IPCC Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry UNFCCC Workshop on the Preparation of National Communications from non-Annex I Parties April 26-30, 2004, Manila Leandro Buendia Programme Officer, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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IPCC Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry UNFCCC Workshop on the Preparation of National Communications from non-Annex I Parties April 26-30, 2004, Manila Leandro Buendia Programme Officer,

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Title: IPCC Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry UNFCCC Workshop on the Preparation of National Communications from non-Annex I Parties April 26-30, 2004, Manila Leandro Buendia Programme Officer,


1
IPCC Good Practice Guidance for Land Use,
Land-Use Change and Forestry UNFCCC Workshop on
the Preparation of National Communications from
non-Annex I PartiesApril 26-30, 2004,
ManilaLeandro BuendiaProgramme Officer,
IPCC-NGGIP-TSU(lbuendia_at_iges.or.jp)
2
Decision 17/CP.8
  • Objectives
  • Para 1b. To encourage the presentation of
    information in a consistent, transparent and
    comparable, as well as flexible, manner, taking
    into account specific national circumstances.
  • Methodologies
  • Para 11. Non-Annex 1 Parties are encouraged to
    apply the IPCC Good Practice Guidance and
    Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas
    Inventories, taking into account the need to
    improve transparency, consistency, comparability,
    completeness and accuracy in inventories.
  • Para 12. Non-Annex I Parties are also
    encouraged, to the extent possible, to undertake
    any key source analysis as indicated in the IPCC
    good practice guidance to assist in developing
    inventories that better reflect their national
    circumstances.
  • Reporting
  • Para 24. Non-Annex I Parties are encouraged to
    provide information on the level of uncertainty
    associated with inventory data and their
    underlying assumptions, and to describe the
    methodologies used, if any, for estimating these
    uncertainties.

3
Contents
  • Background Information
  • What is good practice guidance?
  • Relationship to GL96 and GPG2000
  • Contents of the Report
  • Policy Relevance
  • Conclusion

4
Background Information
  • GPG2000 did not cover the land-use change and
    forestry (LUCF) activities described in Chapter 5
    of the GL96
  • to avoid the risk of inconsistency with SR-LULUCF
  • Kyoto Protocol sink negotiations werent
    concluded in 2000

5
Background Information
  • August 2001 Expert Group Planning Mtg. to
    develop the work programme
  • March 2002 July 2003 Conducted 5
    Authors/Experts Meetings to draft and finalize
    the Report
  • First government/expert review in December 2002
    to January 2003
  • Second governments/experts review in May to June
    2003
  • November 2003 IPCC XXI adopted/accepted the
    Report
  • December 2003 COP9 welcomed the Report
  • April 2004 published the GPG-LULUCF Report

6
What is good practice guidance?
  • GPG2000 defines inventories consistent with good
    practice as those which contain neither over- nor
    underestimates so far as can be judged, and in
    which uncertainties are reduced as far as is
    practicable given national circumstances.
  • When applied to LULUCF, this definition should
    ensure the bona fide estimates of
  • emissions by sources and removal by sinks
  • carbon stock changes

7
Good practice aims to satisfy the definition by
providing guidance on
  • Choice of estimation method within the context of
    the IPCC Guidelines
  • QA/QC procedures to provide cross-checks during
    inventory compilation
  • Data and information to be documented, archived
    and reported to facilitate review and assessment
    of inventory estimates
  • Quantification of uncertainties at the source or
    sink category level and for the inventory as a
    whole, so that resources available can be
    directed toward reducing uncertainties over time,
    and the improvement can be tracked

8
Good practice guidance further supports the
development of inventories that are
  • transparent
  • documented
  • consistent over time
  • complete
  • comparable
  • assessed for uncertainties
  • subject quality control and assurance
  • efficient in the use of resources available to
    inventory agencies
  • uncertainties are reduced as better information
    becomes available

9
Relationship to GL96 and GPG2000
  • GPG-LULUCF is consistent with GL96
  • specific source or sink categories it addressed
    can be traced back to categories in GL96
  • it uses the same functional forms for the
    equations that are used in GL96, or their
    equivalent
  • it allows corrections of any errors or
    deficiencies that have been identified in GL96.

10
Relationship to GL96 and GPG2000
  • GPG-LULUCF, following conclusion from SBSTA15,
    used some flexibilities in handling of categories
    while ensuring consistency with Chapter 5 of
    GL96.
  • GPG-LULUCF has some interlinkages with GPG2000 in
    estimation of agricultural emissions (i.e. N2O
    from soils), and must maintain consistency with
    the advice already agreed upon.

