Social Economic Development a presentation for the seminar on socioeconomic development in the light

1
Social Economic Developmenta presentation for
the seminar on socio-economic development in the
light of dwindeling oil supply

• A far fetched concept for future
• Wim Mallon

2
Some observation

• Current situation is unique in history
• Energy, there is no easy to scoop upp solution
• Climate
• Food
• Finance
• Water
• Power distribution
• .
• All GLOBAL Issues

3
Also

• Communism has failed (but for Cuba, where the
  calendar failed)
• Capitalism has failed (recently)
• Muslim banking more or less still standing
• Different principle
• But
• Fundamental laws are questioned (why should I)
• Quiz what system will fail next?
• Economical system
• Technical systems
• Management systems
• Interest of youth

4
What is going on?

• Virtually all systems have collapsed
• and more to come
• Nobody has any idea what to do
• And if someone has an idea, it will be challenged
• New systems are needed
• Who will provide the blue print?

5
Further

• There is great stress on global systems
• Academia are absent in the discussion
• Politics has no clue what is going on
• Religious leaders are silent
• quote
• the system as we knew it does not work anymore
• unquote

6
Some positive developments

• Coordinated efforts on financial system
• Discussion on global scale
• New American president

7
Proposal for a model of thinking

• Can we distinguish a hierarchy in the abstract
  level of problems
• What is intervening with what, what has absolute
  priority
• It is an order of magnitude more complicated than
  we think
• Letss try

8
Order of things (e.g. Energy)
Mechanical processes
Social processes
Values and Culture - spiritual processes
9
Consequences

• Failure to solve mechanical issues will create
  social issues
• Failure to solve social issues will create
  cultural spiritual issues
• Early warning signals can be seen if you look
  closely
• Riots for expensive food
• Upraise for expensive energy (truckers,
  fishermen)

10
How to connect this

• What is the central theme here?
• What is needed is a radical new (global) system
• Global consultation in progress (G20) which is
  good
• Authority, but voluntarily
• Bottom up top down does not work
• Responsibly

11
Some prerequisites

• To serve is the ultimate goal of man
• All people are of same value
• It has to be actively supported by all
• Common understanding of the target
• Spiritual understanding of purpose

12
We forget it is all about Man

• Man is currently a slave of the mechanical system
• A spiritual being in a material world
• Lost track of the purpose of life
• Spiritual side neglected in western world
• Institutions are immobile an incapable
• No clue of causality other than material
• Unproved science as leading principle
• (Muddling through very unscientific)

13
Current concept
Church
Climate change
Mechanical world
Spiritual world
Causality / plausibility?
Declared non-existent
Financial system
Energy
CO2 change
14
What if.
Climate change
Mechanical world
Spiritual world
plausibility
Financial system
Energy
Spiritual laws
CO2 change
15
What is needed

• To understand
• that the material world is a mirror of a
  spiritual world
• That disregarding spiritual laws has material
  consequences
• That material consequences cannot be solved by
  material measures
• What the hell are we here for anyway?

In the end this is what it is all about
16
A new era

• Current systems are not working predictably
• (some more will be tried in the coming time)
• Political influence is part of the current system
• A new approach is badly needed
• Spirituality will take a more prominent position
• What do we need to accept this?

17
Some basics needed(first feeble steps can be
seen in G20)

• The oneness of mankind.
• Universal peace upheld by a world government.
• Independent investigation of truth.
• The common foundation of all religions.
• The essential harmony of science and religion.
• Equality of men and women.
• Elimination of prejudice of all kinds.
• Universal compulsory education.
• A spiritual solution to the economic problem.
• A universal auxiliary language.

18
Result of this

• Small communities in a global setting
• Top to bottom / grass root approach
• Autonomous
• Cooperative
• Led by previous principles
• Organic growth
• Farming as a leading activity
• More integration of social activities
• Happier people

19
Challenges

• Short term ( 5 -10 yrs)
• BUA will be tried as long as it goes
• No fundamental change
• Muddling through
• Trying to get political advantage
• oh yea we will manage
• Growing concern
• Increased power for the haves
• Increased interdependency (which is good),
  current situation is condemned to succeed

20
Mid term (10-25 yrs)

• Extreme price rises
• Energy
• Food
• Leading to the legitimacy discussion
• Shift in economic balance (eg Europe Russia)
• New valuation of goods
• Real estate
• Geographical region
• Raw materials
• Environment?

21
Mid term (2)

• Shift in power
• Number of people (Chindia)
• New political reality
• New economic system
• People will turn away from politics as it has no
  answer, disappointment
• The CMM laws do not help, progress is ficed in
  time (too little too late)
• War?

22
Long term (Who knows?)some ideas on a stable
situation

• A fundamental new approach for society has to be
  installed
• A new understanding of well understood egoism
  (what is good for him is best for me)
• World peace (there just is not enough oil to
  fight for and with)
• Through force which is not sustainable
• Through free will
• Central command on raw materials
• Fair distribution of wealth

23
Long term (2) some more elements

• One currency
• One language
• Global consultation on collective problems
• Global education of people
• Fundamental discussion on values
• Cooperation
• Share knowledge / science
• Accept unity in diversity (human body as
  example)
• Legitimacy discussion obsolete in consultation on
  best use of raw materials
• There is no legitimacy discussion in an
  atmosphere of service and search for best
  solutions

24
Where does this lead to in socio economic
development

• Socio-economic development cannot be seen without
  spiritual context
• Developments on old models are doomed to fail,
  they cannot cope with current problems
• Scale
• Diversity
• Difference of opinion
• Innovation in social sciences is needed
  (Victor)
• Focus must be on the post oil (expensive oil) era
• Transition must be the key research area, how to
  get there
• it is a long way to go and a short time to get
  there

25
We knew in 1977

• Eastbound and down, loaded up and truckin',
• We're gonna do what they say can't be done.
• We've got a long way to go and a short time to
  get there.
• I'm eastbound, just watch ol' "Bandit" run

26
Thank you for your attention