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Kuhn and Lakatos week 4

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Title: Kuhn and Lakatos week 4


1
Kuhn and Lakatosweek 4
  • Economic Methodology

2
Thomas Kuhn
1922-1996
1962 (1st), 1970 (2nd)
3
Autobiographic fragment
  • Aristotle had been an acute and naturalistic
    observer. In such fields as biology or political
    behavior, his interpretations if phenomena had
    often been, in addition, both penetrating and
    deep. How could his characteristic talents have
    failed him so when applied to motion? How could
    he have said about it so many apparently absurd
    things? And, above all, why had his views been
    taken so seriously for so long a time by so many
    of his successors?

4
No Growth of Knowledge
? time
5
But Revolutions
6
Paradigm
  • 1483, from L.L. paradigma
  • "pattern, example," especially
  • in grammar, from Gk.paradeigma
  • "pattern, model," from
  • paradeiknynai "exhibit,
  • represent," lit. "show side by
  • side,
  • from para- "beside" deiknynai
  • "to show" (cognate with
  • L. dicere "to show" (see diction).

7
Gestalt-switch
8
Pythagoras
9
Incommensurable
10
Attitude towards refutations
  • What would Einstein have done had the eclipse
    experiment not agreed with relativity?
  • Then I would feel sorry for the good Lord. The
    theory is correct!.

Albert Einstein and Sir Arthur Eddington
11
Anomaly
12
Reputation
13
Normal Science
  • Puzzle solving
  • Norms
  • Exemplars (paradigms)

14
Imre Lakatos
  • Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes 1970

1922-1974
15
Methodology ofScientific Research Programmes
Negative heuristic hard core is
irrefutable Positive heuristic anomalies must
lead to changes only in the protective belt
16
Progressive shifts
T1 ? T2 ? T3 ?
P1
P2
P3
17
Rationality
  • Choose the most progressive
  • Theoretical progressive predicts/explains new
    facts
  • Empirical progressive new facts are verified
  • Degenerating not progressive
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