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Section 2.3 ~ Uses of Percentages in Statistics

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Title: Section 2.3 ~ Uses of Percentages in Statistics


1
Section 2.3 Uses of Percentages in Statistics
  • Introduction to Probability and Statistics
  • Ms. Young

2
Objective
Sec. 2.3
To understand how percentages are used to report
statistical results and recognize ways in which
they are sometimes misused.
Why is this important?
To understand the true meaning of statements that
involve percentages which helps to make educated
decisions and fully understand statistical
statements. The rate of smoking among 10th
graders jumped 45, to 18.3, and the rate for
8th graders is up 44, to 10.4
3
The Basics of Percentages
Sec. 2.3
  • A percentage is simply a way to represent a
    fraction part per 100
  • Conversions Between Fractions and Percentages
  • Percent to Fraction
  • Take the percent and write it out of 100, then
    reduce the fraction
  • Ex.
  • Percent to Decimal
  • Drop the symbol and move the decimal point two
    places to the left (that is, divide by 100)
  • Ex.

4
The Basics of Percentages Contd
Sec. 2.3
  • Decimal to percent
  • Move the decimal point two places to the right
    (that is, multiply by 100) and add the sign
  • Ex.
  • Fraction to percent
  • Convert the fraction to a decimal, then convert
    the decimal to a percent
  • Ex.

5
Example 1
Sec. 2.3
  • A newspaper reports that 44 of 1,069 people
    surveyed said that the President is doing a good
    job. How many people said that the President is
    doing a good job?
  • Of is a common word used for multiplication
  • 44 of 1,069 would be equivalent to
  • About 470 out of the 1,069 people said the
    President is doing a good job

6
Using Percentages to Describe Change
Sec. 2.3
  • Percentages are commonly used in statistics to
    describe how data change with time (absolute
    change and relative (percent) change)
  • Ex. The population of a town was 10,000 in 1970
    and 15,000 in 2000
  • When calculating change, you are always dealing
    with two values the starting point, or reference
    value, and a new value that is either an increase
    or a decrease in comparison to the reference
    value
  • Ex. using the case above, the reference value
    would be the 10,000 people and the new value
    would be the 15,000 people

7
Absolute Change
Sec. 2.3
  • Absolute change describes the actual increase
    or decrease from a reference value to a new
    value
  • Example The population of a town was 10,000 in
    1970 and 15,000 in 2000. The absolute change is
  • A positive absolute change represents an increase
    from the original value
  • A negative absolute change represents a decrease
    from the original value

8
Relative Change
Sec. 2.3
  • Relative change describes the size of absolute
    change in comparison to the reference value
    (original value) and is expressed as a percentage
  • Example The population of a town was 10,000 in
    1970 and 15,000 in 2000. The relative change is
  • A positive relative change represents a percent
    increase from the original value
  • A negative relative change represents a percent
    decrease from the original value

9
Example 2
Sec. 2.3
  • World population in 1950 was 2.6 billion. By the
    beginning of 2000, it had reached 6.0 billion.
    Describe the absolute and relative change in
    world population from 1950 to 2000.
  • The reference value is 2.6 billion
  • The new value is 6.0 billion
  • The absolute change is
  • The population increased by 3.4 billion people
    from 1950 to 2000
  • The relative change is
  • The population increased by about 131 from 1950
    to 2000

10
Using Percentages for Comparisons
Sec. 2.3
  • Similar formulas are used to make comparisons
    between two numbers that are not necessarily a
    change in time. This is known as absolute and
    relative difference.
  • Ex. the number of hours a woman is in labor
    with her second child in comparison to her first
    child
  • The numbers that are being compared are
    classified as
  • The reference value the number that is being
    used as the basis for a comparison
  • In the case above, the number of hours the woman
    was in labor with her first child would be the
    reference value
  • The compared value the other number that is
    being compared to the reference value
  • The number of hours the woman was in labor with
    her second child would be the compared value

