the goods. This may be compared to the wagon that
    with very low own weight indoors only at low
    speed rolls on a plane surface at utterly low
    effect and energy needs. Lower needs of among
    others material for handling equipment also will
    diminish energy needs.
  • Many packing with following energy needs wholly
    will disappear when whole commercial links will
    fall off and when intermediate stocking will be
    superfluous in for example lorry centrals.
    Majority of the packing ought to be simpler
    shaping.
  • Diminishing material needs for packing will lower
    energy needs. Packing today thus consist of
    material demanding large energy amounts at
    production, among others paper and plastics. Also
    working with packing will demand energy which
    needs will diminish.

45
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
3 of 8
  • The system as said will diminish needs of and in
    other cases simplify handling and packing and
    diminish needs of stockings. As handling, packing
    and stockings often are the most space demanding
    functions in among others industry, also needs of
    locals powerfully will diminish. Needs of locals
    also as mentioned powerfully will diminish in
    commerce among other by falling off needs of
    commercial links and in transportation among
    other by lesser needs of garages and service
    locals for cars.
  • Heating of houses in Sweden stands for about 40
    percent of total energy needs in society, of
    which a considerable part ought to be possible
    saving. In buildings also exist electrical pumps,
    fans and illumination which needs will diminish.
  • Needs of new locals will diminish which will save
    building material, among others concrete, brick,
    wood, steel, plastics and more for which
    production today will demand large energy
    resources. The building process in itself with
    accompanying transportation also is energy
    demanding.
  • To conclude the system will save large amounts of
    energy in locals and at building of them.

46
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
4 of 8
  • Unique for the system is the small loss of heat
    emerging at passage of the wagon between culvert
    and locals. A shutter in the wall will be opened
    immediately before and closed immediately after
    passage of the little wagon with only limited
    change of air between the culvert and the locals.
  • Today large amounts of cold air rushes into
    locals in connection with goods transportation
    when doors and gateways at cold weather are open
    for passages of commodities both at sending and
    receiving. Savings are yet somewhat larger in the
    many cases transportation will fall off for
    example when whole commercial links will be
    superfluous or when goods today will be placed in
    intermediately stockings on lorry centrals.
  • Furthermore commodities arriving into locals from
    culvert at cold weather will have higher
    temperature than if they will come from a lorry
    platform and passively are warmed up when taken
    indoors.

47
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
5 of 8
  • These savings of energy, both in unwanted
    ventilation and passively warming of goods, are
    possible furthermore to enhance (we realize that
    this may be seen as all too imaginative but its
    possible and probably profitable) if linings for
    electricity and distant heating are placed in the
    system culvert or in own culverts in the same
    piece of concrete as the system culvert also
    possible to reach from the street. The combined
    culverts then are constructed in such a way that
    heat transfer to the system culvert will be good.
    Waste heating from these linings today
    corresponds energy from two large nuclear
    reactors (12 TWh per year) in Sweden and in our
    survey calculation ought to be enough for keeping
    head part of the culvert net (with most traffic)
    at room temperature also during winter. Goods as
    result then most often will keep room temperature
    when arriving indoors. Service of the linings in
    question will be simplified.
  • Savings of energy, many TWh per year, ought to
    arise both by diminishing volume rushing in of
    cold air in locals and as commodities are warmer
    and, if building together of culverts are
    applied, usually will hold room temperature when
    arriving indoors. This application however
    probably is most realistic to realize if state or
    commune is exploiter of the system.

48
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
6 of 8
  • Common culverts where different linings will
    divide costs for the common ditch and restoring
    economically will permit erection of among others
    distant heating to customer groups earlier being
    unprofitable to connect. This may be valid among
    others for sparsely populated small house areas
    and groups of houses being on somewhat longer
    distance from existing net for distant heating.
    The system culvert connects into the houses which
    will simplify the common culverts. Digging of
    ditch and restoring constitutes a considerable
    part of calculated costs for the system culvert.
  • New housing estates at low cost ought to be
    possible provide with system culvert where
    linings for electricity and distant heating are
    integrated.

49
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
7 of 8
  • Also in air traffic energy needs will diminish by
    above mentioned possibility of sending luggage as
    combination transport between the system and
    railway or ships.

50
A 16. Energy needs will diminish of many reasons
8 of 8
  • Energy needs accordingly will diminish except for
    by saved car transportation and cars also of
    these other reasons. Many other effects by the
    system furthermore will diminish energy needs,
    see the in total about 340 items for savings and
    other advantages by the system in table 12 at
    Rapport on www.uvds.org (only in Swedish). Part
    of all these savings are valid for electricity.
    That is cause for our judgment that total needs
    of electricity in society also will diminish
    though the wagons are driven by electricity.
  • Demand of energy for the wagon thus is extremely
    low and as above mentioned will amount about one
    hundredth of the car at the totally dominating
    goods transportation with car one wagon can
    replace one car. Total need of electricity for
    mentioned full scale system in Sweden is
    calculated 0.6 TWh.
  • Savings of energy except for those mentioned on
    first side under this heading emerges in other
    than car transportation and usually is unique for
    this system with its possibility of connecting
    almost all users of transportation.
  • All mentioned savings of energy also will include
    economical savings.

