Au contraire! Anti-smoking campaigns are responsible for a significant decline in high school smoking since 2001.

1
Thats gross. Those stupid anti-smoking campaigns
dont work, anyway.
Au contraire! Anti-smoking campaigns are
responsible for a significant decline in high
school smoking since 2001.
2
Omigod! Did you see Donna totally smoking
Marlboros at the party Saturday! Everybody seems
to be smoking these days!
Donna! Omigod? What are you DOING?
Au contraire! The number of high school seniors
who are smokers has fallen nearly 15 since 2001.
3
That pictures whack. Everybody smokes when the
drink, and everybody drinks.
Au Contraire! Alcohol use and smoking are
declining among seniors, but the rate of use of
alcohol is still over twice the rate of tobacco
use.
4
Boys are smarter than girls.
5
Raw Observation
2001 State
2010 State
6
The shift is cluttered by the various options in
the question.
7
To use this statistic well I need to clarify
it. But I must be careful not to make a logical
or ethical mistake.
8
Logical mistake
The longer ago students smoked, the more likely
they were to quit.
No sixth graders smoked. 9th graders smoked at
1/3 the rate of 12th graders. Each 12th grade
smoker recruited at least 2, and perhaps as many
as 3, freshmen to smoke.
9
Ethical mistake
Only those who smoke 1/5 of the time can be
considered smokers. I will put the 7 of male
seniors who smoked 1-5 days in with the group who
smoked 0 days, creating a ratio of 88 nonsmokers
to 11
10
Another way to put it would be if it went like
this
more than 1 day 24
19
11
Using just this survey data and nothing else,
choose an answer for each claim. You may answer
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
12
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 1 Anti-smoking campaigns are responsible
for a significant decline in high school smoking
since 2001.
13
CLAIM 1 Anti-smoking campaigns are responsible
for a significant decline in high school smoking
since 2001.
14
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 2 The number of high school seniors who
are smokers has fallen nearly 15 since 2001.
15
CLAIM 2 The number of high school seniors who
are smokers has fallen nearly 15 since 2001.
16
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 3 by 2020, fewer than 10 of high school
seniors will be smokers.
17
CLAIM 3 by 2020, fewer than 10 of high school
seniors will be smokers.
18
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 4 Roughly 35 of Minnesotans born between
1982 and 1985 are smokers.
19
CLAIM 4 Roughly 35 of Minnesotans born between
1982 and 1985 are smokers.
20
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 5 Major gains in reducing teen smoking
have been seen in the past ten years.
21
CLAIM 5 Major gains in reducing teen smoking
have been seen in the past ten years.
22
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 6 Smoking reduction efforts among teens
have been almost 25 more effective among girls
than boys.
23
CLAIM 6 Smoking reduction efforts among teens
have been almost 25 more effective among girls
than boys.
24
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 7. High school students who smoke even a
single cigarette in any month are likely to
become smokers for life.
25
CLAIM 7. High school students who smoke even a
single cigarette in any month are likely to
become smokers for life.
26
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 8 Differences between the behavior of
boys and girls are much greater than they were 10
years ago.
27
CLAIM 8 Differences between the behavior of
boys and girls are much greater than they were 10
years ago.
28
2001 M12 F12 Never smoke 63
64 2010 Never smoke 76 81
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
CLAIM 9 Girls are smarter than boys.
29
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
30
refuted, confirmed, supported, or
insufficient data to refute or support.
31
(No Transcript)
32
(No Transcript)
33
(No Transcript)
34
(No Transcript)
35
(No Transcript)
36
(No Transcript)