The Worlds 25 Oldest Countries: 2002 Percent of population 65 years and older

1
The Worlds 25 Oldest Countries 2002(Percent
of population 65 years and older)
Source U.S. Census Bureau
2
Average Annual Percent Growth of Elderly
Population in Developed and Developing
Countries
Percent growth
5
Developing countries,
65 years and over
4
3
2
Developed countries,
1
65 years and over
Total world,
all ages
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Source United Nations 1999.
3
Percent Elderly by Age 2000 to 2030
Source U.S. Census Bureau
4
Projected Percent Increase in Elderly Population
2000 to 2030
Source U.S. Census Bureau
5
Speed of Population Aging
(Number of years required or expected for percent
of population aged
65 and over to rise from 7 to 14)
Developing countries
Developed countries
41
Azerbaijan (2000-2041)
115
France (1865-1980)
27
China (2000-2027)
85
Sweden (1890-1975)
27
Singapore (2001-2028)
73
Australia (1938-2011)
25
Chile (2000-2025)
69
United States (1944-2013)
24
Jamaica (2009-2033)
65
Canada (1944-2009)
23
Sri Lanka (2004-2027)
53
Hungary (1941-1994)
23
Tunisia (2009-2032)
47
Poland (1966-2013)
22
Thailand (2003-2025)
45
United Kingdom (1930-1975)
21
Brazil (2011-2032)
45
Spain (1947-1992)
20
Colombia (2017-2037)
26
Japan (1970-1996)
Source Kinsella and Gist 1995 U.S. Census
Bureau 2000.
6
Aging Index in Brazil by State 1991(Population
aged 65 and over per 100 population aged 0-14)
Source U.S. Census Bureau
7
Median Age in 10 Countries 2000 and 2030
Source U.S. Census Bureau
8
Population, by Age and Sex 1950
(In millions)
Developing countries
Developed countries
80
75-79
70-74
Male
Female
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5- 9
0- 4
0
100
200
300
400
0
100
200
300
400
Sources United Nations 1999 and U.S. Census
Bureau 2000.
9
Population, by Age and Sex 1990
(In millions)
Developing countries
Developed countries
80
75-79
70-74
Male
Female
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5- 9
0- 4
0
100
200
300
400
0
100
200
300
400
Sources United Nations 1999 and U.S. Census
Bureau 2000.
10
Population, by Age and Sex 2030
(In millions)
Developing countries
Developed countries
80
75-79
70-74
Male
Female
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5- 9
0- 4
0
100
200
300
400
0
100
200
300
400
Sources United Nations 1999 and U.S. Census
Bureau 2000.
11
Population Change in Russia 1995 - 2015
12
Percent Distribution of World Population
Aged 80 and Over 2000
13.1
United States
16.3
China
8.7
India
6.6
Japan
8.9
Other Asia
4.2
Russia
4.1
Germany
3.4
United Kingdom
3.3
Italy
3.1
France
2.1
Spain
10.5
Other Europe
6.9
Latin America/Caribbean
5.8
Africa/Near East
3.1
All remaining countries
Note Data represent the share of the world's
total oldest old in each country or region.
Individual countries with more than 2.0 percent
of the total are shown separately.
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2000.
13
Oldest Old as a Percent of All Elderly
2000 and 2030
(People aged 80 and over as a percent of people
aged 65 and over)
21.7
Argentina
27.3
13.2
Bulgaria
27.8
21.7
Japan
39.3
2000
2030
13.3
Pakistan
14.4
15.9
Russia
20.0
26.5
United States
26.4
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2000.
14
Total Fertility Rate 2002
2.1
Source U.S. Census Bureau
15
Life Expectancy at Birth 2001
80.8
Japan
79.1
Italy
77.3
United States
75.9
Chile
71.6
China
70.3
Peru
67.3
Russia
63.7
Egypt
62.9
India
37.1
Malawi
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2001.
16
Life Expectancy at Birth 1900 to 2000(In years)
17
Male Life Expectancy at Birth in 4 Countries
1950 to 2000
Years of Life Expectancy
United States
South Korea
Russia
Zimbabwe
Sources United Nations, 1999 U.S. Census
Bureau, 2000 and country sources.
18
Female Life Expectancy at Birth in 4 Countries
1950 to 2000
Years of Life Expectancy
United States
Russia
South Korea
Zimbabwe
Sources United Nations, 1999 U.S. Census
Bureau, 2000 and country sources.
