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Quantifying Performance to Develop Benchmarks for Warehouse Operations

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Title: Quantifying Performance to Develop Benchmarks for Warehouse Operations


1
Quantifying Performance to Develop Benchmarks for
Warehouse Operations
  • By
  • Andy Johnson
  • Leon McGinnis

2
Goal
  • Goal To create and demonstrate theory-based,
    cost-effective, and practical operational
    performance assessment methods that will allow
    organizations
  • (1) to assess operational resource efficiency
    correctly and consistently

(2) to establish realistic best performance
goals and (3) to identify best practices
appropriate to their business environment
3
Old Way to Improve Warehousing
4
New Way to Improve Warehousing
www.isye.gatech.edu/ideas
5
How Does iDEAs Work?
Over the Internet
Your data is private and secure
Html documents
Database
Solver
At your site
Georgia Tech Server
6
iDEAs Provides
  • Evaluating overall resource efficiency, based on
    a warehouse constructed from a large peer
    group ONLINE
  • A comparative analysis of partial productivities,
    relative to the best in the peer group,
    identifying the true opportunity for
    improvement ONLINE
  • An industry-level analysis of key factors
    affecting resource efficiency OFFLINE

7
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10
Chen, Wen-chih. and L.F. McGinnis, Reconciling
ratio analysis and DEA as performance assessment
tools. European Journal of Operational Research,
2006. Accepted
11
Inputs and Outputs for Warehousing
  • Output(y)
  • Broken case lines
  • shipped
  • Full case lines
  • shipped
  • Pallet lines shipped
  • Accumulation
  • Storage function
  • Input(x)
  • Labor
  • Space
  • Capital Inv.

Operations
Hackman, et. al. Benchmarking warehousing and
distribution operations An input-output
approach. Journal of Productivity Analysis,
2001. 16 p. 79-100.
12
Practices and Attributes
Operations
Output(y)
Input(x)
Practices Cross docking Use of temporary labor
Forward Reserve Velocity based slotting
Attributes Demand variability Number of
suppliers Seasonality Sku churn
13
Peer Group
All other warehouses All other warehouses in your
industry All other warehouses using the same
predominate picking mode Your set of warehouses
and their past performance
14
Initial Results
15
Data Set
  • iDEAs has had over 450 users per year since 2001
  • From this data set we are able to verify 390
    records containing complete input and output data
    for the 3 input / 5 output model
  • Concerned if all warehouses was too diverse of a
    group, we also collected data on 25 warehouse
    from the publishing industry (this will be called
    the industry specific group)

16
Motivation to Investigate Outliers
  • On-line data collection requires more scrutiny
    than data collected and analyzed by a single
    person
  • What could be the/a cause of a negatively skewed
    efficiency distribution

17
Motivation to Investigate Outliers
  • To investigate the impact of environmental
    characteristics on efficiency the two-stage DEA
    method has been developed
  • A data set is identified as using a similar
    technology
  • In the first stage efficiency estimates are
    calculated
  • In the second stage the estimates are regressed
    against environmental characteristics
  • In this setting over stated observations are a
    problem in the first stage, but both overstated
    and understated observations are a problem in the
    second stage

18
An Outlier Detection Methodology with
Consideration for an Inefficient Frontier
  • A proposed improvement on the current method
    requires an outlier methodology
  • First, identify outliers relative to both the
    efficient and inefficient frontier
  • Use a two-stage DEA method where DEA estimates
    are calculated in the first stage and regressed
    against environmental variables in the second
    stage
  • Use bootstrapping in the second stage to deal
    with the problem of correlation among the error
    terms

19
Outlier Detection
  • As suggested by Simar 2003 an outlier needs to be
    identified by both an input and an output
    oriented detection method
  • If the hyperbolic distance function is used to
    measure the extent to which an observation is
    dissimilar to the rest of the observations only a
    single program needs to solved

20
Hyperbolic Orientation
Seiford, L.M. and J. Zhu, Infeasibility of
super-efficiency data envelopment analysis
models. Infor, 1999. 37(2) p. 174-187
21
Hyperbolic Orientation
output
e
d
c
b
a
input
22
Hyperbolic Orientation
  • Given all data are positive, allows super
    efficiency measure to be calculated
  • Not only has application in outlier detection,
    but is also important in measuring technical
    progress via the Malmquist index
  • Allows efficiency to be calculated even when data
    are not all positive

