BOUNDS AND OTHER NO ARBITRAGE CONDITIONS ON OPTIONS PRICES First we review the topics: Risk-free borrowing and lending and Short sales - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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BOUNDS AND OTHER NO ARBITRAGE CONDITIONS ON OPTIONS PRICES First we review the topics: Risk-free borrowing and lending and Short sales

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Title: BOUNDS AND OTHER NO ARBITRAGE CONDITIONS ON OPTIONS PRICES First we review the topics: Risk-free borrowing and lending and Short sales


1
BOUNDS AND OTHER NO ARBITRAGE CONDITIONS ON
OPTIONS PRICESFirst we review the
topicsRisk-free borrowing and lending and
Short sales
2
Risk-free lending and borrowing
  • Arbitrage A market situation in
  • which an investor can make a profit
  • with no equity and no risk.
  • Efficiency A market is said to be
  • efficient if prices are such that there
  • exist no arbitrage opportunities.
  • Alternatively,
  • a market is said to be inefficient if
  • prices present arbitrage opportunities
  • for investors in this market.

3
  • Risk-free lending and borrowing
  • PURE ARBITRAGE PROFIT
  • A PROFIT MADE
  • 1.WITHOUT EQUITY INVESTMENT
  • and
  • WITHOUT ANY RISK
  • We will assume that
  • the options market is efficient.
  • This assumption implies that one cannot make
    arbitrage profits in the options markets

4
We are now ready to analyze upper and lower
BOUNDS AND OTHER NO ARBITRAGE CONDITIONS ON
OPTIONS PRICES.The basic assumptions and
notations that underlie the analysis are
5
ASSUMPTIONS1. The market is frictionlessNo
transaction cost nor taxes exist. Trading are
executed instantly. There exists no restrictions
to short selling.2. Market prices are
synchronous across assets. If a strategy
requires the purchase or sale of several assets
in different markets, the prices in these markets
are simultaneous. Moreover,No bid-ask spread
existonly one market price.
6
ASSUMPTIONS3. Risk-free borrowing and lending
exists at the uniquerisk-free rate. Risk-free
borrowing and lending is done via selling short
and purchasing T-bills 4. There exist no
arbitrage opportunities in the options market.
7
  • NOTATIONS
  • t the current date.
  • St the current market price of the
    underlying asset.
  • X the options exercise (strike) price. K in
    the text book.
  • T the options expiration date.
  • T-t the time remaining to the options
    expiration.
  • r the annual risk-free rate.
  • ? the annual standard deviation of the
    returns on the underlying asset.
  • D cash dividend per share.

8
  • NOTATIONS
  • Ct the current market premium of an
    American call.
  • ct the current market premium of an
    European call.
  • Pt the current market premium of an
    American call.
  • pt the current market premium of an
    European call.
  • In general, we express the options
  • premiums as the following functions
  • Ct , ct cSt , X, T-t, r, ?, D ,
  • Pt , pt pSt , X, T-t, r, ?, D .

9
  • FINAL REMARK
  • Many strategies described below use
  • lending or borrowing capital at the risk-
  • free rate. Mostly, the amount borrowed
  • or lent is the discounted value of the
  • options exercise price.
  • Namely, Xe-r(T-t).
  • The assumption here is that the holder of
  • the strategy can always buy T-bills (lend)
  • or sell short T-bills (borrow) for exactly
  • the amount of Xe-r(T-t). It follows that
  • upon terminating the strategy at the
  • options expiration time, the lender will
  • receive this amounts face value, namely,
  • a cash flow of X. If borrowed, the
  • borrower will pay this amounts face
  • value, namely, a cash flow of X.

10
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 1. Call values at expiration
  • (3.1) page 102
  • CT cT Max 0, ST X .
  • Proof
  • At expiration the call is either
  • exercised, in which case CF ST X,
  • or you let the option expire
  • worthless, in which case, CF 0.