11
Contents of the Report
  • Preface
  • Chapter 1 Overview
  • Chapter 2 Basis for Consistent Representation of
    Land Areas
  • Chapter 3 LUCF Sector Good Practice Guidance
  • Chapter 4 Supplementary methods and good
    practice guidance arising from the Kyoto
    Protocol
  • Chapter 5 Cross-Cutting Issues
  • Glossary
  • Basic Information
  • Abbreviations and Acronyms
  • List of Reviewers

12
Overview of the GPG-LULUCF
13
Chapter 1 Overview
  • sets out the mandate for GPG for LULUCF
  • defines and describes the history of IPCC good
    practice guidance and its relationship to the
    IPCC Guidelines
  • summarises the practical advice provided to
    inventory agencies
  • discusses policy relevance

14
Chapter 2 Basis for Consistent Representation of
Land Areas
  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Land-Use Categories
  • 2.3 Representing Land Areas

15
Annexes and Appendices
  • Chapter 2
  • Annex 2A.1 Examples of Approaches in Individual
    Countries
  • Annex 2A.2 Examples of International Land Cover
    Datasets

16
Chapter 2 Basis for Consistent Representation of
Land Areas
Approach 1 Basic Land-Use data Approach 2
Survey of land use and land-use change Approach 3
Geographically explicit land use data
  • provides advice on different approaches for
    representing land area depending on the data
    available
  • provides 3 approaches for representing land areas
    (not hierarchical)
  • six broad categories of land use that provide the
    basis for more detailed discussion in the
    chapters that follow
  • advice on the development of land-use databases
    and some examples on their usage to approaches
  1. Forest land
  2. Cropland
  3. Grassland
  4. Wetlands
  5. Settlements
  6. Other land

17
Approach 1 Basic Land-Use data
  • most common approach
  • uses area datasets likely to have been prepared
    for other purposes such as forestry or
    agricultural statistics

18
Approach 1 Basic Land-Use data
Land-use Category Area (Time 1) Area (Time 2) Land-use Change bet. T1 and T2
Forest land 18 19 1
Cropland 31 29 -2
Grassland 84 82 -2
Wetlands 0 0 0
Settlements 5 8 3
Other land 2 2 0
Total 140 140 0
19
Approach 2 Survey of land use and land-use
change
  • include more information on changes between
    categories
  • more data intensive than Approach 1 but can
    account for all land-use transitions

20
Approach 2 Survey of land use and land-use
change
Final
Forest Land Cropland Grassland Wetlands Settlements Other Final Area (2001)
Forest Land 321 4 325
Cropland 2 114 3 119
Grassland 2 3 205 210
Wetlands 15 15
Settlements 2 38 40
Other 2 2
Initial Area (2000) 327 117 212 15 38 2 711
Net Change -2 2 -2 0 2 0 0
Initial
21
Approach 3 Geographically explicit land use data
  • Requires spatially explicit data of land use and
    land-use change (location, boundaries)
  • Subdivide area into spatial units (e.g. grid
    cells) appropriate to the scale of land-use
    variation
  • Requires sampling sufficient for spatial
    interpolation

22
Approach 3 Geographically explicit land use data
Complete Coverage of all grid cells
2000
2001
23
Approach 3 Geographically explicit land use data
Regular sampling grid
2000
2001
24
Approach 3 Geographically explicit land use data
Irregular sampling grid
2000
2001
25
Approach 3 Geographically explicit land use data
Grid cells can also be aggregated into polygons
2000
2001
F
26
Chapter 3 LUCF Sector Good Practice Guidance
  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Forest Land
  • 3.3 Cropland
  • 3.4 Grassland
  • 3.5 Wetlands
  • 3.6 Settlements
  • 3.7 Other land

27
Chapter 3 LUCF Sector Good Practice Guidance
  • organised using six land-use categories, broad
    carbon pools and non-CO2 gases, and by tier

LU Categories Forest land Cropland Grassland Wetla
nds Settlements Other land
C Pools Living biomass Dead organic matter Soils
Non-CO2 CH4 N2O NOx CO
Tiers Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3
28
Carbon pools
Living biomass above-ground biomass
Living biomass below-ground biomass
Dead organic matter Dead wood
Dead organic matter Litter
Soils Soil organic matter
29
Land-Use Categories and C-Pools (X denotes
that methodologies are provided in the GPG-LULUCF)
Forest Land Cropland Grassland Wetlands Settlements Other Land
Living Biomass (above- and below-ground) X X X X X X
Dead Organic Matter (Dead wood and Litter) X
Soils (Soil Organic Matter) X X X X X
30
Chapter 3 LUCF Sector Good Practice Guidance
  • provides advice on the estimation of emissions
    and removals of CO2 and non-CO2 greenhouse gases
  • Methodological Issues
  • Choice of Method
  • Choice of EF
  • Choice of AD