23
An Outlier Detection Methodology with
Consideration for an Inefficient Frontier
output
input
24
Iterative Outlier Detection
  • Identify outliers based on hyperbolic orientation
    detection method
  • Remove identified outliers
  • Rerun outlier detection method
  • Continue for the number of outlier detected is
    below some limit or for a set number of iterations

25
Results of Outlier DetectionLarge Sample
26
Results of Outlier DetectionSmall Sample
27
Results of Outlier DetectionCritical Value
  • For the iDEAs data set a critical value of 7.1 is
    necessary to keep 80 of the observations for a
    3x5 model
  • For the industry specific data set a critical
    value of 5.6 is necessary to keep 80 of the
    observations for a 3x5 model

28
Benefits of a New Outlier Detection Method
  • Developed a method to identify overly inefficient
    observations by identifying an inefficient
    frontier
  • Recommend a hyperbolic orientation to avoid
    infeasibility issues
  • Implemented the iterative outlier detection method
  • Demonstrated this method on both a large and
    small data set to show how the results might be
    used to investigate the quality of the match
    between the method and available data or model

29
Pastors Model Specification
  • This model requires specifying a minimum
    percentage of observations whose value change by
    a minimum amount. If a smaller percentage of
    observations change the input or output under
    analysis should be removed
  • For the values of (10, 10) the initial Hackman
    model of warehousing is reduced from 5 outputs to
    3 outputs and inputs remained at 3

Pastor, J.T., J.L. Ruiz, and I. Sirvent, A
statistical test for nested radial DEA models.
Operations Research, 2002. 50(4) p. 728-735.
30
Bootstrapping method for the second stage of the
two-stage DEA method
  • Necessary because of the correlation among error
    terms in the second stage regression
  • Sample n observations, call this set b, with
    replacement from the set of input/output data
  • Calculate efficiency estimates for each of the
    original n observations relative to the set b
  • Repeat these two steps 2000 times, construct
    confidence intervals and bias estimates for each
    of the original n obs.

Simar, L. and P.W. Wilson, Estimation and
inference in two-stage, semi-parametric models of
production processes. Journal of Econometrics,
2005. Forthcoming
31
Small Sample Issue
  • The appropriate model is multi-input /
    multi-output,
  • due to lack of homogenous reference units or the
    proprietary nature of data, sample is small

32
A Quantile-based Approach
  • Use Shephards distance function to aggregate
    input information
  • Identify input distance function
  • Use it as the dependent variable in a translog
    regression equation
  • Run the full regression model and calculate the
    quantile statistics for each observation

Lovell, C.A.K., et al., Resources and
functioning A new view of inequality in
Australia, in Models and Measurement of Welfare
Inequality, W. Eichorn, Editor. 1993, Springer
Verlag Griffin, P.M. and P.H. Kvam, A
quantile-based approach for relative efficiency
measurement. Managerial and Decision Economics,
1999. 20 p. 403-410
33
MQBA Efficiency
Output
Regression line based on all observations except
e
Frontier
Deleted residual value for e
e
Input
34
Quantile Results
DEA Efficiency
DEA Rank
Quantile Efficiency
Quantile Rank
35
MQBA Contribution
  • Benefits
  • This method can be used when a relatively small
    number of observations available
  • The level of inputs and outputs determines the
    ordering of observations
  • Does not require assumptions about the efficient
    frontier
  • Shortcomings
  • Only produces an ordering, not absolute
    efficiency

36
iDEAs Results
  • Increase efficiency
  • Inventory turns
  • Decrease efficiency
  • Temporary labor percentage
  • Total Replenishments
  • Inventory ()
  • Sku span
  • Sku churn

37
Industry Study Results
  • Increase efficiency
  • Inventory accuracy
  • Size
  • Decrease efficiency
  • Locations per sku

38
Consistent In Both Studies
  • Increase efficiency
  • Cross-docking
  • Decrease efficiency
  • Seasonality

39
Summary
  • Developed a new outlier detection methodology for
    application to the two-stage method with distinct
    advantages over the previous method
  • Introduced the hyperbolic orientation to the
    super efficiency DEA model. Showed the benefit
    of this orientation in an outlier detection
    context.
  • Developed an efficiency ordering method based on
    the deleted residual technique for multi-input /
    multi-output models

40
Thank You
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