51
A 17. Climate gases will diminish perhaps by 20
to 25 percent of today by the system 1 of 3
  • In our calculation car traffic on duty and
    privately ought to diminish by a third to a
    fourth by the system and, as affected cars are
    more fuel consuming than the average car (high
    proportion lorries), a bit more of car fuel
    consumption will fall off.
  • Vehicle transportation stands for about 40
    percent of climate gases in Sweden. Diminishing
    of climate gases as result ought to amount 12 to
    15 percent by diminishing car transportation in
    the country.
  • Among large areas of use for fossil fuels, motor
    fuels among others to the car in debate rightly
    has been consider as core of the problem
    according climate loading with emissions being
    seen on as most difficult to diminish.
  • As the system roughly will bring similar
    advantages in other countries diminishing oil
    consumption of the same magnitude ought to be the
    case also there. Exception is developing
    countries which now however fast are building up
    such. Of total global oil consumption today, 72
    percent is used for road traffic. Therefore this
    saving is important.

52
A 17. Climate gases will diminish perhaps by 20
to 25 percent of today by the system 2 of 3
  • Electricity and motor fuels as touched upon will
    be saved when lifting trucks will be replaced by
    the wagon at handling inside companies.
  • Energy needs as to above will diminish and also
    climate gases by other reasons than by moving of
    goods
  • Lesser needs of handling, packing, stockings,
    locals roads and more will diminish climate
    gases. Needs of new locals will diminish.
  • Lesser unwanted ventilation when doors are open
    at commodity passing and lesser passively warming
    up of commodities when taken indoors at cold
    weather.
  • More efficient use of aeroplanes.
  • Cheaper distant heating net if possibility of
    joint building of culverts between the goods
    transportation system, distant heating,
    electrical lining and more is utilized. This will
    make possible more connections to distant heating
    often resulting in lesser emissions of climate
    gases than alternatives for house heating of
    today.

53
A 17. Climate gases will diminish by the system
perhaps by 20 to 25 percent of today 3 of 3
  • Many other points in the list of totally about
    340 items in table 12 in Report will mean
    diminishing climate gases.
  • At this background our judgment is that climate
    gases will diminish by net 20 to 25 percent by
    the goods transportation system.
  • Society will be much more resource saving and,
    how strange it yet may sound for the uninformed,
    this will be combined with an increasing living
    standard for public.
  • The system also will bring a better economy which
    ought to make possible concentration of much
    larger insets on the considerably smaller
    environmental problems remaining. In section B
    below is described how also personnel
    transportation by car by society ought to be
    possible reducing to a fraction of today made
    possible by the system.

54
A 18. The goods transportation system ought to
motivate its costs only by environmental reasons
1 of 4
  • Besides economical reasons environmental reasons
    perhaps alone will motivate realizing of the
    goods transportation system for state or commune
    and maybe pedagogically most distinct. In
    ourselves we judge them being motives enough.
  • According environmental motives if state or
    commune examines assumptions for investing in the
    system partly ought to be demanded that variable
    transportation costs will be enough low making
    possible for the system competing against car. If
    so will be the case transportation really will be
    transferred to the system where culvert is
    constructed. As to above we judge this good
    competitive strength for the system being
    obvious.

55
A 18. The goods transportation system ought to
motivate its costs only by environmental reasons
2 of 4
  • Partly is demanded that a culvert net is possible
    to finance, but if environmental reasons alone
    will be able motivating the total sum of 50
    billion SEK according to above being needed for
    connecting of almost all working places in county
    of Stockholm to each others the investment
    already is provided for.
  • The system thus powerfully and genuine will
    diminish car traffic. Many car transportation
    wholly will disappear, among others between lorry
    centrals and to commercial links which due to
    above will be superfluous. At the great majority
    of all goods transportations one wagon will
    replace one car furthermore energy consumption
    due to above will diminish to calculated about
    one hundredth. Heavy lorry transportation will be
    transferred combination transports between the
    system and railway and ships also with big
    environmental advantages.
  • Transportation will disappear from streets and
    roads which also will diminish among others risks
    for accidents, noise and dust. Light
    transportation today especially is concentrated
    in central parts of cities furnishing working
    places with goods. These at high part will fall
    off.

56
A 18. The goods transportation system ought to
motivate its costs only by environmental reasons
3 of 4
  • As comparison the now current large passer by
    motor way project west of the city of Stockholm,
    West Link, will cost about 28 billion SEK, that
    is more than half of the full scale investment
    for the goods transportation system between
    almost all working places in county of Stockholm.
    This motor way principally aims at moving car
    traffic out from centre and in many cases will
    lengthen driving distances.
  • Added to that without hesitation comprehensive
    incomes and covering contribution of fixed costs
    will emerge for the system that will finance at
    least part of investment costs. At the fee for
    example assumed above (30 SEK plus 5 SEK per km
    at choice of high variable fee) these savings in
    our calculation many times over will finance all
    costs for the systems infrastructure
    investments.
  • Added to that comes gigantic savings in other
    than transportation according to above, much
    larger than in traffic.

