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Math 476 567 Actuarial Risk Theory

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'There is the anecdote of Thales the Milesian and his financial device... Mercantile forward contracts, written in cuneiform on clay tablets, circa 1700 BC ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Math 476 567 Actuarial Risk Theory


1
Math 476 / 567 Actuarial Risk Theory
  • Fall 2009
  • University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
  • Professor Rick Gorvett
  • Options and Put-Call Parity
  • August 27, 2009

2
A Sampling ofOptionsand Other Derivatives
through History
3
Ancient Greece
  • There is the anecdote of Thales the Milesian
    and his financial device He was reproached for
    his poverty, which was supposed to show that
    philosophy was of no use. According to the story,
    he knew by his skill in the stars while it was
    yet winter that there would be a great harvest of
    olives in the coming year so, having a little
    money, he gave deposits for the use of all the
    olive-presses in Chios and Miletus, which he
    hired at a low price because no one bid against
    him. When the harvest-time came, and many were
    wanted all at once and of a sudden, he let them
    out at any rate which he pleased, and made a
    quantity of money. Thus he showed the world that
    philosophers can easily be rich if they like, but
    that their ambition is of another sort
  • - Aristotle, Politics, Book One, Part XI

4
Phoenician Shipping
  • Merchants and ship-owners used options to hedge
    their ships and cargoes

5
Mesopotamia
  • Mercantile forward contracts, written in
    cuneiform on clay tablets, circa 1700 BC

6
China
  • Forward contracts on rice, entered into prior to
    planting, circa 2000 BC

7
Belgium and The Netherlands
  • Antwerp and Amsterdam
  • Grain
  • Herring
  • Tulips

8
Tulip Bubble
  • Mid-1630s
  • Tulip demand exploded and prices skyrocketed
  • Options and futures were used to ensure price and
    supply
  • Bubble burst in 1637

9
America
  • 19th century
  • Privileges
  • Non-standardized / over-the-counter
  • Synthetic loans
  • Financier Russell Sage
  • Put-call parity
  • Get around usury laws

10
Chicago Board Options Exchange
  • Began trading standardized options on April 26,
    1973
  • 911 contracts traded on first day (options on 16
    different underlying companies)

11
Optionsand theirCharacteristics
12
A Type of Derivative
  • A forward is the obligation to buy or sell
    something at a pre-specified time and at a
    pre-specified price
  • An option is the right to buy or sell something
    at a pre-specified time (or during a
    pre-specified time-period) and at a pre-specified
    price

13
Types of Options
  • Call option the holder has a right to buy the
    underlying asset
  • Put option the holder has a right to sell the
    underlying asset
  • Counterparties parties to the option agreement
  • One can buy (long) or sell (short) an option

14
Parameters of Options
  • Exercise price strike price price at which
    the holder of the option can exercise the option
    (and thus buy or sell the underlying asset)
  • Premium amount paid for the option
  • Expiration date
  • Style
  • American option can exercise any time up to and
    including expiration date
  • European option can exercise only on expiration
    date

15
Examples of Options --Theyre Everywhere
  • Traded options
  • On stocks, indices, FX, interest rates, futures,
    swaps, options,...
  • Warrants
  • Convertible bonds
  • Call provisions on bonds
  • On projects
  • To expand, abandon, postpone
  • Insurance

16
Value Of Options At Expiration
  • C Max ST - X, 0
  • C Call option value (or payoff) at expiration
  • ST Price of underlying asset at expiration
  • X Exercise price
  • P Max X - ST, 0
  • P Put option value (or payoff) at expiration

17
Example
  • Amy sells Bob a January European call option on
    one share of ABC stock
  • Suppose ABC stock is initially trading at 32.5
  • Exercise price 35
  • Premium 3
  • In January, suppose ST30 ST40
  • Total payoff profit/loss
  • Amy 0 3 -5 -2
  • Bob 0 -3 5 2

18
Option Values
  • Prior to expiration Call Put
  • In-the-money St gt X St lt X
  • At-the-money St X St X
  • Out-of-the-money St lt X St gt X
  • Intrinsic value profit that could be made if
    the option was immediately exercised
  • Call stock price - exercise price
  • Put exercise price - stock price
  • Time value the difference between the option
    price and the intrinsic value