19
Female Advantage in Life Expectancy at Birth
2001
Developed countries
(Difference in years between females and males)
Developing countries
12.5
Belarus
8.0
France
6.5
Japan
9.0
Hungary
10.7
Russia
5.7
United States
7.2
Spain
-0.4
Bangladesh
2.4
Syria
6.2
Mexico
4.2
Egypt
3.8
China
6.8
Chile
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2001.
20
Life Expectancy at Age 65 in Japan and the
United States 1970, 1980, and 1998
(Years of life remaining for those who reach age
65)
Japan, Male
12.5
1970
14.6
1980
17.1
1998
Japan, Female
15.3
1970
17.7
1980
22.0
1998
United States, Male
13.1
1970
14.1
1980
16.0
1998
United States, Female
17.0
1970
18.3
1980
19.2
1998
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2000.
21
Forecasts of the United States Population Aged
85 and Over
1960-2000 Actual
2040 Census Bureau middle mortality
60
2040 Census Bureau low mortality
53.9
2040 Guralnik et al.
50
2040 Manton et al.
40
Population (In millions)
30
23.5
20
16.8
14.3
10
4.2
3.1
2.2
1.5
0.9
0
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2040
Sources Guralnik et al. 1988 and Manton et al.
1993 and U.S. Census Bureau, 1983, 1992, and
2000b.
22
(No Transcript)
23
Number of Chronically Disabled Americans Aged
65 and Over (In Millions)
10
9.4
If disability rate did not change since 1982
8.3
7.5
8
6.4
7.1
7.0
7.0
Based on observed declines in chronic disability
rate since 1982
6
4
1982 Population Age 65 26.9 Million
1989 Population Age 65 30.8 Million
1994 Population Age 65 33.1 Million
1999 Population Age 65 35.3 Million
21
Source U.S. National Long-Term Care Surveys
analysis by Manton et al.

24
Rank Order of Disease Burden for Top Ten Leading
Causes in the World 1990 and 2020
(Disease burden measured in disability-adjusted
life years)
1990
2020
Disease or injury
Disease or injury
Rank

• Lower respiratory infections Ischemic heart
  disease
• Diarrhoeal diseases Unipolar major
  depression
• Conditions arising during Road traffic
  accidents
• the perinatal period
• Unipolar major depression Cerebrovascular
  disease
• Ischemic heart disease Chronic obstructive
  pulmonary disease
• Cerebrovascular disease Lower respiratory
  infections
• Tuberculosis Tuberculosis
• Measles War
• Road traffic accidents Diarrhoeal diseases
• Congenital anomalies HIV

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Source Murray and Lopez, Global Burden of
Disease Study.
25
Share of Population Versus Health Expenditure by
Age in Four Countries 1993
Source U.S. Census Bureau
26
Urban and Rural Population in Kursk Oblast 1996
Source U.S. Census Bureau
27
Percent Female for Older Age Groups 2000
65-69
70-74
75-79
80
62
66
Russia
75
80
53
58
Germany
67
74
56
59
Brazil
61
67
49
50
India
49
48
54
56
United States
58
66
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2000.
28
Sex Ratios for Older Age Groups 2000
and 2030
2000
2030
91
86
81
72
70
66
57
45
65-79
80
65-79
80
Developing countries
Developed countries
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2000.
29
Percent Widowed at Older Ages
Source U.S. Census Bureau
30
Percent Widowed in Belgium 1998
100
80
Female
60
Male
40
20
0
20-24
30-34
40-44
50-54
60-64
70-74
80-84
90-94
100
Source Belgium National Institute of Statistics
1998.
31
Percent Divorced and Separated in the United
States 1999
Male
Female
21.7
20.8
18.6
18.0
17.8
17.6
15.8
15.1
9.3
8.8
35-39
40-44
45-54
55-64
65
Age group
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2000.
32
Percent of the Elderly Living Alone in
Germany and the United States, by Available
Age Groups
Male
Female
Germany, 1999
United States, 1995
66
61
51
45
36
32
32
24
20
14
14
13
65-69
70-74
75
65-74
75-84
85
Source National Statistical Offices.
33
Elderly Living Alone in Canada 1961 to 1996
Source National Sources.
34
Percent of People Aged 60 and Over Living with
Children in Four Asian Countries Circa 1996
SourceAnh et al., 1997 Chan, 1997 Knodel and
Chayovan, 1997 and Natividad and Cruz, 1997.