Completeness Developing a consistent time
series Reporting and Documentation Inventory QA/QC
  • decision trees guide the choice of method
    according to national circumstances

31
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32
Chapter 3 LUCF Sector Good Practice Guidance
  • default values of emission factors/parameters and
    activity data

Section Biomass DOM Soils Total
3.2 Forest Land (Annex 3A.1) 16 2 2 20
3.3 Cropland 3 4 7
3.4 Grassland 4 4 8
Appendix 3a.1 (HWP) 4 4
Appendix 3a.2 (drainage/rewetting) 1 1
Appendix 3a.3 (Wetlands) 3 3
Appendix 3a.4 (Settlements) 1 1
Total Number of Tables Total Number of Tables Total Number of Tables Total Number of Tables 44
33
Chapter 3 LUCF Sector Good Practice Guidance
  • simple tables are provided to assist countries
    with the linkage to the IPCC Guidelines and good
    practices on the default methods in the IPCC
    Guidelines are clearly identified

Table 3.1.1 - mapping between GL96 categories and
GPG-LULUCF categories
34
Forest land
GPG-LULUCF GPG-LULUCF GL96
Initial Time period Reporting Year GL96
Forest land Forest land 5 A
Cropland Forest land 5 A, 5 C, 5 D
Grassland Forest land 5 A, 5 C, 5 D
Wetlands Forest land 5 A, 5 C, 5 D
Settlements Forest land 5 A, 5 C, 5 D
Other land Forest land 5 A, 5 C, 5 D
5A- Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5C- Abandonment of Managed Lands 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils 5A- Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5C- Abandonment of Managed Lands 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils 5A- Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5C- Abandonment of Managed Lands 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils
35
Cropland
GPG-LULUCF GPG-LULUCF GL96
Initial Time period Reporting Year GL96
Cropland Cropland 5 A, 5 D
Forest land Cropland 5 B, 5 D
Grassland Cropland 5 B, 5 D
Wetlands Cropland 5 D
Settlements Cropland 5 D
Other land Cropland 5 D
5A- Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5B- Forest and Grassland Conversion 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils 5A- Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5B- Forest and Grassland Conversion 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils 5A- Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5B- Forest and Grassland Conversion 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils
36
Grassland
GPG-LULUCF GPG-LULUCF GL96
Initial Time period Reporting Year GL96
Grassland Grassland 5 A, 5 D
Forest land Grassland 5 B, 5 D
Cropland Grassland 5 C, 5 D
Wetlands Grassland 5 C, 5 D
Settlements Grassland 5 C, 5 D
Other land Grassland 5 C, 5 D
5A-Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5B- Forest and Grassland Conversion 5C- Abandonment of Managed Lands 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils 5A-Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5B- Forest and Grassland Conversion 5C- Abandonment of Managed Lands 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils 5A-Changes in Forest and Other Woody Biomass Stocks 5B- Forest and Grassland Conversion 5C- Abandonment of Managed Lands 5D- Emissions and Removals from Soils
37
Chapter 3 LUCF Sector Good Practice Guidance
  • also provides appendices covering wetlands and
    settlements, for which the IPCC Guidelines
    provide only limited advice and harvested wood
    products (HWP), which remain under consideration
    by the UNFCCC.

38
Annexes and Appendices
  • Chapter 3
  • Annex 3A.1 Biomass Default Tables for Section 3.2
    Forest Land
  • Annex 3A.2 Reporting Tables and Worksheets
  • Appendix 3a.1 Harvested wood products Basis for
    future methodological development
  • Appendix 3a.2 Non-CO2 Emissions from drainage and
    rewetting of forest soils Basis for future
    methodological development
  • Appendix 3a.3 Wetlands remaining wetlands Basis
    for future methodological development
  • Appendix 3a.4 Settlements Basis for future
    methodological development

39
Chapter 4 Supplementary methods and good
practice guidance arising from the Kyoto Protocol
  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Methods for Estimation, Measurement,
    Monitoring and Reporting of LULUCF Activities
    under Articles 3.3 and 3.4
  • 4.3 LULUCF Projects

