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Loudoun County Energy Plan Preliminary Findings Competitive Community of the Future

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Title: Loudoun County Energy Plan Preliminary Findings Competitive Community of the Future


1
Loudoun County Energy PlanPreliminary Findings
Competitive Community of the Future
  • Supervisor Andrea McGimsey
  • Virginia Tech
  • September 24, 2009

2
The Energy Debate
  • Energy Independence
  • Climate Protection
  • Economic Prosperity

3
Case of Northern Virginia
  • Greenhouse gas emissions are at approximately 20
    metric tons/person of Greenhouse gases (2005)
  • 500,000 new residents moving to Northern Virginia
    by 2020

4
The Causes/Sources of GHG Emissions
5
A Dilemma for Northern Virginia - High Voltage
Transmission Lines
6
Loudoun County Energy PlanFocus on Overall
Competitiveness
  • County Wide Energy Strategy
  • Competitiveness and sustainability
  • Attracting high quality employment
  • Develop new investments in Green Jobs
  • 20 Year Roadmap with 30 year horizon
  • Local/ Global CEP Team to develop CEP
  • Federal Funding Background
  • Department of Energy Block Grant Award
  • County Energy Plan by Fall 2009
  • Baseline energy and emissions
  • Specific short term next steps projects
  • Broader policy recommendations
  • Some immediate funds for initial projects

Strive for Global Energy Excellence
7
Core Team StructureCreating Competitiveness for
the Future
Active support from Dominion Power, Washington
Gas and NOVEC
Global Perspective Local Expertise
8
CEP Evolution of BenefitsFinal Plan Encompasses
Multiple Dimensions
  • Integrated policy and planning
  • County wide norms
  • New business-as-usual

Future Case
  • Integrated solutions
  • Neighbourhood sized projects
  • Significant changes in policy

CEP Benefits
  • Stand alone projects
  • Fewer but larger initiatives
  • Minor changes in policy

Base Case
  • Community Engagement
  • Multiple effective initiatives
  • No changes in policy needed

Success Depends on All
9
Insatiable Appetite for Energy
Forecast to double by 2030
Source IIASA / BP / EIA / Eurostat
10
Energy Productivity Differences How well does
USA spend 1.3 Trillion?
Region Population GDP Energy Energy /Capita Energy /GDP
USA 4.6 25.9 20.5 100 100
EU 7.5 31.1 15.9 47 60
Japan 1.9 8.1 4.6 54 67
China 20.0 6.1 15.0 17 312
India 17.1 2.0 4.7 6 291
World 100 100 100 22 81
Key to Competitiveness
Various US/EU Sources 2007 sources
11
Perfect Energy Storm Economic-Security-Environmen
t
Growing awareness Growing Opportunity
12
Loudoun County Energy Vision (For Discussion)
Loudoun County will always have reliable and
affordable energy, be energy efficient and reduce
greenhouse gases
Simple - Measurable - Eternal
13
CEP Supports Economic Development(For Discussion)
Loudoun County will always have reliable and
affordable energy, be energy efficient and reduce
greenhouse gases
Our Vision is to be an innovative, globally
competitive economy known for its favorable
business environment, exceptional quality of
place and strong sense of community
  • Recognized Center for Innovation
  • Prosperous Business Environment
  • High Quality of Place
  • Sound Fiscal Health
  • Favored Visitor Destination
  • World-class Energy Performance

Energy Excellence Embedded in County Plans
14
CEP Objectives (For Discussion)
  • Loudoun County will have consistently lower
    energy costs relative to surrounding areas and
    inbound investors needs
  • Loudoun County will be recognized as a location
    of choice for investment in part because of its
    innovative energy strategy
  • Loudoun County will be recognized as a
    Regional-State-National model of competitive
    energy and climate management
  • Loudoun Countys greenhouse gas emissions will be
    among the lowest in the world
  • All major investments will visibly contribute to
    meeting the CEP goals

Simple Measurable - Eternal
15
CEP Objectives 2030 Targets(For Discussion)
  • Loudoun County will have consistently lower
    energy costs relative to surrounding areas and
    inbound investors needs
  • Energy cost for homes and businesses will be at
    least 20 less than norms
  • Loudoun County will be recognized as a location
    of choice for investment in part because of its
    innovative energy strategy
  • At least 30 of all inbound investment will cite
    energy and climate advantages as a critical
    deciding factor
  • Loudoun County will be recognized as a
    Regional-State-National role model of effective
    energy and climate management
  • Loudoun will be regularly and positively cited
    for excellence in implementing sustained energy
    productivity gains
  • Loudoun Countys greenhouse gas emissions will be
    among the lowest in the world
  • Greenhouse gas per capita will be at least 50
    less than the current level
  • All major investments will visibly contribute to
    meeting the CEP goals
  • Energy performance design targets will become a
    normal part of development planning and approval
    accompanied by transparency of performance in
    subsequent operation

