Title: BT Group plc
1- BT Group plc
- Q3 2007/8 results
-
February 7th 2008
2Forward-looking statements - caution
- Certain statements in this presentation are
forward-looking and are made in reliance on the
safe harbour provisions of the US Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These
statements include, without limitation, those
concerning continuing growth in revenue, EBITDA,
earnings per share and dividends growth in new
wave revenue mainly from networked IT services
and broadband transforming the cost base
delivery of 21CN and Global Services cost
reductions and EBITDA margin. - Although BT believes that the expectations
reflected in these forward-looking statements are
reasonable, it can give no assurance that these
expectations will prove to have been correct.
Because these statements involve risks and
uncertainties, actual results may differ
materially from those expressed or implied by
these forward-looking statements. - Factors that could cause differences between
actual results and those implied by the
forward-looking statements include, but are not
limited to material adverse changes in economic
conditions in the markets served by BT future
regulatory actions and conditions in BTs
operating areas, including competition from
others selection by BT of the appropriate
trading and marketing models for its products and
services technological innovations, including
the cost of developing new products, networks and
solutions and the need to increase expenditures
to improve the quality of service the
anticipated benefits and advantages of new
technologies, products and services, including
broadband and other new wave initiatives, not
being realised developments in the convergence
of technologies fluctuations in foreign currency
exchange rates and interest rates prolonged
adverse weather conditions resulting in a
material increase in overtime, staff or other
costs the timing of entry and profitability of
BT in certain communications markets and general
financial market conditions affecting BTs
performance and ability to raise finance.
BT undertakes no obligation to update any
forward-looking statements whether as a result of
new information, future events or otherwise.
3Q3 2007/8 Group financial headlines
Group revenue
5.2bn
1
EBITDA
1.5bn
2
Operating profit
0.7bn
6
Earnings per share 5.9p
2
Capital expenditure 0.9bn
Free cash outflow 0.2bn
Before specific items and leavers
4Q3 2007/8 revenue by customer
5Corporate
- Q3 - Global Services
- Improvement in EBITDA margin of 140bp to 10.9
- 22 growth in non-UK revenue
- Robust 29bn prospect order book pipeline
- Corporate market trends
- Globalisation
- Convergence
- Optimisation
- Growth
2006/7 growth rates not restated for
reorganisation
6Business
- Q3 Retail Business
- Continued strong revenue growth
- Value packages
- c38 take-up amongst SMEs
- Good growth from BT Enterprises
- SME market trends
- Decline in spend on hardware
- Simplify technology for customers
- Increased spend on networked IT services
2006/7 growth rates not restated for
reorganisation
7Consumer
- Q3 Retail Consumer
- Continued ARPU growth
- BT remains UKs No.1 broadband provider
- Resilient broadband market share, 35
- Consumer market trends
- Broadband now a necessity
- Inclusive call bundles
- Highly competitive market
DSL LLU
8Carrier
- Q3 Openreach
- Steady performance driven by LLU line growth
- Cost efficiencies
- Service improvements
- Market trends
- Continued LLU migration
- Slowing LLU build out
- More demand for backhaul
- Principle based regulation
- Regulatory pricing review
9Carrier
- Q3 Wholesale
- Expected decline in low margin transit and PRS
revenue continues, down 68m YoY - Ongoing migration from IPstream to LLU
- Focus on managed services
- 98m Virgin Media contract
- Market trends
- Network rationalisation
- More outsourcing
- Further transit declines
10Transforming the cost base Q3 YTD
468m of cost efficiencies
Before specific items and leavers
11Transforming the cost base opportunities
- Ongoing efficiency opportunities
- Right first time focus for customer service
- Reduce cost of complexity and failure
- Overhead Value Analysis
- Global sourcing
- Ongoing re-investment for the future
- 21CN
On track to exceed FY target of 600m
1221CN - update