40
Chapter 4 Supplementary methods and good practice
guidance arising from the Kyoto Protocol
  • Generally apply to Annex B Parties (emission
    cap)
  • Provisions are fixed in the Kyoto Protocol and
    the Marrakesh Accords of the UNFCCC
  • Additional classification of land areas
  • Parties need to
  • choose certain parameters (e.g. thresholds in the
    definition of forest)
  • apply additional methods
  • report annually on lands subject to

41
Kyoto Protocol Issues (Chapter 4)
42
Kyoto Protocol Issues (Chapter 4)
43
Kyoto Protocol Issues (Chapter 4)
  • GPG-LULUCF gives guidance on
  • how to identify land areas that are subject to
    Article 3.3 and Article 3.4 activities
  • which pools are to be reported
  • For which years C-stock changes and GHG emission
    are to be reported
  • For each Article 3.3 and 3.4 activity GPG-LULUCF
    gives guidance on
  • Activity-specific issues relating to identifying
    land areas and reporting requirements
  • The choice of method for estimating carbon stock
    changes and non-CO2 emissions

44
Projects (CDM JI) (Section 4.3)
  • GPG-LULUCF is mostly about national inventories
  • Section 4.3 is exceptional (and new compared to
    the 1996 IPCC Guidelines)
  • gives guidance on inventorying LULUCF projects
    (typically recommends the use of higher tiers)
  • gives guidance on defining project boundaries
    (for JI), measuring, monitoring and estimating
    changes in carbon stocks and non-CO2 GHGs
  • gives detailed guidance on sampling design and
    statistical methods

45
Projects (CDM JI) (Section 4.3)
  • GPG-LULUCF does not address CDM-specific issues,
    such as baseline, non-permanence, additionality,
    leakage, uncertainties, and socio-economic and
    environmental impacts (these were negotiated at
    COP9 of the UNFCCC)

46
Annexes and Appendices
  • Chapter 4
  • Annex 4A.1 Tool for estimation of changes in soil
    carbon stocks associated with management changes
    in croplands and grazing lands based on IPCC
    default data
  • Annex 4A.2Examples of allometric equations for
    estimating aboveground biomass and belowground
    biomass of trees

47
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48
Chapter 5 Cross-Cutting Issues
  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Identifying and Quantifying Uncertainties
  • 5.3 Sampling
  • 5.4 Methodological Choice -Identification of Key
    Categories
  • 5.5 Quality Assurance and Quality Control
  • 5.6 Time Series Consistency and Recalculations
  • 5.7 Verification

49
Chapter 5 Cross-Cutting Issues
  • provides advice on applying the key category
    concept in GPG2000 to cover sinks
  • provides advice on
  • quality assurance and quality control
  • reconstruction of missing data
  • time series consistency
  • collecting and analysing data by sampling
  • quantification and combination of uncertainties
  • verification by means of comparison with
    inventories in other countries, independently
    compiled datasets, modelling approaches and
    direct measurements on land and/or atmosphere.

50
PART 2 - KEY CATEGORIES ANALYSIS WITH LULUCF
(GPG-LULUCF)
  • GPG2000
  • the concept was named key source categories and
    dealt with the inventory excluding the LULUCF
    sector.
  • GPG-LULUCF
  • the term "key category" is used to better reflect
    that both sources and sinks are included.

51
GPG2000 vs. GPG-LULUCF
  • Both provide Quantitative and Qualitative
    approaches
  • Same decision tree to identify key categories
  • Same equations (format), spreadsheet, and
    threshold value
  • Due to inclusion of sinks, some parameters have
    to be modified to reflect absolute values

52
Quantitative Approach -Tier 1 Method Level
Assessment
  • Equation 5.4.1
  • Key Category Level Assessment
  • Source or Sink Category Estimate /
    Total Contribution
  • Lx,t Ex,t / Et
  • Where
  • Lx,t level assessment for source or sink x
    in year t (The asterisk indicates that
    contributions from all categories (including
    LULUCF categories) are entered as absolute
    values.
  • Ex,t Ex,t absolute value of emission or
    removal estimate of source or sink category x in
    year t
  • Et ?Ex,t total contribution, which is the
    sum of the absolute values of emissions and
    removals in year t. The asterisk () indicates
    that contributions from all categories (including
    LULUFC categories) enter as absolute values.