35
Living Arrangements of Japanese Elderly 1960 to
1995
Note With kin includes very small numbers of
elderly cohabitating with nonkin. Source Japan
Management and Coordination Agency, cited in
Atoh, 1998.
36
Youth and Elderly Support Ratios in China
1985 to 2050
(Youth ratio people aged 0 to 19 per 100 people
aged 20 to 64
Elderly ratio people aged 65 and over per 100
people aged 20 to 64)
100
80
Youth
60
40
Elderly
20
0
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Source U.S. Census Bureau 2000.
37
Percent Childless Among U.S. Women 40 to 44
Years Old Selected Years, 1976 to 1998
19
16
15
11
10
10
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1998
Source U.S. Census Bureau, June Current
Population Surveys, 1976 to 1998.
38
Proportion of Elderly People Receiving Home
Help Services Early-to-Mid 1990s
24
Finland
17
Denmark
14
Norway
13
Sweden
13
United Kingdom
8
Netherlands
7
France
7
Australia
6
Belgium
4
United States
3
Austria
3
Ireland
2
Germany
2
Japan
2
Canada
2
Spain
1
Portugal
1
New Zealand
1
Italy
Note Data for France, Australia, and Italy
refer to 1985, 1988 and 1988, respectively.
Source OECD 1996.
39
Percent Literate by Age, Sex, and Urban and Rural
Residence, Yemen 1994
SourcePopulation and Housing Census of Yemen,
1994.
40
Older Workers (55 and Over) per 100 Younger
Workers (Under 55) in Selected Job Sectors 1998
OECD Average
Source Excerpted from OECD (Employment Outlook
2000)
41
Percent of Economically Active Elderly Working
Part-time in Australia, Canada, and France
Percent
80
Male
Female
60
40
20
0
Australia 1999
Canada 1991
France 1995
Data for France refer to ages 60 and over.
Source National sources.
42
Decomposition of the Life Course, OECD Average
1960 to 1995
Note Based on an unweighted average of data for
15 member countries, using average life
expectancies and labor force patterns as they
exist for the years shown. These graphs are
illustrative of overall trends, and should not be
construed as representing the experience of any
particular age cohort. Source Excerpted from
OECD, Maintaining Prosperity in an Ageing Society.
43
Ratio of Retirement-Age to Working-Age
Population, Men 2000 to 2030
Note Ratios represent the number of persons at
or above average retirement age per 100 persons
between age 20 and the average retirement age in
1995. Each national average is shown in
parentheses. Source OECD, 1998 (Aging Working
Paper 1.4) and U.S. Census Bureau, 2000a.
44
Ratio of Retirement-Age to Working-Age
Population, Women 2000 to 2030
Note Ratios represent the number of persons at
or above average retirement age per 100 persons
between age 20 and the average retirement age in
1995. Each national average is shown in
parentheses. Source OECD, 1998 (Aging Working
Paper 1.4) and U.S. Census Bureau, 2000a.
45
Number of Countries With Public
Old-Age/Disability/Survivors Program
1940 to 1999
167
135
123
97
58
44
33
1940
1949
1958
1969
1979
1989
1999
Source U.S. Social Security Administration 1999.
46
Percent of Labor Force Covered by Public
Old-Age Pension Program Circa 1995
Nigeria
Zambia
Morocco
South Korea
Jordan
Brazil
Poland
Russia
Germany
Italy
0
20
40
60
80
100
Percent
Source World Bank 1998.
47
Public Pension Expenditure as a Percent of Gross
Domestic Product in 25 Countries Circa 1997
Italy Uruguay France Germany Croatia United
Kingdom Hungary United States Japan Cyprus Israel
Russia Kazakhstan Brazil Australia Turkey China Sr
i Lanka Algeria Vietnam Ecuador Uganda Togo Mexico
Cote dIvoire
15.0
15.0
13.3
12.0
11.6
10.2
9.7
7.2
6.6
6.4
5.9
5.7
5.0
4.7
4.6
3.7
2.7
2.4
2.1
1.6
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.3
Source Palacios and Pallares-Miralles 2000.
48
Percentage of Pensioners With Income From
Employer-Provided Pensions Late 1990s
20
Men
Australia
7
Women
54
Canada
31
21
Germany
9
76
Netherlands
23
66
United Kingdom
32
48
United States
26
Source Whitehouse 2000
49
World Vital Events 2002