- Services driven migration
- gt35 of UK core network already rebuilt
- Wholesale Broadband Connect
- ADSL2 rollout from Spring 2008 with
speeds of up to 24Mb available - Next generation Ethernet Services
- More bandwidth, more reach, more flexibility
- Platform operational in more than 160 countries
- NGA
- Openreach deploying fiber technology at Ebbsfleet
Overall objective remains unchanged
13Summary
- Q3 highlights
- Global Services - EBITDA margin improvement
- Retail - continued strong EBITDA growth
- Openreach - strong operational performance
- Wholesale - decline in transit and migration to
LLU - Cost savings - on track to exceed target
- Q4 Outlook
- Expect continued growth in revenue, EBITDA, EPS
and dividends and significant cash inflow
Continue to deliver for customers and shareholders
Before specific items and leavers
14BT Group plc
- Hanif Lalani Group Finance Director
15Q3 2007/8 line of business analysis
- First quarter of reporting under new structure
- Increased line of sight of end to end
profitability - Significant reduction in internal trading
- No material change to Openreach
Transformation into software driven services
company
Before specific items and leavers
16Q3 2007/8 lines of business dashboard
Global
Retail
Openreach
Wholesale
Group
Revenue
6
2
11
1
1
New wave growth
9
18
(23)
31
7
EBITDA
23
12
9
2
2
EBITDA
37.1
28.5
10.9
18.7
28.5
margin
Before specific items and leavers
17Global Services Revenue 2.0bn EBITDA 0.22bn
18BT Global Services Q3 total order intake 1.9bn
Q3 Revenue
6
EBITDA
23
EBITDAmargin
10.9
Rolling 12 months intake 8.6bn
19BT Global Services margin expansion
Q3 Revenue
- EBITDA margin up 140bp
- Contract maturity
- c60 of top 100 contracts now in 2nd half
of life, rising to two thirds by year end - Cost transformation
- Rebalancing of workforce
- De-layering management structures
- Rationalisation of networks and IT systems
6
EBITDA
23
EBITDAmargin
10.9
Medium term EBITDA margin target 15
20BT Retail Revenue 2.1bn EBITDA 0.4bn
Q3 Revenue
2
EBITDA
12
EBITDAmargin
18.7
21BT Retail
- Broadband
- Q3 gross installs 404k
- c65 take Option 2 or 3
- 177k net additions
- Market share 35
- Currently gt150k Vision subscribers
- Consumer ARPU
- 273 up 2
- 69 contracted
DSL LLU
22BT Wholesale Revenue 1.2bn EBITDA 0.3bn
- Revenue
- Transit PRS
- Continued decline
- Low margin
- Broadband
- Price reductions
- Migration volumes
- Cost base
- SGA reduced by 10
- EBITDA margin up 60bp from 27.9
Q3 Revenue
11
EBITDA
9
EBITDAmargin
28.5
23 Revenue 1.3bn EBITDA
0.5bn
Q3 Revenue
- Revenue
-
- External up 15
- - LLU WLR growth
- Rest of BT down 3
- - WLR migration
- Cost efficiencies
- Operating cost down 17m
-
- 50 improvement in average provisioning and
repair lead times
1
EBITDA
2
EBITDAmargin
37.1
24Q3 2007/8 results
Change m
Q3 2007/8 m
Q3 2006/7 m
28 28 56 30 9 39 7 (9) (72) (35) 30 (5) 0.1p 0.1
p
Revenue POLOs Revenue (net of POLOs) EBITDA (pre
leavers) Depreciation amortisation Operating
profit (pre leavers) Operating margin Leaver
costs Associates Finance costs (net) Profit
before tax Tax Profit for the period Earnings
per share (post leavers) Earnings per share (pre
leavers)
5,154 1,023 4,137 1,469 (732) 737 14.3 (20) (2) (
134) 581 (120) 461 5.7p 5.9p
5,126 1,051 4,075 1,439 (741) 698 13.6 (27) 7 (62
) 616 (150) 466 5.6p 5.8p
Note all numbers are before specific items. Q3
2007/8 specific charge 134m pre tax.
25Q3 2007/8 - free cash flow
Q3 2006/7 m
Q3 2007/8 m
Change m
EBITDA(post leavers) Interest
Tax Capex Working capital Pension deficiency
contribution Other (incl specific items) Free
cash flow
1,449 (414) (877) (294) --- (85) (221)
37 22 (100) (82) 500 (73) 304
1,412 (436) (777) (212) (500) (12) (525)
Before specific items
26Balance sheet - as at 31 December 2007
Buy back
Pension
- Repurchased 281m of shares in Q3
- YTD repurchased 1.0bn of planned 2.5bn buy back
by March 2009
- Q3 IAS19 surplus 0.9bn - 1.6bn deficit last
year - Previous mitigation of exposure to equity market
risk
Net debt
Liquidity
- Currently 10.2bn
- Seasonal turnaround in FCF expected in Q4
- Raised debt of 1.0bn and 1.2bn in the quarter
- 5 year facility of 1.5bn
27Earnings per share
Before exceptional items and goodwill from
continuing activities Before specific items
and leavers
28BT Group plc