53
Trend Assessment (Tier 1)
  • Equation 5.4.2
  • Source or Sink Category Trend Assessment
    (Source or Sink Category Level Assessment)
    (Source or Sink Category Trend Total Trend)
  • Tx,t Ex,t / Et ( Ex,t Ex,0 )
    / Ex,t
  • ( Et E0 ) / Et
  • Where
  • Tx,t trend assessment, which is the
    contribution of the source or sink category trend
    to the overall inventory trend. The Trend
    Assessment is always recorded as an absolute
    value, i.e., a negative value is always recorded
    as the equivalent positive value. The asterisk
    () indicates that, in contrast to Equation 7.2,
    in Chapter 7 of the GPG2000, LULUCF sources and
    sinks can be evaluated using this equation.
  • Ex,t ?Ex,t? absolute value of emission or
    removal estimate of source or sink category x in
    year t
  • Ex,t and Ex,0 real values of estimates of
    source or sink category x in years t and 0,
    respectively
  • Et and E0 and total inventory estimates in
    years t and 0, respectivelyEt and E0 differ
    from Et and E0 in Equation 5.4.1 in that
    removals are not entered as absolute values.

54
Tier 2 Method Level Assessment
  • Equation 5.4.4
  • Level Assessment, with Uncertainty
  • Tier 1 Level Assessment ? Relative
    Source Uncertainty
  • LUx,t Lx,t ? Ux,t
  • Note The key categories are identified by
    accounting for those that add up to 90 of the
    total value of the total LUx,t (Rypdal
    Flugsrud, 2001).

55
Qualitative Consideration
  • Mitigation techniques and technologies
  • High expected growth of emissions or removals
  • High uncertainty
  • Unexpectedly high or low emissions or removals
  • Large stocks
  • Deforestation
  • Completeness

56
Policy Relevance
  • Chapters 1, 2, 3 and 5 are relevant to all
    countries to estimate emissions/removals from
    LULUCF Sector, whether or not KP is ratified
  • First 2 sections of Chapter 4 provide
    supplementary information to that in Chapters 2,
    3 and 5, which is relevant only to Annex I
    countries that have ratified the Kyoto Protocol.
  • Section 4.3 (LULUCF Projects) is relevant to all
    countries that will undertake projects under the
    Articles 6 or 12 of the Kyoto Protocol.

57
Policy Relevance
  • some issues remain under consideration for some
    emission/removal categories are put in the
    appendix
  • harvested wood products (the material provided is
    in an appendix rather than part of the main text,
    since SBSTA is still considering this issue)
  • Settlements and wetlands are land-use categories
    for which limited methodological guidance was
    provided in the IPCC Guidelines, but a great deal
    of scientific work has been done since GL96.
  • This applies also to non-CO2 emissions from
    drainage and rewetting of forests soils.

58
Policy Relevance
  • Countries do not have to prepare estimates for
    categories contained in appendices, although they
    can do so if they desire.
  • The IPCC Guidelines do not explicitly include
    losses from natural disturbances in managed
    forests (omitting the effect of these
    disturbances would overestimate C uptakes). GPG
    therefore provides guidance on how to account for
    them.
  • For Kyoto Protocol reporting, Chapter 4 is
    intended to provide policy-neutral scientific
    operationalisation of the COP7 agreement in terms
    of annual reporting.

59
Conclusions
60
Steps in LULUCF inventory preparation
  1. Use the 3 approaches (Chapter 2) to estimate land
    areas for each land-use category relevant to your
    country
  2. Follow the good practice guidance (Chapter 3) to
    estimate the emissions and removals of GHGs for
    each land use, land-use change and pool relevant
    to your country. Perform key category analysis.
    If necessary collect additional data to improve
    data quality.
  3. Estimate uncertainties, report emissions/removals,
    and implement Quality assurance/quality control
    procedures (Chapter 5).
  4. (if required prepare supplementary information
    for Kyoto Protocol reporting (follow Chapter 4))

61
Conclusions
  • it is through good practice guidance and
    uncertainty management that a sound basis can be
    provided to produce more reliable estimates of
    the magnitude of absolute and trend uncertainties
    in GHG inventories than has been achieved
    previously
  • whatever the level of complexity of the
    inventory, good practice provides improved
    understanding of how uncertainties may be managed
    to produce emissions estimates that are
    acceptable for the purposes of the UNFCCC (i.e.
    transparency, consistency, comparability,
    completeness and accuracy in inventories), and
    for the scientific work associated with GHG
    inventories.

62
Conclusions
  • The development of Good Practice Guidance for
    LULUCF is a step in the IPCCs on-going programme
    of inventory development and will also support
    future revisions of the IPCC Guidelines
    themselves.

63
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