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How KNMI meteorologists work with meteorological information systems

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Weather room. Different types of forecasts/forecasters ... Forecast to ten days at 40 km resolution (high-resolution model) Added value of. a forecaster? ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: How KNMI meteorologists work with meteorological information systems


1
How KNMI meteorologists work with meteorological
information systems
Jos Diepeveen forecaster Central Weather room De
Bilt
2
Overview
  • Weather room
  • Different types of forecasts/forecasters
  • Example of 2 types of forecasts with a link to
    GIS.
  • Short demonstration of Meteorological Workstation

3
General forecaster Maritime forecasterAviation
forecaster
Central weather room De Bilt
4
Forecasts have different scales in time and space
  • 0-18 hrs ? NOWCASTING
  • 18-48 hrs ? Short term Forecasting
  • 48-240 hrs ? Long term forecasting

Working methods and added value of forecaster is
very dependent of timescale.
5
Long term forecasting (48-240 hrs)
  • Looking at large scale flow patterns
  • Forecast to ten days at 40 km resolution
    (high-resolution model)
  • Added value of
  • a forecaster?


6
Long term forecasting (48-240 hrs)
  • Ensemble prediction system

7
Short term forecasting 18-48 hrs
  • Use of Local area models (HiRLAM) resolution
    11/22 km

8
Short term forecasting 18-48 hrs
  • Regional differences can be made
  • Added value of a forecaster?

9
Nowcasting (0-18 hrs)
  • High resolution local area models
  • Radar/Satellite/Ground observations
  • Added value of a forecaster.

NWP models Observations
End Production
forecaster
Workstation
10
Nowcasting (0-18 hr)
  • Combination of Sat-observations and modelfields
    to verify the numerical model.

11
Nowcasting (0-18 hr)
12
Nowcasting (0-18 hr)
  • Combination of ground-observations and
    modelfields to verify the numerical model.

13
Nowcasting (0-18 hr)
  • Marking of important meteorological items. Quite
    often using of simple linear extrapolation.
    Finescale structures are usually not caught by
    the numerical model

Radar (loop)
14
Example of 2 types of forecasts with a link to
GIS.
  • Downscaling
  • Chemical calamities

15
Downscaling
  • Highest resolution of Hirlam model 11 km
  • Flightplanning on e.g. Airports (sometimes) needs
    finer scale
  • Downscaling is bases on simple model of the
    Planet Boundary layer and on the use of high
    resolution topographical information of surface
    roughness derived from GIS datasets

16
Downscaling
Model wind (10m)
Downscaling wind
17
Downscaling
Windprofiles for runways on Amsterdam airport
http//oper.knmi.nl/downscaling
18
Chemical calamities vs GIS
  • In case of a chemical calamity KNMI provides
    meteorological information on a interactive
    internet portal of the responsible ministry of
    environment.
  • Calculation of dispersion is made and combined
    with an advanced GIS functionality

19
(No Transcript)
20
Short Demonstration of Meteorological Work Station
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