Third International Seminar on Early Warning and Business Cycle indicators

1
Third International Seminar on Early Warning and
Business Cycle indicators

• Session 6
• Communication and Dissemination Country
  experiences
• Discussant Geert Bruinooge
• Countries Morroco Chile Indonesia China

2
Morroco - National Statistical System

• High Commission of Planning (HCP) official
  statistical authority
• Focal point of the Moroccan national statistical
  system
• Legal responsibility to release statistical
  output
• Statistical Information National Council (to be
  established)?

3
Dissemination Policy

• Provide all categories of users with
  comprehensive and accurate data
• Respond to user needs when developing and
  disseminating information
• Increase access to information by disseminating
  directly and through others
• Free of charge access to general information
• Pricing of specialized information
• Annual calendar
• Media, internet, papers, electronic publications
• Micro data sets

4
Main Economic Indicators

• GDP Q 90 days
• Industrial production Q 75 days
• Industrial production prices M 15 days
• Foreign trade Q
• Wage Indices Q (in development)?
• Business Confidence Survey Q
• Household Confidence Survey Q 35 days
• CPI M 15 days
• Quarterly Conjuncture Report Q
• Employment Evolution Q

5
Ongoing work

• Quarterly National Account reduction of timelag
  (now 90 days)?
• Flash GDP in development by using partial or
  estimated information
• Cooperation at international level

6
Chile National Statistical System

• Instituto National de Estadistica (INE) national
  statistical authority
• Mission to generate, analize and disseminate
  official and public statistics
• Emphasis on open access of all statistical
  information to all citizens
• Statistics must be placed at the service of the
  community and all citizens
• Full adherence to principles of transparency and
  accessibility annual publication calendar
• Strong link with respondents
• Confidentiality and embargo up to publication

7
Improving communication channels

• Principles of communication process
• Quality in terms of of making the totality of
  information available in a timely manner
• Transparency communication of all stages of
  production process to all involved
• Availability of methods and methodoligal aspects
  to users
• Outreach tools
• Website
• Publications
• Half-yearly meeting with specialized users
• Educational efforts

8
Main Economic Indicators

• CPI M 8 days
• Earnings statistics M 8 days
• Transport costs M 8 days
• Manufacturing Production Index M, 25 days
• Mining Production Index M 25 days
• Electricity, gas and Water Index M 25 days
• Retail sales Index M, 25 days
• GDP (Central Bank) Q according to calendar

9
Indonesia National Statistical System

• Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) official statistical
  authority
• Main agency for reliable and up to date
  statistical information to government and public
• Director-General BPS directly responsible to
  President
• Statistical Education and Training Center
• International collaboration
• Training for journalists

10
Dissemination Policy

• Objective ensure a continuous flow of
  information to target audiences
• Identify target audiences public, journalists,
  government, internal BPS
• Reports tailored to targets groups
• Communication vehicles website, press
  conferences, executive reports, internal website
• Data presentations press releases tables and
  graphs executive summary

11
Main economic indicators

• CPI M, 1 day
• Foreign Trade M, 30 days
• Workers wages M, 1 day
• Farmerss term of trade M 30 days
• Wholesale Price Index M, 30 days
• Tourism M, 30 days
• Transportation M30 days
• GDP Q, 35 days
• Business and Consumers Confidence Indicators Q,
  35 days
• Manufacturing Production Index Q, 30 days
• Forecast Food Crops 4 monthly, forecast current
  year

12
China -National Statistical System

• National Bureau of Statistics is National
  statistical authority
• Focal point of the national statistical system
• Responsible for unified organisation and
  coordination of statistical data, dissemination,
  public information and interviews

13
Issues and Challenges

• Website more user friendly
• Extend range of statistics on website
• Timeseries and report generator on website
• Improve communication (information on
  methodology, revisions and better publication
  timetable)?
• Improving timeliness without loss in accuracy
• All statistics must be based on professional
  practices

14
Dissemination Policy

• Strengthen work of journalism and propaganda
• Pressconferences with system of pressspookmen
• Website China Statistical Information network
• China Statistical Archivededicated to public to
  provide statistical data, information inquiries
  and consulting services for free
• Systen of national statistical databases for
  public need for statistical information inquiries
  (thematic approach keyword search, output of a
  variety of files, mapping etc.)?
• Regular release calendar
• Media, internet, television, radio, national and
  regional yearbooks, CD-roms

15
Main Economic Indicators

• Pressconference on Economic situation M
• GDP Q, 15 days
• Efficiency of Industrial Economy M
• Business Climate Index M
• Entrepreneur Confidence Index M
• Statistical Survey Programs M

16
Common Issues

• Dissemination Policy
• Focus on Website
• Improvement of timeliness
• Improvement of services to users
• Release calendar

17
New Issues?

• All statistical output must be available on
  website
• Free access to website
• Access to micro data
• Timeliness vs accuracy
• Use new media and technology Twitter, Smart
  phones, I-pad, You tube
• Statistical literacy, Storytelling