Simple Measurable - Eternal
16
Loudoun Growth Challenge69 Population 116
Job Growth
  • Energy for Building
  • 75,000 new homes added to current 100,000
  • 73 million square feet non-residential to current
    69 million
  • Renovation of existing homes and buildings
  • Fuel for Transportation
  • Mobility of 187,000 more people on already
    congested roads
  • Commercial transport to support increased
    population

Reliable Clean - Affordable Energy Services
Sources (a) U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census
2000 (b) Loudoun County Government, Department
of Management and Financial Services, October 2008
17
2007 Baseline Total County and Per Capita
Local Energy Use
319 Million Btu or 93.5 MWh for each resident
18
2007 Baseline Total County and Per Capita
Local Energy Related Carbon Footprint
14.9 metric tons for each Resident
19
Framework for County Energy PlanPrioritized
Loading Order
  • Energy efficiency If you dont need it dont
    use it
  • Efficient existing and new homes and buildings
  • Urban design for transport efficiency
  • Local employment for commuting efficiency
  • Heat Recovery It its already there use it
  • Distributed combined heat and power
  • Use existing waste heat
  • Structure commercial sites to maximize waste
    heat use
  • Renewable options If it makes sense, go carbon
    free
  • Renewable electricity Photovoltaic, Wind,
    Run-of-river Hydro
  • Renewable heat - Solar thermal, biomass, biogas
  • Renewable heat and power biomass, biogas,
    waste-to-energy
  • Energy distribution Invest where it makes sense
  • Flexible distribution electricity, gas,
    heating, cooling, .
  • Accepts multiple fuels and energy conversion
    technologies
  • Optimize local / regional investment choices

Integral to all County Plans
20
Efficiency of Homes and Buildings(For discussion)
Efficiency has the potential to meet all of the
energy needs of the planned residential and
non-residential growth from 2010 to 2040
Sector Base Case CEP Case?
New Homes and Buildings State Codes 30 Above Code Efficiency by 2011 Plus 1 per year from 2011
Home and Building Renovation and Retrofits Some consumer actions 2.5 renovation rate 15 Efficiency Improvement estimated Engaged community wide consumer actions 2.5 renovation rate 25 Efficiency improvement expected by 2011 Plus 1 per year from 2011
Opportunities for Individual Actions
21
Efficiency of Transportation(For discussion)
County has the potential to meet all of the
communitys transportation energy needs and to
halve the per capita fuel consumption and
greenhouse gas emissions from 2010 to 2040
Sector Base Case CEP Case?
Transportation Limited market for efficient vehicles Dominance individual vehicle Local employment reduces outbound commuting Transit hubs encourage ridership Denser Mixed-use walkable neighborhoods Market shift to efficient vehicles Encourage smaller vehicles
More choices Lower Costs
22
Increase Efficiency of Electricity
Generation(For Discussion)
The County has the potential to obtain a high
percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as
well as reduce peak electricity demand on the
grid, through the implementation of clean
distributed combined heat and power generation
The County has the potential to obtain a high
percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as
well as reduce peak electricity demand on the
grid, through the implementation of clean
distributed combined heat and power generation
The County has the potential to obtain a high
percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as
well as reduce peak electricity demand on the
grid, through the implementation of clean
distributed Combined Heat and Power generation
  • CHP doubles fuel efficiency
  • Possible implementation approaches
  • District energy for heating, hot water and
    cooling to higher density new developments
  • Make district energy available to existing
    neighborhoods targeted for revitalization
  • Evaluate benefits of distributed CHP on single
    developments larger than 100,000 square feet

Cost and emission reductions
23
Use of Economically Viable Renewable Energy(For
Discussion)
The County has the potential to supply at least
25 of it summer peak cooling demand and a
significant portion of its winter heat base load
from economically viable renewable sources
  • Technology costs dropping
  • Possible implementation approaches
  • Deploy about 25 million square feet of Solar PV
    across the County by 2040.
  • Add heat and power sources using various
    bio-fuels developed within the region
  • Recover available landfill and sewage gas

Flexible fuel options and emission reduction
24
Monetizing Carbon Emissions Reductions(For
Discussion)
The combination of efficiency, district energy,
CHP, and renewable energy outlined in the CEP
will create significant emissions reductions that
have potential trading value
  • Possible price range 10 to 150 / metric ton in
    next 30 years
  • County could create 1M to 2M Credits in future
    years
  • Possible implementation approaches
  • Identify and track suitable projects at early
    stage
  • Form an Energy and Environmental Trading Team
  • Define value from environmental and energy assets
  • Develop a priority list of tradable GHG emission
    reductions and other tradable environmental assets

Sensible preparation to capture potential value
25
Role of Initial Scale Neighbourhood Projects
County Energy Plan
Efficient Building
Scale Implementation
  • Effective programmes
  • Energy Star
  • LEED
  • Substantial resources
  • Construction guides
  • Efficient equipment
  • Rebate incentives
  • Education
  • Limited penetration
  • lt 5 of total new construction exceeds code
  • CEP success needs scale
  • Multiple benefits
  • City, developer, utility
  • Potential game-changers
  • High density urban villages
  • Industrial estates
  • Greenfield Smart Growth
  • Sports Rec Centres
  • Transportation facilities
  • Multiple in county
  • Connect the Dots
  • CEP Goals
  • Affordable energy
  • Attract investments
  • Improved reliability
  • Reduce city costs
  • Community outreach and education
  • Institutional and governance changes
  • Breakthrough efficiency
  • 30 to 60 less energy
  • 40 to 80 less GHG
  • Will they be implemented?