57
A 18. The goods transportation system ought to
motivate its costs only by environmental reasons
4 of 4
  • If the low fee due to above is used, which is
    assumed, for example it will be possible for
    household making also small shopping profitable.
    Cheap commodities will be possible sending
    between households and to service and reparation.
    Prepared food, also in single portions,
    commercially can be sent from restaurants and
    licensed households still being warm at arriving
    at for example working places, care institutions
    and to other households.

58
A 19. The system will result in powerfully
increased incomes for the households and,
probably especially important for households,
strongly diminishing costs 1 of 2
  • The system will result in powerfully increased
    incomes for households.
  • Large parts of consumption for households consist
    of goods, for which prices dramatically will be
    lowered among others by cheaper logistics inside
    and between factories, falling off of often both
    wholesale and retail sale links and powerfully
    lowered costs in remaining retail units.
  • - Of costs for a commodity cost for logistics
    normally stand for 30 to 50 percent, of which
    head part ought to be possible saving when the
    system is used.
  • - Prices on goods further will diminish by
    falling off of other than logistics costs, for
    example for diminishing packing, stocking and
    locals in industry and trade and falling off of
    cashiers service when whole commercial links
    will be superfluous.
  • Halving of goods prices often ought to be the
    case.

59
A 19. The system will result in powerfully
increased incomes for the households and,
probably especially important for households,
strongly diminishing costs 2 of 2
  • Costs for resident will diminish depending on
    powerfully lowered costs for building.
    Construction thus in much is a question of
    logistics. Firstly many of these costs will
    diminish or fall off at manufacturing of building
    components, secondly at transportation to working
    places for construction and thirdly as costs for
    comprehensive unplanned goods transportation
    connected to building mostly of very small
    quantities of goods, today very expensive,
    dramatically ought to diminish.
  • Goods transportation with car at among others
    shopping of goods will diminish. About 80 percent
    of daily goods shopping as mentioned today in
    Sweden is by car. Many households as result will
    sell the car, supported by attitudes in society
    favouring such acting.
  • Tax burden ought to be possible lowering at
    unchanged standard on public sector, see below.
  • Poorness will diminish both by increasing incomes
    and, not least, by the fact that savings, above
    mentioned, at high degree are valid for the bare
    necessities for life or are unavoidable (taxes).
  • Social effects as result will be comprehensive
    and positive

60
A 20. Many other important advantages will arise
for households at connection to culvert 1 of 3
  • Except for buying of traditional commodities
    households as above mentioned also will be able
    buying prepared foods from near situated
    restaurants or especially licensed households
    that still is warm when arriving by the system to
    among others them. Many peoples eating habits as
    result considerably ought to be better. This
    possibility probably will be most important for
    elderly and handicapped households.
  • We believe that households at probably good
    competitive strength will start companies in
    preparing such food. Starting costs will be very
    low as households already dispose own kitchens.
    We furthermore believe that households today
    having difficulties in getting work on regular
    working market will contribute to such prepared
    foods activities. Arising extra incomes for these
    households probably will have great social and
    regional worth.
  • Households ought to have possibilities competing
    also in many other branches of business.

61
A 20. Many other important advantages will arise
for households at connection to culvert 2 of 3
  • By the system households will be able of sending
    commodities to service and repair and receiving
    them after finished work.
  • Dispatching and collecting of mail and similar
    will be possible executing at households own
    terminals. Especially equipped wagons rolling
    from house to house will be able executing this
    services if desirably many times per day at
    extremely low cost.
  • The system can be used for refuse transportations
    from households at if desired advanced
    sorting at source and possibilities of good
    regaining.
  • Households at extremely low costs can send goods
    in between.
  • Social problems often has its origin in bad
    economy for affected households. By the system
    these ought to diminish.
  • Except for lowered costs and comprehensive social
    and regional advantages use of the system will
    mean increased convenience for households.

62
A 20. Many other important advantages will arise
for households at connection to culvert 3 of 3
  • Old people (also in built up areas) will have
    possibility living longer in their dwellings as
    both providing of prepared warm food and other
    providing at high quality can be supplied by the
    system. They will be independent among others on
    nearness to shop. Their needs of care as result
    will diminish (part of work for home help is
    valid for supplying the households with food and
    other necessities).
  • Handling incidents and working injuries ought to
    diminish as goods handling today often will mean
    heavy lifting, which in great part will fall off
    by the system.
  • Traffic incidents will diminish caused by
    diminishing car traffic.
  • Traffic queues will diminish by the system.
  • Living on long distances from among others shops,
    also on distances being valid inside built up
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