Inter-industrial Structure in the Asia-Pacific Region: Growth and Integration, by using the 2000 Asian International Input-Output Table Bo Meng, Hajime Sato, Jun Nakamura, Hiroshi Kuwamori and Satoshi Inomata (IDE) 2006/05/30 ABCDE Tokyo

1
Inter-industrial Structure in the Asia-Pacific
Region Growth and Integration, by using the
2000 Asian International Input-Output TableBo
Meng, Hajime Sato, Jun Nakamura, Hiroshi Kuwamori
and Satoshi Inomata (IDE)2006/05/30 ABCDE
Tokyo
2
Purpose

• to summarize the characteristics and patterns of
  change in industrial structures and trade
  structures of the countries in Asia-Pacific
  region from the three viewpoints of time, space,
  and industry, by using the AIO table for 1985,
  1990, 1995, and 2000.

3
Contents

• Introduction of AIO Table
• Industrial Structures and Growth Patterns of
  Asian Countries
• Asian Countries Trade Structures and Patterns of
  Change
• Backward Linkages and Final Demand
  Interdependence
• Conclusion

4
1. Comparison between AIO Tables at 5 Different
Time Points
5
2. Layout of the AIO Table 2000
6
3. Industrial Structures and Growth Patterns of
Asian Countries3.1A Industrial Structure Defined
by Gross Domestic Output
7
3.1B Typology of Industrial Structure (24-sector
base)
8
3.2 Industrial Structure Defined by
Specialization Coefficient
001 Paddy 002 Other agricultural
products 003 Livestock and poultry 004 Forestry 00
5 Fishery 006 Crude petroleum and natural
gas 007 Other mining 008 Food, beverage and
tobacco 009 Textile, leather, and the products
thereof 010 Timber and wooden products 011 Pulp,
paper and printing 012 Chemical
products 013 Petroleum and petro
products 019 Other manufacturing
products 014 Rubber products 015 Non-metallic
mineral products 016 Metal products 017 Machinery
018 Transport equipment 019 Other manufacturing
products 020 Electricity, gas, and water
supply 021 Construction 022 Trade and
transport 023 Services 024 Public administration
9
4. Asian Countries' Trade Structures and
Patterns of Change 4.1A Changes in Regional
Trade in East Asia
10
4. Asian Countries' Trade Structures and
Patterns of Change 4.1B Changes in Regional
Trade in East Asia
11
4. Asian Countries' Trade Structures and
Patterns of Change 4.2 Structural Changes in
Interindustry Trade
12
5. Backward/Forward Linkages of Asian Countries
13
5.1 Backward Linkages of Asian Countries
14
5. Key findings about Backward Linkage effects

• In summary, the presence of Japan and the United
  States remains huge in the Asia-Pacific region
  under review.
• the comparison with the 1995 table indicates
  that, first, the interdependence in the region is
  intensifying.
• second, the importance of China and Korea, and
  particularly of China, appear to be rising in
  Asia-Pacific region.

15
6. Final Demand Interdependence of Asian
Countries
16
6. Key findings about Final Demand
Interdependence

• On an all-industry basis, Asian countries tend to
  increase their dependence on overseas markets,
  with Indonesia, Thailand, and Taiwan standing out
  in this respect.
• Japan and the United States still maintain
  overwhelming presence among Asian countries.
• (4) China's influence is rapidly expanding in all
  countries under review, with its influence
  particularly pronounced in heavy industry.
• (5) Interdependence within the ASEAN region is
  relatively small, except between Malaysia and
  Singapore. But Thailand and Malaysia are
  deepening their interdependence.

17
Concluding Remarks

• Maturing of NIES, catch-up by ASEAN, rise of
  China
• ?Asian financial crisis(1997)?ASEAN and Korea
  were affected, Mainland China felt little
  impact?Chinese economy has boosted it presence in
  Asian region.
• Industrial structure share of service sector is
  increasingly expanding in JP, USA, and NIES.
  ASEAN are shifting the focus to secondary
  industry, China, as an old industrial nation has
  risen as a new industrial nation (joined the
  group of ASEAN).
• Trade structure a structure revolving around JP
  and USA? Three-pillared structure led by JP, USA,
  and China. China depends heavily on JP and USA
  and is only recently expanding trade with Korea
  and Taiwan. Chinas presence in ASEAN region is
  not yet as large as that of JP and USA.
• FTAs and EPSs?Diversification of regional
  trade?intensified interdependence among countries
  in Asia. In terms of the backward linkage
  effects, China has the largest power of
  dispersion.
• Export market Asian countries have achieved
  economic growth by increasing their dependence on
  JP and USAs market. Chinas growth has enabled
  it to offer an export market for Asian countries.
  The intra-ASEAN market appears to have little
  growing.

18

• Thank you very much for your kind attention