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Chapter 7 Revealed Preference

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Title: Chapter 7 Revealed Preference


1
  • Chapter 7 Revealed Preference
  • Before, from w to choice, now from choice to a
    rational preference w (this has policy content
    household, university)
  • Some maintained assumptions
  • A1 The consumers preferences are stable over
    the time period for which we observe his/her
    choice behaviors.
  • A2 There exists a unique demanded bundle for
    each budget set (strict convexity).

2
  • Def If (x1, x2) is chosen at (p1, p2, m), (y1,
    y2)? (x1, x2) and p1y1p2 y2m, then (x1, x2) is
    directly revealed preferred to (y1, y2). Denote
    this by (x1, x2) d (y1, y2).
  • Note that revealed preferred is solely about
    choices though choices are related to
    preferences.
  • A3 The consumer is always choosing the best
    s\he can afford (model of behavior).

3
Fig. 7.1
4
  • From revealed preference (d) to preference (w)
    Suppose (x1, x2) is directly revealed preferred
    to (y1, y2) and the consumer is choosing the best
    s\he can afford, then (x1, x2) s (y1, y2).
  • Def If (x1, x2) d (y1, y2) and (y1, y2) d (z1,
    z2), then we say that (x1, x2) is indirectly
    revealed preferred to (z1, z2). Denote this by
    (x1, x2) id (z1, z2). Allow indirect revealed
    preference for chains of observed choices
    longer than 3.

5
Fig. 7.2
6
  • Def If either (x1, x2) d (y1, y2) or (x1, x2) id
    (y1, y2), we say (x1, x2) is revealed preferred
    to (y1, y2). Denote this by (x1, x2) r (y1, y2).
  • Give an example to recover preferences.
  • We now question A3 (the idea is A1 and A2 are
    OK). How do we know whether the consumer is
    maximizing if we only observe choices?

7
Fig. 7.3
8
  • The weak axiom of revealed preference (WARP) if
    (x1, x2) d (y1, y2), then it cannot happen that
    (y1, y2) d (x1, x2). (draw) (WARP is a weak and
    logical implication of consumers maximizing
    behaviors)
  • An example

9
Fig. 7.4
10
obs p1 p2 x1 x2
1 1 2 1 2
2 2 1 2 1
3 1 1 2 2
11
Bundles
1 2 3
Prices 1 5 4 6
2 4 5 6
3 3 3 4
12
  • The strong axiom of revealed preference (SARP)
    if (x1, x2) r (y1, y2) and (x1, x2)? (y1, y2),
    then it cannot happen that (y1, y2) r (x1, x2).
    (SARP is a necessary and sufficient condition for
    optimizing behavior, but the proof is beyond the
    scope of this course.) (If choices satisfy SARP,
    then we can construct preferences for which the
    observed behavior is optimizing.)

13
bundles
1 2 3
1 20 10 22()
prices 2 21() 20 15
3 9 15() 10
14
  • Index numbers
  • Compare the consumption bundles of a consumer at
    two different times. Let b stand for the base
    period, t some other period.
  • At t prices (p1t, p2t), consumption (x1t, x2t)
  • At b prices (p1b, p2b), consumption (x1b, x2b)

15
  • Quantity index compare the average consumption
    of these two periods, naturally could use the
    prices to be the weights
  • Laspeyres quantity index (use base price)
    Lq(p1b x1t p2b x2t)/(p1b x1b p2b x2b), if
    Lqlt1, at base price, base is chosen over t, so
    better off at base than at t (Lqgt1?)
  • Paasche quantity index (use t price) Pq(p1t x1t
    p2t x2t)/(p1t x1b p2t x2b), if Pqgt1, at t
    price, t is chosen over base, so better off at t
    than at base (Pqlt1?)

16
  • Price index compare the average price of these
    two periods, naturally could use the quantities
    to be the weights
  • Laspeyres price index (use base q) Lp(p1t x1b
    p2t x2b)/(p1b x1b p2b x2b), if Lplt1 (says
    nothing since prices different)
  • Paasche price index (use t q) Pp(p1t x1t p2t
    x2t)/(p1b x1t p2b x2t)

17
  • Define a new index of the change in total
    expenditure M(p1t x1t p2t x2t)/(p1b x1b p2b
    x2b).
  • LpltM p1t x1b p2t x2b ltp1t x1t p2t x2t, t
    period is better than base (intuitively, when
    income grows faster than prices, better off after
    this change)
  • PpgtM p1b x1b p2b x2bgt p1b x1t p2b x2t, base
    is better than t (intuitively, when prices grow
    faster than income, worse off)

18
  • Social security indexing so that base
    consumption is still affordable, then t cannot be
    worse than base

19
Fig. 7.6
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