County
Projects Closes the Gap
Accelerates Implementation
26
Mulitple Benefits of Integration(For Discussion
using Local Examples)
  • Integrated Energy Solution
  • Increased Core densities
  • Efficient construction
  • District heat and cooling
  • CHP and renewable sources
  • Energy efficiency friendly parking
  • Residents and Businesses
  • Lifestyle of walkable, mixed-use neighborhood
  • 20 cheaper energy in buildings
  • Reduced transportation costs
  • Developer
  • Competitive differentiation
  • Construction costs less than 5 above Base
  • Share of GHG credit value
  • District Energy Service Provider
  • 10 to 13 low risk return on investment
  • Highly positive Net Present Value
  • Regional Electric Utility
  • 20 grid peak reduction

Example Only
Commercially Focused Urban Village
Example Only
Transit Oriented Urban Village
27
Other Candidate Scale Projects (For Discussion)
  • Retail Focused Urban Village
  • Town homes and condos in Smart Growth concept
  • Continuing Care Community
  • Mixed use residential, social, commercial
    community
  • Wide-range of services for later life
  • Transit Commercial and Retail Neighborhood
  • Higher density, close to airport
  • Potential to link energy systems with IAD
  • University and Community College Campuses
  • Existing and potential new campuses
  • Living example of next generation energy concepts
  • Data Centers New and Expansions
  • Two major projects
  • Sports, Retail and Commercial Mixed Use
    Neighborhood
  • Business Park and Clean Power Plant
  • Fully integrated commercial and data centers park
  • Downtown Expansion District
  • Stepwise extension of walkable downtown
    neighborhoods
  • Conversion of Commercial Neighborhood to Mixed
    Use

Assess each for integrated energy benefits
28
Benefits of Winning!Competitiveness -
Sustainability - Flexible
New Relationships New Rules
29
Suggested DOE EECBG Projects(For Discussion)
Project Task Est. Benefit
Education Outreach Residential (Home Perf. Energy Star) Owner orientation on energy potential Up to 250K Matches Accelerated retrofits Enhanced contractor skills Efficiency gains
Education and Outreach Business (Green Business Challenge) Management orientation on energy potential Up to 250K Matches Peer proliferation of best practices Enhanced team skills Efficiency gains
Education and Outreach Transportation Fleet Management orientation on energy potential Up to 250K Matches Peer proliferation of best practices Enhanced fleet manager skills
Loudoun Public Schools or County Property Retrofit integrated energy solution Up to 1M Grant Matches Lower costs Teaching platform Community example of solution
Selected Scale Project(s) Detailed Integrated Energy Master Plans Up to 250K Matches Community example of integrated planning and benefits for mixed-use Scale Projects Leverage private funds
Data Center Detailed Integrated Energy Master Plan Up to 250K Matches Business example of IEMP for Green Data Center for new investors Leverage private funds in implementation
30
Thank you!Supervisor Andrea McGimseyLoudoun
County, VA703-777-0105Andrea.McGimsey_at_loudoun.go
v
31
Copenhagen, DenmarkLong-Term Community Energy
Plan
  • 1973 highlights energy vulnerability
  • Efficiency
  • Global best practice
  • Pioneered EP labelling
  • Innovation to raise bar
  • District heating / cooling
  • Systematic expansion
  • Energy zoning
  • River/ocean cooling
  • Fuel flexibility
  • Multi-fuel cogeneration
  • Coal, oil, gas, biomass
  • Waste-to-Energy
  • Wind generation
  • Solar
  • Transport
  • Urban design for bike/walking
  • Efficient trams/trains
  • World class Green businesses

Voted 2nd Most Livable City in the World
32
MannheimCommunity and Regional Energy Benchmark
  • Population 350 thousand
  • Home to major industries
  • Energy Efficiency
  • Building efficiency
  • Industrial efficiency
  • Higher living density
  • Mixed use Live / Work /Play
  • Multi-modal Transport
  • Multi-Utility Energy Distribution
  • Electricity
  • District heating and cooling
  • Industrial Steam
  • Natural gas
  • Multiple energy sources
  • Regional Gas/Electric Grids
  • Power generation heat recovery
  • Bio-mass
  • Waste-to-Energy
  • Wind/solar/geothermal

Low cost, clean, technically flexible
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