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Fall Remarks 2008

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Title: Fall Remarks 2008


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Spring Remarks 2009 Anything interesting happen
in the past 365 days?
5
Stock Market
  • DJIA 12,099 on 01-20-08 8,742 on
    01-08-09 (8,281 on 1-16-09)
  • That's a 27.7 loss from 1-20-08 to 1-08-09. And,
    a 5.27 drop during the past week.
  • Essentially, Carroll's endowment mirrors the
    market.

6
Collapse of Industry Icons
  • 85-year-old Bear Stearns
  • 158-year-old Lehman Brothers
  • AIG
  • Merrill Lynch
  • Wachovia
  • . . . and the list goes on.

7
Jobless Rates
  • 524,000 lost in December
  • 2.6 million in 2008
  • Unemployment rate at 7.2 (highest since 1993)

8
State Budget Deficit
  • 2.5 billion for FY 2008.
  • 5.4 billion going into the next biennium.
  • Relative to population or state income, Wisconsin
    has the largest GAAP deficit of all 50 states.

9
Business Closings in Wisconsin
  • General Motors Plant in Janesville
  • Domtar paper mill in Port Edwards
  • NewPage paper mill in Kimberley
  • Harley Davidson is cutting more than 700
    positions

10
Midwest Housing Sales
  • Down 16.0 compared to 2007
  • Midwest sales price of existing homes Down 11.2
    compared to 2007

11
In Higher Education
  • 20 of private schools had fewer students return
    to campus this past fall
  • 75 say demand is up for financial aid

12
What Do These Circumstances Have In Common?
  • Stock Market
  • Collapse of Industry Icons
  • Jobless Rates
  • State Budget Deficit
  • Business Closings in Wisconsin
  • Midwest Housing Sales
  • In Higher Education

13
"Things" Done to Us!
14
A. Paul Jones Scholars Hall
15
Dennis Punches Track and Field Complex
16
Sneeden House
17
The MDR
18
The PIT
19
Second Cup
20
Pioneer Hall
21
What Do These Facilities Have In Common?
  • A. Paul Jones Scholars Hall
  • Dennis Punches Track and Field Complex
  • Sneeden House
  • The MDR
  • The PIT
  • Second Cup
  • Pioneer Hall

22
"Things" Done for Us!
23
Waukesha School District
  • Carroll University "2008 Most Valuable Partner"
  • Horizontes en Carroll pre-college program
  • Congrats to Dolores Brown

24
Helen Bader Foundation Grant
  • 50,000 to Carroll
  • Service-learning from Waukesha's Older Adults
  • Congrats to Jane Hopp, Ed Maher, Sara Deprey, Tom
    Pahnke and Cherie Swenson

25
American Chemical Society
  • Carroll's student affiliate chapter recognized
    for outstanding performance.
  • Only 40 out of 330 nationwide received this
    honor.
  • Congrats to chemistry faculty/staff, especially
    our talented students.

26
Physical Therapy Pass Rates
  • 12th straight year of record first-time pass
    rates.
  • First-time pass rate is 24/2789.
  • Overall pass rate for the class of 2008 is 100.
  • The national mean for first-time pass rate86.
  • Carroll physical therapy graduates have never
    been below national mean for pass rates.
  • Congrats to Mark Erickson, Sara Deprey, Ed Maher,
    Tom Pahnke and Kathy Shields.

27
Voorhees Hall
28
Student Success Initiative "Utilizing a
High-Tech, High-Touch Solution to Retain
Vulnerable Students"
29
Retaining current students is as important to the
business model of higher education as is
enrolling first-time students
  • Students who persist are much more likely to earn
    an undergraduate degree than students who
    transfer to another institution.
  • Institutions with a creditable retention rate
    (percentage of first-year students who become
    sophomores) are much more highly regarded.
  • Students who leave do so because their
    expectations were not met.
  • Retaining current students allows the freedom and
    flexibility to target new prospects more
    effectively and selectively.
  • It costs less to retain current students.
  • Retained students carry as much financial value
    to the bottom line as do newly minted first-year
    students.

30
Project Goals
  • Develop and refine the role and responsibilities
    of a newly created position, Director for Student
    Success.
  • Provide a seamless integration of the retention
    initiative into the existing enrollment
    management infrastructure and the campus culture.
  • Work with a technology partner to identify
    critical variables and develop a software product
    compatible with existing campus technology
    infrastructure that alerts the campus to students
    at risk for leaving school.
  • Develop educational materials, intervention
    strategies, instructional protocols and a
    training site for institutions interested in
    implementing the retention program on their
    campus.

31
Constructing the Alert System
  • After careful analyses, we were able to identify
    key data elements that predict with a good deal
    of accuracy students who were at risk to leave
    Carroll.
  • Our reporting tools enabled us to produce a
    series of customizable reports that were used to
    identify at-risk students.
  • Examples of the data elements include, but are
    not limited to missed class, poor grades,
    difficulty with a roommate, and other factors
    shown in our analyses to predict a student's
    choice to leave school.

32
Applying the Model
  • The model runs nightly on every student in the
    cohort and calculates a score that is then
    converted into a category.

33
Table 1
34
Table 2
35
Intervening with At-Risk Students
  • During the 2008 fall semester, the director
    received more than 525 alerts.

36
Tallying the Results
I am pleased to report the following
  • During the fall 2008 semester, the Director of
    Student Success initiated 413 interventions.
    Seventy-one interventions were resolved. Of the
    71 interventions, 18 students withdrew and 53, or
    75, are registered for the spring semester.
  • The retention rate (FA08 to SP09) for full-time
    undergraduate students is predicted to be at
    91.8. This compares to a four-year range of
    89.7-92.5. This current projection is well
    within the four-year range and above the rolling
    average of 91.1.
  • The retention rate (FA08 to SP09) for full-time
    freshmen is predicted to be at 92.5. This
    compares to a four-year range of 87.3-91.8. This
    current projection is above the four-year range
    and well above the rolling average of 89.8.

37
Enrollment Status
  • We hit first-year student target for Fall 2008.
  • Fall to spring retention is within range of past
    few years.
  • At present, applications and confirmations for
    fall 2009 are running steady when compared to
    last year.
  • Annual Fund is running 1 ahead of last year at
    this time.

38
What Do These Stories Have In Common?
  • Waukesha School District
  • Helen Bader Foundation Grant
  • American Chemical Society
  • PT Pass Rates
  • Voorhees Hall
  • Student Success Initiative
  • Enrollment Update

39
"Things" Done by Us!
40
So, Whats the Message?
  • Consider our circumstances and take assertive
    steps to control our destiny.
  • Move forward wisely with guarded optimism.
  • Now is the time to be creative and take advantage
    of opportunity.
  • Remember that we are in this together.
  • Be mindful of our mission in all that we do.

41
Steps to Take and/or Consider
  • Cease dependence on draw from endowment.
  • Develop a sensible and responsible pay plan.
  • Pursue partnerships (i.e. corporate, educational,
    etc.).
  • Recognize factors that attract and retain
    students (i.e. first rate faculty and staff,
    excellent spaces and facilities, responsive
    campus community, etc.)
  • Continue to put students first (i.e. residency
    requirement, student success initiative,
    scholarships, student emergency fund, etc.).
  • Strengthen academic initiatives (i.e. general
    education program, international programs,
    graduate programs, etc.).
  • Capitalize on our appeal (i.e. fund raising,
    acquisition of external funds, etc.).
  • Take care of the place as if it were our
    own---because it is!
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