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USGS Global Change Science National Climate Change

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... Climate Change & Wildlife Science Center and SE Regional Hub ... SE Regional ... SE Regional Science Hub Pilot. Staffing. Science lead/coordinator ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: USGS Global Change Science National Climate Change


1
USGS Global Change ScienceNational Climate
Change Wildlife Science Center and SE Regional
Hub
  • Sonya Jones
  • USGS Southeast Area
  • NIDIS Planning Meeting
  • July 21-22, 2009
  • Chapel Hill, NC

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological
Survey
http//nccw.usgs.gov/
2
USGS Global Change Science Development
  • National Climate Change and Wildlife Science
    Center (NCCWSC) A partnership to sustain fish
    wildlife communities in natural systems
  • Climate Effects Network A vision for a national
    climate early-warning system
  • Carbon Sequestration Geological and biological
    approaches to understanding the fluxes,
    sequestration and impacts on human and natural
    systems

3
Partner Listening Sessions
  • National Meeting December 2008
  • North American Wildlife and Natural Resources
    Conference March 2009
  • Eastern Region May 2009
  • Central Region June 2009
  • Western Region June 2009
  • National Meeting July 2009

4
National Climate Change Wildlife Science Center
  • A partnership to sustain fish wildlife
    communities
  • Forecasts fish wildlife change through
  • Down-scaled climate models and derivative
    products
  • Integration with ecological habitat models
  • Defining population and habitat responses at
    appropriate scales
  • Developing response options in an adaptive
    monitoring framework
  • Joint decision-making with Federal, State and NGO
    communities
  • National and regional focus on adaptation/impacts

5
National Climate Change Wildlife Science Center
Regional Climate Science Hubs
Oversight Boards
NCCWSC
  • Down-scaling of GCMs
  • Regional Response
  • - Eco Population Models
  • Forecasting
  • Science
  • Decision-making
  • National Syntheses
  • Standardized Approaches
  • New Science Methodologies
  • Communication

NEON
National Partnerships
Adaptive Application Partnerships
RISA
USDA
  • GIS Models
  • Species/habitat assessment
  • Adaptive Mgmt monitoring
  • Feedback
  • Carbon Cycling (?)

NASA
NPN
CEN
6
NCCWSC Priorities
  • Analyses of climate information and derivative
    products
  • Forecasts of fish and wildlife population and
    habitat change in response to climate change
  • Integration of physical climate information with
    ecological and habitat response models
  • Standardized approaches to facilitate linking
    existing monitoring to climate models and
    ecological and biological response models
  • Communication - sharing information across
    Regional Hubs and making science products
    available to natural resource managers

7
NCCWSC APPROACH
NCCWSC National Office
8
Regional Climate Science Hubs
Partnerships are key
  • Cover the Nation (7or 8)
  • Science-based
  • University hosted
  • Ecological political
  • boundaries
  • Self-generating
  • Covering multiple AAPs/LCCs

9
Regional Climate Science Hubs
  • Downscaled climate information linked with
    ecological/biological response models at scales
    that help managers develop effective adaptive
    management strategies
  • Regional response modeling and forecasting of
    fish and wildlife population and habitat change
    in response to climate change
  • Derivative products - that link biological and
    ecological response variables with physical
    forcing factors (e.g. temperature and
    precipitation)
  • Modeling possible response scenarios for managers
    to use in an adaptive management framework

10
Adaptive Application Partnerships
  • Four to six per Hub
  • Landscape/geography-based
  • Partnership-led
  • Regional Climate Science Hub Outputs
  • Combination of expression w/other landscape
    drivers
  • Geographic expression of ecological habitat
    nodes from RCSHs at management scales
  • Priority management goals and time frames

11
Adaptive Application Partnerships
  • USGS Commitments
  • Research Modeling
  • Adaptive response forecasts including other
    drivers
  • Monitoring protocols
  • USGS Benefits
  • Strengthening RCSH output
  • Builds traditional strengths
  • Partners with other expertise
  • Leverages resources
  • Feeds CEN other monitoring needs

12
SE Regional Science Hub Pilot
  • Demonstration project integrates climate change
    science with habitat and species response models
    to assess impacts on avian and aquatic species
  • Cast predictive models calibrated from data
    gathered during recent decades
  • NOAA Climate data
  • Remote sensing data
  • USGS - BBS MAPS data
  • Downscaled climate models
  • Watershed modeling

13
SE Regional Science Hub Pilot
  • Regional probabilistic projections of climate
    change to support all projects
  • Regional probabilistic projections of landuse
    change to support all projects
  • Pilot Projects
  • Ecological models to project impacts to avian and
    aquatic species (SAMBI and ACF basin)
  • Sea-level rise impacts on coastal fish and
    wildlife (AL MS)
  • Integrate terrestrial and aquatic habitat
    conservation

14
SE Regional Science Hub Pilot
  • Staffing
  • Science lead/coordinator
  • climate modeler
  • Ecological/habitat modeler
  • data management/support
  • Location
  • University TBD after RFI
  • Products
  • Regional climate models
  • Regional land use change models
  • Regional ecological models
  • Data management
  • Integration with AAPs
  • Ecoregionally based teams responsible for finer
    scale biological planning and conservation design
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