Marine Strategy Framework Directive Consultation on Good Environmental Status How the Impact Assessment was developed - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


Title: Marine Strategy Framework Directive Consultation on Good Environmental Status How the Impact Assessment was developed


1
Marine Strategy Framework DirectiveConsultation
on Good Environmental Status How the Impact
Assessment was developed
  • Kevin Brady
  • Marine Analytical Unit,
  • Marine Scotland Science

2
What this presentation will cover
  • Structure of the Impact Assessment
  • What the Impact Assessment covers
  • The Business as Usual Scenario
  • Costs
  • Benefits
  • Way Forward

3
Structure of the Impact Assessment
  • Summary sheet
  • Executive Summary
  • Summary Table
  • Evidence Base
  • Introduction
  • Policy Rationale Objectives
  • Methodology
  • Targets costs
  • Benefits
  • Conclusion
  • Annexes
  • Supporting Documents

4
What the Impact Assessment covers
  • Looking at the potential impacts of options for
    targets and indicators of GES
  • The following options were developed for the
    Impact Assessment
  • Option 0 Do Nothing (Business as Usual Scenario)
  • Option 1 Reasonable level of confidence that a
    target will achieve GES
  • Option 2 Higher level of confidence that a
    target will achieve GES
  • Benefits of the targets will be benefits of
    achieving GES (cost of degradation in the Initial
    Assessment)
  • Costs of targets are based on costs of
    illustrative measures to achieve the targets

5
Business As Usual Scenario
State
Pressures
  • Study commissioned to ABPMer and eftec
  • Using DPSIR framework
  • Improvement in state of most descriptors less
    positive picture for others
  • Highlights uncertainty
  • Peer-reviewed evidence

Drivers
Impact
Response
6
Costs of illustrative measures
  • IA provides very high-level analysis of potential
    additional illustrative measures needed to
    achieve GES
  • Fisheries measures to reduce impacts on birds and
    seafloor habitats (CFP and inshore fisheries
    management)
  • Fisheries measures to achieve MSY (CFP and
    inshore fisheries management)
  • Measures to reduce impacts on birds from
    non-indigenous mammals
  • Measures to reduce litter levels
  • Measures to reduce risk of introduction and
    spread of non-indigenous species
  • Creation of a noise registry for loud, low,
    impulsive sounds
  • Given uncertainty, IA made assumptions and used
    scenarios
  • IA relied on a wide range of evidence to estimate
    costs supporting document (Cefas CBA report
    2011) peer reviewed
  • Transparency on data sources, approach used and
    assumptions

7
Benefits (Cost of Degradation)
8
Benefits (Cost of Degradation)
  • Degradation identified for fisheries, marine
    litter, seafloor habitats and birds
  • Looks at changes in terms of final ecosystem
    services (provisioning, regulating and
    recreational services)
  • Relied on both quantitative estimates and
    qualitative descriptions to tell the story

9
Way forward
  • Improve evidence base
  • Updating the baseline based on ongoing
    development in policies
  • Recognised need for short and long term work to
    address evidence gaps
  • Develop future programme on actual measures
  • Consultation questions
  • Are the illustrative measures considered for this
    Descriptor a reasonable assessment of the
    additional measures which might be needed to
    achieve the proposed GES targets?
  • Are there any other potential measures which
    might be necessary in order to achieve the
    proposed GES targets for this Descriptor?
  • Are you able to provide any more specific
    information on the likely costs of the
    illustrative measures considered for this
    Descriptor?
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Marine Strategy Framework Directive Consultation on Good Environmental Status How the Impact Assessment was developed

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Title: Marine Strategy Framework Directive Consultation on Good Environmental Status How the Impact Assessment was developed


1
Marine Strategy Framework DirectiveConsultation
on Good Environmental Status How the Impact
Assessment was developed
  • Kevin Brady
  • Marine Analytical Unit,
  • Marine Scotland Science

2
What this presentation will cover
  • Structure of the Impact Assessment
  • What the Impact Assessment covers
  • The Business as Usual Scenario
  • Costs
  • Benefits
  • Way Forward

3
Structure of the Impact Assessment
  • Summary sheet
  • Executive Summary
  • Summary Table
  • Evidence Base
  • Introduction
  • Policy Rationale Objectives
  • Methodology
  • Targets costs
  • Benefits
  • Conclusion
  • Annexes
  • Supporting Documents

4
What the Impact Assessment covers
  • Looking at the potential impacts of options for
    targets and indicators of GES
  • The following options were developed for the
    Impact Assessment
  • Option 0 Do Nothing (Business as Usual Scenario)
  • Option 1 Reasonable level of confidence that a
    target will achieve GES
  • Option 2 Higher level of confidence that a
    target will achieve GES
  • Benefits of the targets will be benefits of
    achieving GES (cost of degradation in the Initial
    Assessment)
  • Costs of targets are based on costs of
    illustrative measures to achieve the targets

5
Business As Usual Scenario
State
Pressures
  • Study commissioned to ABPMer and eftec
  • Using DPSIR framework
  • Improvement in state of most descriptors less
    positive picture for others
  • Highlights uncertainty
  • Peer-reviewed evidence

Drivers
Impact
Response
6
Costs of illustrative measures
  • IA provides very high-level analysis of potential
    additional illustrative measures needed to
    achieve GES
  • Fisheries measures to reduce impacts on birds and
    seafloor habitats (CFP and inshore fisheries
    management)
  • Fisheries measures to achieve MSY (CFP and
    inshore fisheries management)
  • Measures to reduce impacts on birds from
    non-indigenous mammals
  • Measures to reduce litter levels
  • Measures to reduce risk of introduction and
    spread of non-indigenous species
  • Creation of a noise registry for loud, low,
    impulsive sounds
  • Given uncertainty, IA made assumptions and used
    scenarios
  • IA relied on a wide range of evidence to estimate
    costs supporting document (Cefas CBA report
    2011) peer reviewed
  • Transparency on data sources, approach used and
    assumptions

7
Benefits (Cost of Degradation)
8
Benefits (Cost of Degradation)
  • Degradation identified for fisheries, marine
    litter, seafloor habitats and birds
  • Looks at changes in terms of final ecosystem
    services (provisioning, regulating and
    recreational services)
  • Relied on both quantitative estimates and
    qualitative descriptions to tell the story

9
Way forward
  • Improve evidence base
  • Updating the baseline based on ongoing
    development in policies
  • Recognised need for short and long term work to
    address evidence gaps
  • Develop future programme on actual measures
  • Consultation questions
  • Are the illustrative measures considered for this
    Descriptor a reasonable assessment of the
    additional measures which might be needed to
    achieve the proposed GES targets?
  • Are there any other potential measures which
    might be necessary in order to achieve the
    proposed GES targets for this Descriptor?
  • Are you able to provide any more specific
    information on the likely costs of the
    illustrative measures considered for this
    Descriptor?
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