Title: Quantifying Performance to Develop Benchmarks for Warehouse Operations
1Quantifying Performance to Develop Benchmarks for
Warehouse Operations
- By
- Andy Johnson
- Leon McGinnis
2Goal
- Goal To create and demonstrate theory-based,
cost-effective, and practical operational
performance assessment methods that will allow
organizations - (1) to assess operational resource efficiency
correctly and consistently
(2) to establish realistic best performance
goals and (3) to identify best practices
appropriate to their business environment
3Old Way to Improve Warehousing
4New Way to Improve Warehousing
www.isye.gatech.edu/ideas
5How Does iDEAs Work?
Over the Internet
Your data is private and secure
Html documents
Database
Solver
At your site
Georgia Tech Server
6iDEAs Provides
- Evaluating overall resource efficiency, based on
a warehouse constructed from a large peer
group ONLINE - A comparative analysis of partial productivities,
relative to the best in the peer group,
identifying the true opportunity for
improvement ONLINE
- An industry-level analysis of key factors
affecting resource efficiency OFFLINE
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10Chen, Wen-chih. and L.F. McGinnis, Reconciling
ratio analysis and DEA as performance assessment
tools. European Journal of Operational Research,
2006. Accepted
11Inputs and Outputs for Warehousing
- Output(y)
- Broken case lines
- shipped
- Full case lines
- shipped
- Pallet lines shipped
- Accumulation
- Storage function
- Input(x)
- Labor
- Space
- Capital Inv.
Operations
Hackman, et. al. Benchmarking warehousing and
distribution operations An input-output
approach. Journal of Productivity Analysis,
2001. 16 p. 79-100.
12Practices and Attributes
Operations
Output(y)
Input(x)
Practices Cross docking Use of temporary labor
Forward Reserve Velocity based slotting
Attributes Demand variability Number of
suppliers Seasonality Sku churn
13Peer Group
All other warehouses All other warehouses in your
industry All other warehouses using the same
predominate picking mode Your set of warehouses
and their past performance
14Initial Results
15Data Set
- iDEAs has had over 450 users per year since 2001
- From this data set we are able to verify 390
records containing complete input and output data
for the 3 input / 5 output model
- Concerned if all warehouses was too diverse of a
group, we also collected data on 25 warehouse
from the publishing industry (this will be called
the industry specific group)
16Motivation to Investigate Outliers
- On-line data collection requires more scrutiny
than data collected and analyzed by a single
person - What could be the/a cause of a negatively skewed
efficiency distribution
17Motivation to Investigate Outliers
- To investigate the impact of environmental
characteristics on efficiency the two-stage DEA
method has been developed - A data set is identified as using a similar
technology - In the first stage efficiency estimates are
calculated - In the second stage the estimates are regressed
against environmental characteristics
- In this setting over stated observations are a
problem in the first stage, but both overstated
and understated observations are a problem in the
second stage
18An Outlier Detection Methodology with
Consideration for an Inefficient Frontier
- A proposed improvement on the current method
requires an outlier methodology - First, identify outliers relative to both the
efficient and inefficient frontier - Use a two-stage DEA method where DEA estimates
are calculated in the first stage and regressed
against environmental variables in the second
stage
- Use bootstrapping in the second stage to deal
with the problem of correlation among the error
terms
19Outlier Detection
- As suggested by Simar 2003 an outlier needs to be
identified by both an input and an output
oriented detection method
- If the hyperbolic distance function is used to
measure the extent to which an observation is
dissimilar to the rest of the observations only a
single program needs to solved
20Hyperbolic Orientation
Seiford, L.M. and J. Zhu, Infeasibility of
super-efficiency data envelopment analysis
models. Infor, 1999. 37(2) p. 174-187
21Hyperbolic Orientation
output
e
d
c
b
a
input
22Hyperbolic Orientation
- Given all data are positive, allows super
efficiency measure to be calculated - Not only has application in outlier detection,
but is also important in measuring technical
progress via the Malmquist index
