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Judy Warmuth

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Registered nurse is #5 with 26,100 projected full time openings ... Source: National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses, March 2000, HRSA ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Judy Warmuth


1
Wisconsins Health Care Workforce 2004-2014
  • Judy Warmuth
  • VP, Workforce Development

2
Office of Economic Advisors
  • Created by Governor Doyles Grow Wisconsin Plan
  • Release long and short term projections
  • Most recent projections for 2004 thru 2014.
    Released Dec. 2006

3
Wisconsin Employment Projections Methodology Step
1 Industry Employment
4
Wisconsin Employment Projections Methodology Step
2 Occupational Employment
5
New Jobs
Among the industry super-sectors, education and
health services will lead the way with an
anticipated 133,000 new jobs
6
Workforce Projections
  • Wisconsin overall job growth of 12
  • Healthcare occupation jobs to grow 26
  • Projections are full time equivalent positions
  • 27,100 jobs are predicted to be lost-majority in
    manufacturing
  • Health care occupations will account for 38 of
    all new jobs

7
Industries Adding the Most Jobs over the 10 year
period
8
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9
Occupations With Most Job Openings in the Ten
Year Period
10
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11
  • Registered nurse is 5 with 26,100 projected full
    time openings
  • The RN workforce in 2004 reported to be 48,410 FTE

12
Registered Nurse Workforce Today-estimates
  • 69,333 RNs licensed to practice in Wisconsin
  • Occupy 48,010 full time jobs
  • Average age 46.9
  • Source R L RN Survey, 2006

13
Preparing RNs in Wisconsin
  • Over 30 schools of nursing
  • Approx 7000 new nursing licenses were granted in
    2003-5 biennium

14
RNs Entering the Workforce in Wisconsin
Source WI BON Data
15
Trend in Average Age at Graduation from Basic
Nursing Education Programs
Source National Sample Survey of Registered
Nurses, March 2000, HRSA
16
Todays Job Situation-continued
  • Nursing faculty with PhDs are difficult to
    recruit
  • Nurses with specialty unit experience are
    difficult to recruit
  • ICU
  • NICU
  • OR
  • ER
  • Nurse leadership positions difficult to fill
  • Baby boomer nurses have not yet started to retire
    in great numbers

17
Fastest Growing Occupations over the next 10
years.
18
Fastest Growing Health Care Occupations
19
  • 17 of 25 fastest growing occupations are in
    health care
  • Range from those requiring on the job training to
    bachelors degree
  • 17 health care occupations account for over
    40,000 new jobs over 10 years.

20
What About Wisconsins Resident Population?
21
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22
Wisconsins Population Age Cohorts
Source DWD
23
Hospital Utilization by Age Group
SourceAnnual Survey of Wisconsin Hospitals, 2003
24
The previous graph means..
  • About 20 of Wisconsins population was over 55
    in 2003.
  • That 20 accounted for 40 of all discharges
  • That same 20 consumed 55 of all patient days.

25
Wisconsin, Present and Projected 18 year old
Population, 65 Year Old Population
26
Prediction
  • Population growth,
  • the rising proportion of people over age 65,
  • economic growth and advances in technology
  • are expected to greatly accelerate the future
    demand for health care related services.

Buerhaus et al, Health Affairs, Nov/Dec 2003 p196
27
Without action on our part, there will not be
enough health care workers to meet the needs of
Wisconsin residents
28
  • Action today is absolutely necessary to prevent a
    crisis tomorrow

29
What needs to be done?
  • Create interest in health occupations
  • Create capacity in schools preparing health care
    workers
  • Preserve and maintain the current workforce
  • Explore new ways to deliver and provide care

30
Create interest in health occupations
  • Must start in middle school, to ensure that
    students select courses in math in science.
  • Create interest in minority groups that have
    traditionally not pursued healthcare careers

31
Create capacity in schools preparing health care
workers
  • Eliminate long waiting lists of interested
    learners
  • Shift existing resources to health care programs
  • Create new programs with more flexibility for
    students
  • Expand current programs.

32
Preserve and maintain the current workforce
  • Develop strategies that encourage the experienced
    and highly skilled mature worker to stay in the
    workforce.

33
Explore new ways to deliver and provide care
  • Innovation and technology will allow us to
    create new ways of efficiently using the health
    care workforce. We must be willing to explore
    new possibilities

34
What is WHA Doing?
  • Working with educational programs
  • Working with policy makers
  • Making the public aware
  • Sharing best practices and great member programs
    and ideas
  • WHA tools to help members include an on-line
    recruitment brochure and the WHA job bulletin

35
For more information contact Judy Warmuth,
RN Vice President, Workforce Development Wisconsin
Hospital Association 5510 Research Park
Drive Madison, WI 53711 608.274.1820 jwarmuth_at_wha.
org
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