11
Absolute Difference
Sec. 2.3
  • Absolute difference the difference between the
    compared value and the reference value
  • Ex. Sue was in labor with her first child for
    22 hours and was in labor with her second child
    for 8 hours. The absolute difference would be
  • This means that she was in labor for 14 hours
    less with her second child
  • A positive absolute difference represents an
    increase in comparison to the reference value
  • A negative absolute difference represents a
    decrease in comparison to the reference value

12
Relative Difference
Sec. 2.3
  • Relative difference describes the size of the
    absolute difference in comparison to the
    reference value and is expressed as a percentage
  • Ex. Sue was in labor with her first child for
    22 hours and was in labor with her second child
    for 8 hours. The relative difference would be
  • This means that she was in labor for 63 less
    time with her second child

13
Example 3
Sec. 2.3
  • Life expectancy for American men is about 75
    years, while life expectancy for Russian men is
    about 59 years. Compare the life expectancy of
    American men to that of Russian men in absolute
    and relative terms.
  • The reference value is the life expectancy of
    Russian men
  • The compared value is the life expectancy of
    American men
  • The absolute difference is
  • This means that American men can expect to live
    about 16 years longer than Russian men
  • The relative difference is
  • This means that American men can expect to live
    about 27 longer than Russian men

14
Of versus More Than (or Less Than)
Sec. 2.3
  • There are two equivalent ways to state change in
    terms of percentages
  • Ex Suppose an item is on sale for 10 off its
    original price.
  • One way to explain this is by using the phrase
    less than
  • The sale price is 10 less than the original
    price
  • Another way to explain this is by using the
    phrase of
  • The sale price is 90 of the original price
  • Since the original price is 100, the sale price
    would be 90 of the original price (100 - 10)

15
Of versus More Than (or less than) in general
Sec. 2.3
  • If the new or compared value is P more than the
    reference value, then it is (100 P) of the
    reference value
  • Ex. 40 more than the reference value would be
    140 of the reference value
  • If the new or compared value is P less than the
    reference value, then it is (100 - P) of the
    reference value
  • Ex. 40 less than the reference value would be
    60 of the reference value

16
Example 4
Sec. 2.3
  • In Example 2, we found that world population in
    2000 was about 131 more than world population in
    1950. Express this change with an of
    statement.
  • Since the population in 1950 is the reference
    value and the population is 2000 is 131 more
    than that reference value, the population can be
    expressed by saying
  • The population in 2000 is 231 (100 131) of
    the population in 1950
  • In other words, the population in 2000 is 2.31
    times the population in 1950

17
Example 5
Sec. 2.3
  • A store is having a 25 off sale. In general,
    how does a sale price compare to an original
    price? If the original price is 30 what is the
    sale price?
  • In general, the sale price is 25 less than the
    original price or 75 of the original price (100
    - 25)
  • If the original price is 30, then the sale price
    is

18
Percentages of Percentages
Sec. 2.3
  • Percent changes and percent differences can be
    particularly confusing when the values themselves
    are percentages
  • Ex. Your bank increases the interest rate on
    your savings account from 3 to 4. You most
    likely want to say that it was a 1 increase,
    when in reality it was a 33 increase
  • The 1 is the absolute change expressed as a
    change in percentage points
  • So it would be accurate to say that your savings
    account increased 1 percentage point
  • The 33 is the relative change expressed as a
    percent change
  • This value is found by taking the new value and
    comparing it to the old value
  • When you see a change or difference expressed in
    percentage points, you can assume it is an
    absolute change or difference
  • When you see a change or difference expressed as
    a percent, you can assume it is a relative change
    or difference

19
Example 6
Sec. 2.3
  • Based on interviews with a sample of students at
    your school, you conclude that the percentage of
    all students who are vegetarians is probably
    between 20 and 30. Should you report your
    result as 25 with a margin of error of 5 or
    as 25 with a margin of error of 5 percentage
    points? Explain.
  • It should be reported as 25 with a margin of
    error of 5 percentage points
  • If you said 25 with a margin of error of 5 that
    would be a relative change and would really refer
    to an interval between 23.75 and 26.25
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