- Allows efficiency to be calculated even when data
are not all positive
23An Outlier Detection Methodology with
Consideration for an Inefficient Frontier
output
input
24Iterative Outlier Detection
- Identify outliers based on hyperbolic orientation
detection method - Remove identified outliers
- Rerun outlier detection method
- Continue for the number of outlier detected is
below some limit or for a set number of iterations
25Results of Outlier DetectionLarge Sample
26Results of Outlier DetectionSmall Sample
27Results of Outlier DetectionCritical Value
- For the iDEAs data set a critical value of 7.1 is
necessary to keep 80 of the observations for a
3x5 model
- For the industry specific data set a critical
value of 5.6 is necessary to keep 80 of the
observations for a 3x5 model
28Benefits of a New Outlier Detection Method
- Developed a method to identify overly inefficient
observations by identifying an inefficient
frontier - Recommend a hyperbolic orientation to avoid
infeasibility issues - Implemented the iterative outlier detection method
- Demonstrated this method on both a large and
small data set to show how the results might be
used to investigate the quality of the match
between the method and available data or model
29Pastors Model Specification
- This model requires specifying a minimum
percentage of observations whose value change by
a minimum amount. If a smaller percentage of
observations change the input or output under
analysis should be removed - For the values of (10, 10) the initial Hackman
model of warehousing is reduced from 5 outputs to
3 outputs and inputs remained at 3
Pastor, J.T., J.L. Ruiz, and I. Sirvent, A
statistical test for nested radial DEA models.
Operations Research, 2002. 50(4) p. 728-735.
30Bootstrapping method for the second stage of the
two-stage DEA method
- Necessary because of the correlation among error
terms in the second stage regression
- Sample n observations, call this set b, with
replacement from the set of input/output data - Calculate efficiency estimates for each of the
original n observations relative to the set b - Repeat these two steps 2000 times, construct
confidence intervals and bias estimates for each
of the original n obs.
Simar, L. and P.W. Wilson, Estimation and
inference in two-stage, semi-parametric models of
production processes. Journal of Econometrics,
2005. Forthcoming
31Small Sample Issue
- The appropriate model is multi-input /
multi-output, - due to lack of homogenous reference units or the
proprietary nature of data, sample is small
32A Quantile-based Approach
- Use Shephards distance function to aggregate
input information - Identify input distance function
- Use it as the dependent variable in a translog
regression equation - Run the full regression model and calculate the
quantile statistics for each observation
Lovell, C.A.K., et al., Resources and
functioning A new view of inequality in
Australia, in Models and Measurement of Welfare
Inequality, W. Eichorn, Editor. 1993, Springer
Verlag Griffin, P.M. and P.H. Kvam, A
quantile-based approach for relative efficiency
measurement. Managerial and Decision Economics,
1999. 20 p. 403-410
33MQBA Efficiency
Output
Regression line based on all observations except
e
Frontier
Deleted residual value for e
e
Input
34Quantile Results
DEA Efficiency
DEA Rank
Quantile Efficiency
Quantile Rank
35MQBA Contribution
- Benefits
- This method can be used when a relatively small
number of observations available - The level of inputs and outputs determines the
ordering of observations - Does not require assumptions about the efficient
frontier
- Shortcomings
- Only produces an ordering, not absolute
efficiency
36iDEAs Results
- Increase efficiency
- Inventory turns
- Decrease efficiency
- Temporary labor percentage
- Total Replenishments
- Inventory ()
- Sku span
- Sku churn
37Industry Study Results
- Increase efficiency
- Inventory accuracy
- Size
- Decrease efficiency
- Locations per sku
38Consistent In Both Studies
- Increase efficiency
- Cross-docking
- Decrease efficiency
- Seasonality
39Summary
- Developed a new outlier detection methodology for
application to the two-stage method with distinct
advantages over the previous method - Introduced the hyperbolic orientation to the
super efficiency DEA model. Showed the benefit
of this orientation in an outlier detection
context.
- Developed an efficiency ordering method based on
the deleted residual technique for multi-input /
multi-output models
40Thank You