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African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses Afrikanske Monsun: Multidisiplin re Analyser Afrikaanse Moesson Multidisciplinaire Analyse Analisi Multidisciplinare per ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Pr


1
  • African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses
  • Afrikanske Monsun Multidisiplinære Analyser
  • Afrikaanse Moesson Multidisciplinaire Analyse
  • Analisi Multidisciplinare per il Monsone Africano
  • Afrikanischer Monsun Multidisziplinäre Analysen
  • Analisis Multidiciplinar de los Monzones
    Africanos
  • Analyses Multidisciplinaires de la Mousson
    Africaine

2
Building AMMA
To reach AMMA aims, need to coordinate
-Science (Challenge disciplines, scales)
-Implementation (Obs, Model,..) -Data archive
and sharing -Funding issues
3
AIMS
  • To improve our understanding of the WAM and its
    influence on the
  • physical, chemical biological environment
    regionally and globally.

(2) To provide the underpinning science that
relates variability of the WAM to issues of
health, water resources, food security
demography for West African nations and defining
and implementing relevant monitoring prediction
strategies.
(3)  To ensure that the multidisciplinary
research carried out in AMMA is effectively
integrated with prediction decision making
activity.
4
IMPACTS
Water Ressources
Land Surfaces
Ocean
Multi-disciplinary research
Public Health
Monsoon Dynamics
Food security
Socio-Economy
Aerosols Chemistry
5
IGB
Endorses the Science Implementation Plans
Produces the Science Implementation Plans
Obs implementation
Integrative Science
ISSC
TT1 Radio soundings
WAM global climate (incl aerosol/chemistry
TT2a Surface Layer
TT2b Aerosol Radiation
Water cycle
TT3 Gourma site
TT4 Niamey site
Land surface-atmosphere- ocean feedbacks
ST3 Database
ST1 EOP/LOP
TT5 Ouémé site
TT6 Oceaic campaigns
Prediction of climate impacts
TT7 SOP-Dry season
High impact weather prediction
ST2 incl AOC
TT8 SOP-Monsoon season
AMMA National Pan Scientific Committees
TT9 SOP-Downstream
ARM
Links with International Programmes (WCRP, IGBP,
THORPEX, ..)
6
International Scientific Steering Committee
Membership Ernest Afiesimama, Abel Afouda, Abou
Amani, Anton Beljaars, Bernard Bourles, Arona
Diedhiou, Andreas Fink, Amadou Gaye, Jim Haywood,
Paul Houser, Peter Lamb, Thierry Lebel, Bob
Molinari, Doug Parker, Jan Polcher, Joe Prospero,
Claire Reeves, Madeline Thomson Co-Chairs
Jean-Luc Redelsperger, Chris Thorncroft ISSC
responsible for Formulation of well defined
scientific objectives and a coherent program, to
address the three overarching aims To coordinate
integrative work through the establishment of the
5 international WGs
7
WG1 West African Monsoon and Global Climate
Co-leaders Arona Diedhiou (IRD, Niger), Serge
Janicot (LOCEAN, France) Peter Lamb (Univ.
Oklahoma, US)
  • 2-way interactions between West African Monsoon
    the rest of the globe
  • to determine the variability of the WAM and its
    global impacts
  • ?to understand and to predict the multi-scale
    variability of the aspects of global
  • climate linked to the WAM
  • Including
  • Aerosol and chemistry activities
  • Modelling activity

8
WG1 West African Monsoon and Global Climate
  • Observed and modeled rainfall (with labels for
    onset and retreat) for Niamey based on
    area-average of 50 gauges and model simulated
    rainfall ( Lebel et al, 2000).

Time series (1941-2001) of average normalized
April-October rainfall departure for 20 stations
in the West African Soudano-Sahel zone (11-18N
and West of 10E) following methodology of Lamb
and Peppler, 1992).
9
WG1 West African Monsoon and Global Climate
  • Dominant pattern of precipitation error
  • associated with dominant pattern of SST
    prediction error based on persistent SST
    anomalies (Goddard Mason ,Climate Dynamics,
    2002)

Coupled model systematic error in equatorial SST
simulation note systematic error in east-west
gradient in the tropical Atlantic
10
WG2 Water Cycle
Co-leaders Amadou Gaye (Univ. Dakar, Senegal),
Paul Houser (George Mason, US) , Jean-Luc
Redelsperger (CNRM, France)

Analysis Understanding of the water cycle at
regional-scale, mesoscale and local
scale Downscaling issues for impact studies
11
A multiscale approach
Global
10
km
4

Regional
10
3
km
Mesoscale
10
km
2
Local
10
1
km
Year
Season
Day
Hour
12
WG3a Land-surface-atmosphere feedbacks
Co-leaders Jan Polcher (LMD, France) Chris
Taylor (CEH, UK)

To provide increased knowledge understanding of
the feedbacks between the continental surface
the atmosphere ? to bring together the various
process studies (land and atmosphere) in order
to better understand the coupling at regional and
mesoscale
13
WG3a Land-surface-atmosphere feedbacks

Koster et al, 2004
14
WG3b Ocean-surface-atmosphere feedbacks
Co-leaders Bernard Bourles

To provide increased knowledge understanding of
the feedbacks between the ocean surface the
atmosphere ? to bring together the various
process studies (ocean and atmosphere) in order
to better understand the coupling at regional
scales
15
WG4 Prediction of climate impacts
Co-leaders Abou Amani (AGHRYMET, Niger), Andy
Morse (Univ. Liverpool, UK), Madeleine Thompson
(IRI, US)