11
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS(P104)
  • 2. Minimum call value
  • A call premium cannot be negative.
  • At any time t, prior to expiration,
  • Ct , ct ? 0.
  • Proof The current market price of a
  • call is the NPVMax 0, ST X ? 0.
  • 3. Maximum Call value Ct ? St.
  • Proof The call is a right to buy the stock.
    Investors will not pay for this right a price
    that is higher than what the value the right to
    buy gives them, I.e., the stock itself.

12
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 4. Lower bound American call value
  • At any time t, prior to expiration,
  • Ct ? Max 0, St - X.
  • Proof Assume to the contrary that
  • Ct lt Max 0, St - X.
  • Then, buy the call and immediately exercise it
    for an arbitrage profit of St X Ct gt 0.
    Contradiction of the no arbitrage profits
    assumption.

13
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 11. The money value of calls
  • The higher the exercise price, the lower is the
    value of a call.
  • Proof Let X1 lt X2 be the exercise prices for
    two calls on the same underlying asset and the
    same time to expiration. To show that c2 lt c1
    assume, to the contrary, that c2 gt c1 or, c2 -
    c1 gt 0. Then,
  • At expiration
  • Strategy ICF ST lt X1 X1ltST lt X2 ST gtX2
  • Sell c(X2 ) c2 0 0 -(ST X2)
  • Buy c(X1 ) -c1 0 ST X1 STX1
  • Total ? 0 ST X1 X2 - X1
  • In the absence of arbitrage the initial cash
  • flow cannot be positive.

14
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 12. The money value of calls
  • Let X1 lt X2 then C1 - C2 ? X2 - X1
  • Proof Let X1 lt X2 be the exercise prices or
  • two American calls on the same underlying
  • asset and the same time to expiration.
  • Assume that C1 - C2 gt X2 - X1 or,
  • equivalently C1 - C2 (X2 - X1) gt 0. Then,
  • At expiration
  • Strategy ICF ST lt X1 X1ltST lt X2 ST gtX2
  • Sell C(X1 ) C1 0 -(ST X1) -(ST X1)
  • Buy C(X2 )-C2 0 0 STX2
  • Lend (X2 - X1) X2-X1i X2- X1i X2-
    X1i
  • Total ? X2-X1i X2-STi i
  • i interest
  • Even if the sold call is exercised before
  • Expiration, the total value in hand is gt0.

15
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 13. The money value of calls
  • Let X1ltX2 then c1-c2 ? (X2-X1)e-r(T-t)
  • Proof Let X1 lt X2 for two European calls
  • on the same underlying asset and the same
  • time to expiration. Assume that
  • c1-c2 gt (X2-X1)e-r(T-t) or,
  • c1-c2 -(X2-X1)e-r(T-t) gt0. Then,
  • At expiration
  • Strategy ICF ST lt X1 X1ltST lt X2 ST gtX2
  • Sell c(X1 ) c1 0 -(ST X1) -(ST X1)
  • Buy c(X2 )-c2 0 0 STX2
  • Lend -(X2-X1)e-r(T-t) X2-X1 X2-X1
    X2-X1
  • Total ? X2-X1 X2- ST 0
  • In the absence of arbitrage, the initial
  • cash flow cannot be positive.

16
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 5. Lower bound European call value
  • At any time t, prior to expiration,
  • ct ? Max 0, St - Xe-r(T-t).
  • Proof If, to the contrary,
  • ct lt Max 0, St - Xe-r(T-t), then,
  • 0 lt St - Xe-r(T-t) - ct
  • At expiration
  • Strategy I.C.F ST lt X ST gt X
  • Sell stock short St -ST -ST
  • Buy call - ct 0 ST - X
  • Lend funds - Xe-r(T-t) X X
  • Total ? X ST 0
  • In the absence of arbitrage, the initial
  • cash flow cannot be positive.

17
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 6. The market value of an American call is at
    least as high as the market value of a European
    call.
  • Ct ? ct ? Max 0, St - Xe-r(T-t).
  • Proof An American call may be exercised at any
    time, t, prior to expiration, tltT, while the
    European call holder may exercise it only at
    expiration.