19
Option Values Payoff Charts
Payoff
  • Call -- long position
  • Call -- short position
  • Put -- long position
  • Put -- short position

ST
X
X
ST
ST
X
X
ST
20
Payoff vs. Profit/LossLong a Call Option
Payoff
Profit/Loss
ST
Call Premium
X
21
Purposes of Derivatives
  • Speculative
  • Highly risky
  • Highly leveraged
  • Very volatile
  • Hedging
  • Combine with other securities
  • Hedge (minimize) risk from other securities

22
Hedging
  • Hedge Take a position that offsets a
  • risk
  • Risk Uncertainty regarding the value of
  • the underlying asset
  • By hedging, one changes the risk inherent in
    owning the underlying asset
  • The return distribution of the underlying asset
    is not changed

23
Using Options to Hedge
  • Combine the underlying asset with an option or
    options
  • Can reduce or eliminate downside risk while
    retaining upside potential
  • Can protect against falls in held asset values,
    or against increases in input prices

24
Option Strategies
  • Protective put
  • Own stock (long position)
  • Own put (long position)
  • Covered call
  • Own stock (long position)
  • Sell call (short position)
  • Straddle
  • Spread

25
Protective Put
  • Investor owns asset
  • Investor also buys (holds) a put on the asset
  • Guarantees investment portfolio proceeds are at
    least equal to the exercise price of the put



26
Protective Put Example
  • Suppose you own a share of stock, and you
    purchase a put option with an exercise price of
    22.5 on that stock, for a premium of 0.75
  • ST 30 25 20 15
  • Premium -0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -0.75
  • Put Payoff 0 0 2.50 7.50
  • Overall 29.25 24.25 21.75 21.75

27
Covered Call
  • Investor purchases stock
  • Investor also sells (writes) a call option on the
    stock
  • Option position is covered by owning the
    underlying stock itself
  • (vs. naked option)
  • Provides additional (premium) income



28
Covered Call Example
  • Suppose you own a share of stock, and you write a
    call option with an exercise price of 35 on that
    stock, for a premium of 2.00
  • ST 30 35 40 45
  • Premium 2 2 2 2
  • Call Payoff 0 0 - 5 -10

  • Overall 32 37 37 37

29
Straddle
  • (Long) Straddle buy both a call and a put on a
    stock
  • Each option has the same exercise price and
    expiration date
  • Believe stock will be relatively volatile
  • Worst-case no movement in stock price

30
Spread
  • Combination of options
  • Two or more calls, or
  • Two or more puts
  • Horizontal spread sale and purchase of options
    with different expiration dates
  • Vertical spread simultaneous sale and purchase
    of options with different exercise prices -- e.g.,

X2


X1
X1
X2
31
Exotic Options
  • Certain characteristics of plain vanilla
    options are adjusted to produce exotic options
  • Some characteristics of plain vanilla options
  • American or European
  • Linear payoff
  • Does not disappear
  • Value of underlying at exercise

32
Put-Call ParityGeneral Concept
  • Arbitrage implies a certain relationship between
    put, call, and underlying asset prices
  • Assuming same exercise prices and expiration
    dates, and non-dividend-paying stock, two
    portfolios have, at payoff, identical values
  • One European call option cash of PV(X)
  • One European put option one share of stock
  • C PV(X) P S

33
Put-Call ParitySpecific Relationships
  • McDonald text terminology
  • Call put PV(forward price strike price)
  • For non-dividend-paying stock

34
Put-Call ParitySpecific Relationships (cont.)
  • For dividend-paying stock
  • For index options

35
Put-Call Parity Example
  • Find the value of the one-year (T 1) put with
    exercise price (X) of 110 when
  • C(110,1) 10.16
  • S0 100 d 0
  • r 0.10
  • P(110,1) 10.16 110 e -.10 1 - 100 9.69

36
Put-Call Parity Example (cont.)
  • Find the value of the one-year (T 1) put with
    exercise price (X) of 110 when
  • C(110,1) 10.16
  • S0 100 d 0.02 (2 div yield)
  • r 0.10
  • P(110,1) 10.16 110 e -.10 1 - 100 e -.02
    1
  • 11.67
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