One of the 3 major aims of AMMA To provide the
underpinning science that relates climate
variability to issues of health, water resources,
food security demography for West African
nations and defining relevant monitoring and
prediction strategies.
16
WG4 Prediction of climate impacts
Example Meningitis epidemics in Mali
Semaine de démarrage de lépidémie
January
Semaine du maximum du cycle saisonnier
(hiver) (Position du FIT la plus basse en
latitude)
Prediction ? Alert Systems
17
WG5 High impact weather prediction and
predictability
CORE Membership E. Afiesimama (NIMET), S. Jones
(Un. Karlsuhe, Ger), D. Parsons (NCAR, US),
F.Rabier (Meteo-France),C. Thorncroft (SUNY, US),
Z. Toth (NCEP, US)

To improve our knowledge understanding of high
impact weather over Africa, including its impact
on the tropical Atlantic and Europe. Key
timescale of interest is 1-15 days
Can we predict dry/wet spells 15-days in
advance? Do such dry spells influence downstream
tropical cyclone activity?
18
International Coordination Implementation Group
Co-chairs Thierry Lebel (IRD-Niger) Doug
Parker (Un Leeds UK) ICIG is responsible for
implementation of the AMMA field program
19
10 years of observation and research
Long term Observations (LOP)
WA
Ocean
Regional
Enhanced Period (EOP)
E

0
0
S O P
10
3
Meso


WET
DRY
Local
2006 2007 2008
2002
2005
SOP0_a3 ?
20
EOP Maps
From the continental to the local scale
Niamey
AMMA
EGEE Cruises
21
(No Transcript)
22
International Governing Board (IGB)
Co-Chairs Eric Brun (Meteo-France) and Alan
Thorpe (NERC) Membership G. Amanatidis (EU), J.
Boulegue (IRD) , W. Ferrel (DOE), A.
Guiteye(Director Operational Dept ASECNA), J.
Kaye (NASA), A.
Kignaman-Soro (ACMAD/D Representative PIREM),
J. Laver
(NOAA-NCEP), A. Ndiaye (WMO), N. Papineau (INSU
CNRS) To approve the structure and
implementation of AMMA particularly with respect
to the necessary financial and technical support.
To identify and mobilize national
international resources to support AMMA
activities. The first meeting took place on
December 20 via video-conference  
23
International AMMA Webpages
International AMMA webpages have been developed
to aid communication http//www.amma-internati
onal.org Unique entrance to all AMMA
sites
24
AMMA is definitively International
More than 500 Researchers from around 30
countries in Africa, Europe USA Algeria,
Belgium, Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Cap
Verde, Chad, Congo, Denmark, France, Germany,
Ghana, Italy, Ivory Coast, Mali, Morocco,
Netherlands, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Spain,
Togo, UK, US
25
Founding Agencies
Regional African Centers
Agencies supporting AMMA
With the participation of
University of Cologne, Deutsches Zentrum für
Luft-und Raumfharte, University of Leeds, Centre
for Ecology and Hydrology, University of
Copenhagen, MEDIAS-France, University of
Burgundy, Université Paris 12 - Val de Marne,
Université Paul Sabatier, Centre de coopération
Internationale gen Recherche Agronomique pour le
Développement, University of Bremen,
Forschunggszentrum Kalsruhe, Leibniz-Institut für
Meereswissenschaften, Ludwig-Maximilianns-Universi
taet Muenchen, Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Unive
rsität Bonn, Univerrsity of East Anglia,
University of Liverpool, University of York,
University of Leicester, University of
Manchester, Chancellor, Masters and Scholars of
University of Cambridge, Consiglio Nazionale
delle Ricerche - Institute of Atmospheric
Sciences and Climate, Enea per Nuove Technologie,
l'Energia e l'Ambiente, Consiglio Nazionale delle
Ricerche -Institute of Biometeorology ,
Universita' di Perugia, Universidad de Castilla-
La Mancha, Universitad Complutense de Madrid,
Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Université
catholique de Louvain, European Ceeentre for
Medium-range Weather Forecasts, Centre Régional
AGRHYMET, Centre de Reecherche Médicale et
Sanitaire, Ecole Inter-Etats d'Ingénieurs de
l'Equipement JRural, African Centre of
Meteorological Application for development,
Vaisala OYJ, Ocean Scientific International Ltd,
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute,
Agence pour la Sécurité de la Navigation Aérienne
en Afrique et Madagascar, Kalsrhue University,
Universite d Abomey-Calavi, Universite de Dakar,
Universite de Niamey, Directions de la
Meteorologie et de l Hydrologie du Benin, Burkina
Faso, Cote dÍvoire, Ghana, Guinee, Mali, Niger,
Senegal, Togo
26
AMMA human issues a scientific challenge
AMMA a challenge for African Research
AMMA a programme mobilizing the African
international Communities
27
KEY ISSUES
  1. Funding for Africans AMMA-International is
    currently working to mobilize funds to support
    African participation in AMMA. This includes
    participation in AMMA meetings (workshops,
    conferences, working group meetings etc). It also
    includes support for AMMA science and proposals
    provided already by African scientists. Can the
    JSC help/advise?
  2. AMMA an Integrated Regional Study?
    AMMA-International would like to discuss the
    possibility of it becoming an IRS and to see in
    particular if this would help to mobilize
    resources for African participation in AMMA.
  3. African representation on the JSC We will
    recommend an African candidate to join the JSC
    (as requested) after we have had further
    discussions with the coordinators of AMMA-Africa.
    We will hope to provide this recommendation by
    the end of May.
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