18
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 7. The time value of calls
  • The longer the time to expiration, the higher is
    the value of a call.
  • Proof Let T1 lt T2 for two calls on the same
    underlying asset and the same exercise price. To
    show that
  • c2 gt c1 assume, to the contrary, that c1 gt c2
    or, c1 - c2 gt 0.
  • At expiration T1
  • Strategy I.C.F ST1 lt X ST1 gt X
  • Sell c(T1 ) c1 0 -(ST1 X)
  • Buy c(T2 ) - c2 c(TV) C(T2-T1)
  • Total ? c(TV) ?

19
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • Case 1. The calls are American style.
  • The question is whether
  • C(T2-T1) - (ST1 X) ?
  • If gt 0 the proof is completed.
  • If lt 0, the open call can be exercised
  • immediately for (ST1 X) and the proof is
  • complete.
  • Case 2. The calls are European style.
  • In this case, result 5. Guarantees that the
  • cash flow above is gt0 because
  • ct1 ? St1 - Xe-r(T2-T1).

20
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 8. Cash dividends and calls
  • Cash dividends and calls
  • It is not optimal to exercise an American call
  • prior to its expiration if the underlying stock
  • does not pay out any dividend during the life
  • of the option.
  • Proof If an American call holder wishes
  • to rid of the option at any time prior to its
  • expiration, the market premium is greater
  • than the intrinsic value because the time
  • value is always positive.
  • 9. The American feature is worthless if the
  • underlying stock does not pay out any
  • dividend during the life of the call.
  • Mathematically Ct ct.
  • Proof Follows from result 8. above.

21
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 10. Early exercise of Unprotected American calls
    on a cash dividend paying stock. (Section 8.7)
  • Consider an American call on a cash
  • dividend paying stock. It may be
  • optimal to exercise this American call
  • an instant before the stock goes X
  • dividend.
  • Two condition must hold for the early
  • exercise to be optimal
  • First, the call must be in-the-money.
  • Second, the dividend/share, D, must
  • exceed the time value of the call at the
  • x dividend instant. To see this result
  • Consider

22
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • FACTS
  • 1. The share price drops by D/share
  • when the stock goes x-dividend.
  • 2. The call value decreases when the price per
    share falls.
  • 3. The exchanges do not compensate call holders
    for the loss of value that ensues the price drop
    on the x-dividend date.

SCUMD
SXDIV
tA
tXDIV
tPAYMENT
Time line
4. SXDIV SCDIV - D.
23
  • Early exercise of
  • Unprotected American calls on a cash dividend
    paying stock
  • The call holder goal is to maximize the
  • Cash flow from the call. Thus, at any
  • moment in time, exercising the call is
  • inferior to selling the call. This conclusion
  • may change, however, an instant before
  • the stock goes x dividend
  • Exercise Do not exercise
  • Cash flow SCD X cSXD, X, T-tXD-
  • Substitute SCD SXD D.
  • Cash flow SXD X D SXD X TV.
  • Conclusion Early exercise of American
  • calls may be optimal. If the call is in the
  • money and D gt TV, early exercise is
  • optimal.

24
  • Early exercise of
  • Unprotected American calls on a cash dividend
    paying stock
  • This result means that an investor is
  • indifferent to exercising the call an
  • instant before the stock goes x
  • dividend if the x dividend stock
  • price SXD satisfies
  • SXD X D cSXD , X, tXD-t.
  • It can be shown that this implies
  • that the price price SXD exists if
  • D gt X1 e-r(T t).

25
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 14. The money value of calls
  • Let X1 lt X2 lt X3 and
  • X2 ?X1 (1 - ?)X3 for 0 lt ? lt 1.
  • The premiums on the three calls must
  • satisfy c2 ? ?c1 (1 - ?)c3 At
    Expiration
  • STRATEGY ICF ST lt X1 X1ltST lt X2 X2
    ltST lt X3 ST gt X3
  • Buy ? calls X1 -?c1 0 ?(ST X1)
    ?(ST X1) ?(ST X1)
  • Sell one call X2 c2 0 0 -(ST
    X2) -(ST X2)
  • Buy 1-? calls X3 -(1-?)c3 0 0 0
    (1-?)(STX3)
  • Total c2-?c1-(1-?)c3 0 ?(STX1)
    (1-?)(X3-ST) 0
  • All the cash flows at expiration are non
    negative.
  • Hence, the Initial Cash Flow cannot be positive!
    I.e.,
  • c2-?c1-(1-?)c3 ? 0.
  • Or, c2 ? ?c1 (1 - ?)c3.
  • Remark When ? 1/2 , the strategy is
  • called a Butterfly. In this case, 2X2 X1 X3
  • and the result asserts 2c2 ? c1 c3

26
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • Example Let 80, 95 and 100 be the
  • exercise prices of three calls on the same
  • underlying asset and the same expiration.
  • Observe that 95 (.25)80 (.75)100.
  • Thus, in this case, ? ¼. Result 14.
  • Asserts that c(95) ? ¼c(80) ¾c(100). Or,
  • 4c(95) ? c(80) 3c(100).
  • If the latter inequality does not hold, then
  • 4c(95) gt c(80) 3c(100) or,
  • 4c(95) - c(80) - 3c(100) gt 0
  • and arbitrage profit can be made by the
  • Strategy
  • Buy the 80 call
  • Sell four 95 calls
  • Buy three 100 calls.

27
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 15. Volatility
  • The higher the price volatility of the
  • Underlying asset, the higher is the
  • Call value.
  • Proof The call holder never loses
  • more than the initial premium. The
  • upside gain, however, is unlimited.
  • Thus, higher volatility increases the
  • potential gain while the potential loss
  • remains Unchanged.

28
  • RESULTS FOR CALLS
  • 16. The interest rate
  • The Higher the risk-free rate, the
  • Higher is the call value.
  • Proof The result follows from result 6

Ct ? ct ? Max 0, St - Xe-r(T-t).
With increasing risk-free rates, the difference
St - Xe-r(T-t) increases and the call value must
increase as well.
29
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 17. Put values at expiration
  • PT pT Max 0, X - ST.
  • Proof
  • At expiration the put is either exercised, in
    which case CF X - ST, or it is left to expire
    worthless, in which case CF 0.

30
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 18. Minimum put value
  • A put premium cannot be negative.
  • At any time t, prior to expiration
  • Pt , pt ? 0.
  • Proof The current market price of a put is the
  • NPVMax 0, X - ST ? 0.
  • 19a.Maximum American Put value
  • At any time t lt T, Pt ? X.
  • Proof
  • The put is a right to sell the stock for X,
    thus, the puts price cannot exceed the maximum
    value it will create X, which occurs if S drops
    to zero.

31
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 19b.Maximum European Put value
  • Pt ? Xe-r(T-t).
  • Proof
  • The European put may be exercised only at
    expiration. The maximum revenue it can create at
    that time is X, ( in case S drops to zero), thus,
    at any time point before expiration, the European
    put cannot exceed the NPVX.

32
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 20.Lower bound American put value
  • At any time t, prior to expiration,
  • Pt ? Max 0, X - St.
  • Proof Assume to the contrary that
  • Pt lt Max 0, X - St.
  • Then, buy the put and immediately
  • exercise it for an arbitrage profit of
  • X - St Pt gt 0. A contradiction of the
  • no arbitrage profits assumption.

33
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS(P116)
  • 21. Lower bound European put value
  • At any time t, t lt T,
  • pt ? Max 0, Xe-r(T-t) - St.
  • Proof If, to the contrary,
  • pt lt Max 0, Xe-r(T-t) - St then,
  • 0 lt Xe-r(T-t) - St - pt
  • At expiration
  • Strategy I.C.F ST lt X ST gt X
  • Buy stock -St ST ST
  • Buy put - pt X - ST 0
  • Borrow Xe-r(T-t) - X - X
  • Total ? 0 ST- X
  • In the absence of arbitrage, the initial
  • cash flow cannot be positive.

34
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 22. The market value of an American put is at
    least as high as the market value of a European
    put.
  • Pt ? pt ? Max0, Xe-r(T-t) - St.
  • Proof An American put may be exercised at any
    time, t, prior to expiration, tltT, while the
    European put holder may exercise it only at
    expiration.

35
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 23. The time value of puts
  • The longer the time to expiration, the
  • higher is the value of an American put.
  • Proof Let T1 lt T2 for two American
  • puts on the same underlying asset and
  • the same exercise price.
  • To show that P2 gt P1 assume, to the
  • contrary, that P1 gt P2 or, P1 - P2 gt 0.
  • At expiration T1
  • Strategy I.C.F ST1 lt X ST1 lt X
  • Sell P(T1 ) P1 -(ST1 X) 0
  • Buy P(T2 ) -P2 P(T2-T1) P(TV)
  • Total ? ? P(TV)
  • You may exercise the put. The result
  • follows.

36
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 24. American put is always priced higher than
    its European counterpart.
  • Pt ? pt
  • Proof An American put may be
  • exercised at any time, t, prior to expiration,
  • tltT, while the European put holder may
  • exercise it only at expiration. Moreover, if
  • The price of the underlying asset fall below
  • a certain threshold price, it becomes
  • Optimal to exercise the American put
  • and earn X St. At that very same moment
  • the European put holder wants to
  • (optimally) Exercise the put but cannot
  • because it is a European put.
  • The next figure demonstrates the
  • relationship Between the American and
  • European puts premiums.

37
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS(P176,7)
  • 24. American put is always priced higher than
    its European counterpart. Pt ? pt

For Slt S the European put premium is less than
the puts intrinsic value. For Slt S the
Americanan put premium coincides with the puts
intrinsic value.
P/L
X
Xe-r(T-t)
P
p
S S X
S
38
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 25. The money value of puts
  • The higher the exercise price, the higher is the
    value of a put.
  • Proof Let X1 lt X2 for two puts on the same
    underlying asset and the same time to expiration.
    To show that p2 gt p1 assume, to the contrary,
    that p2 lt p1 or, p1 - p2 gt 0.
  • Then,
  • At expiration
  • Strategy ICF ST lt X1 X1ltST lt X2 ST gtX2
  • Sell p(X1 ) p1 ST X1 0 0
  • Buy p(X2 ) -p2 X2 ST X2 - ST 0
  • Total ? X2 - X1 X2 - ST 0
  • In the absence of arbitrage, the initial cash
  • flow cannot be positive.

39
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 26. The money value of puts
  • Let X1 lt X2 then P2 - P1 ? X2 - X1
  • Proof Let X1 lt X2 be the exercise prices or
  • two American puts on the same underlying
  • asset and the same time to expiration.
  • Assume that P2 - P1 gt X2 - X1 or,
  • equivalently P2 - P1 (X2 - X1) gt 0. Then,
  • At expiration
  • Strategy ICF ST lt X1 X1ltST lt X2 ST gtX2
  • Sell P(X2 ) P2 ST X2 ST X2)
    0
  • Buy P(X1 )-P1 X1 ST 0 0
  • Lend (X2 - X1) X2-X1i X2- X1i X2-
    X1i
  • Total ? i ST-X1 i X2- X1i
  • i interest
  • Even if the sold put is exercised before
  • expiration, the total value in hand is gt0.

40
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 27. The money value of puts
  • Let X1ltX2 then p2-p1 ? (X2-X1)e-r(T-t)
  • Proof Let X1 lt X2 for two European puts
  • on the same underlying asset and the same
  • time to expiration. Assume that
  • p2-p1 gt (X2-X1)e-r(T-t) or,
  • p2- p1 -(X2-X1)e-r(T-t) gt0. Then,
  • At expiration
  • Strategy ICF ST lt X1 X1ltST lt X2 ST gt X2
  • Sell p(X2 ) p2 ST X2 ST X2 0
  • Buy p(X1 )-p1 X1 ST 0 0
  • Lend -(X2-X1)e-r(T-t) X2-X1 X2-X1
    X2-X1
  • Total ? 0 X2- ST X2-X1
  • In the absence of arbitrage, the initial
  • cash flow cannot be positive.

41
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 28. Volatility
  • The higher the price volatility of the
  • underlying asset, the higher is the
  • put value.
  • Proof The put holder never loses
  • more than the initial premium. The
  • upside gain, however, is increasing
  • from zero to X. Thus, higher volatility
  • increases the potential gain while the
  • potential loss remains Unchanged.

42
  • RESULTS FOR PUTS
  • 29. The interest rate
  • The higher the risk-free rate,
  • the lower is the put value.
  • Proof Follows from result 22

Ct ? ct ? Max 0, Xe-r(T-t) -St.
With increasing risk-free rates, the difference
Xe-r(T-t) - St decreases and the put value
decrease too.
43
  • RESULTS for PUTS and CALLS (Section 8.4)
  • 30. The put-call parity.
  • European options
  • The premiums of European calls and puts
  • written on the same non dividend paying
  • stock for the same expiration must satisfy
  • ct - pt St - Xe-r(T-t).
  • The parity may be rewritten as
  • ct Xe-r(T-t) St pt.
  • Below, we prove the latter version of the
  • parity.

44
  • RESULTS for PUTS and CALLS
  • Proof. Consider the following two portfolios
  • A Long the stock and the put.
  • B Long the call and lend Xe-r(T-t) .
  • Portfolio A At expiration
  • Strategy I.C.F ST lt X ST gt X
  • Buy stock -St ST ST
  • Buy put - pt X - ST 0
  • Total -(Stpt) X
    ST
  • Portfolio B At expiration
  • Strategy I.C.F ST lt X ST gt X
  • Buy call - ct 0 ST-X
  • Lend - Xe-r(T-t) X X
  • Total -(ct Xe-r(T-t) ) X
    ST
  • Portfolios A and B have identical cash flows
  • At expiration for all possible prices. Thus,
  • their initial values are equal
  • ct Xe-r(T-t) St pt.

45
  • RESULTS for PUTS and CALLS
  • 31. Synthetic European options
  • The put-call parity
  • ct - pt St - Xe-r(T-t)
  • can be rewritten as a synthetic call
  • ct pt St - Xe-r(T-t),
  • Or as a synthetic put
  • pt ct - St Xe-r(T-t).
  • Observe that the parity implies that at-the-
  • money calls are priced higher than their
  • counterpart puts. For at-the-money options,
  • ct pt St - Xe-r(T-t)
  • becomes
  • ct pt X - Xe-r(T-t) gt pt.

46
  • RESULTS for PUTS and CALLS
  • 32. The put-call parity.
  • European options
  • Suppose that European puts and calls are
  • written on a dividend paying stock and
  • suppose that there will be two dividend
  • Payments D1 at t1 and D2 at t2. The
  • options premiums must satisfy the following
  • equation
  • ct-pt St-Xe-r(T-t) D1e-r(t1-t) D2 e-r(t2-t)
  • The proof follows the same path of result
  • But the stock will pay dividend twice at
  • t1 and t2. Thus, borrowing the discounted
  • value of the dividends and paying them
  • upon receiving the dividends will leave the
  • strategy unaffected and the result follows.

47
  • RESULTS for PUTS and CALLS
  • 34. The put-call parity.
  • American options
  • The put-call parity for European options
  • asserts that
  • ct - pt St - Xe-r(T-t).
  • This result does not necessarily hold for
  • American options.
  • The premiums on American options
  • satisfy the following inequalities
  • St - X lt Ct - Pt lt St - Xe-r(T-t).
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