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Understanding the FX Puzzle

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Title: Understanding the FX Puzzle


1
Wells Fargo Foreign Exchange
Carine Gursky FX Specialist carine.p.gursky_at_wellsf
argo.com 800-788 3132
2
FX has the Largest Markets
Worldwide Stock Markets Total per
year 18,000,000,000,000 (18 Trillion)
Source NASDAQ Foreign Exchange Totals Total
per year 360,000,000,000,000 (360 Trillion)
20x
3
The FX Markets Never Sleep
When it is 3pm on a Monday in the U.S.
Yen traders are arriving atTokyo
4
EUR moved 17 over last 12 months
5
JPY moved 12 over last 12 months
6
What Happens When You Dont Manage FX
7
Protect The Value of Your USD
3 things you can do to minimize FX risk to your
business
  • If you buy from overseas, request your invoice in
    both currencies.
  • ? Pay your supplier in the cheaper currency

8
Protect The Value of Your USD (cont.)
  • Save time by managing your foreign exposure
    online
  • ? Check live exchange rates online
  • ? Execute standing orders in case the market
    moves in your favor
  • ? Handle your foreign exchange payments when
    most convenient for you, 24/7

9
Protect The Value of Your USD (cont.)
  • For large amounts payable in the future, lock
    in exchange rates today that can be used to
    assure their value tomorrow.
  • ? Forward Contract
  • ? Options Contract

10
Forward Contract
It is the right and the obligation
  • Contractual agreement to use todays rate of
    exchange for a future payment
  • Value date is anywhere from 3 days to 365 days in
    the future
  • No settlement of US dollars until future date
  • There is no premium to enter into a Forward
    Contract

11
Forward Contract
Example
  • Wineco importer imports wine from France.
  • They have just negotiated the price of a
    container of wine at 320,000 EUR. The wine will
    be shipped via container and will arrive in 3
    months.
  • The bill is payable upon the container arriving
    at the port.
  • Forward Contract Wineco can lock-in todays
    exchange rate for 3 months with a forward
    contract. No dollars are exchanged until his
    payable is due.
  • The rate will not fluctuate once its locked-in,
    and the importer can price his cases for
    distribution without fear that his costs will
    change.

12
Options Contract
It is the right but not the obligation
  • Contractual agreement to purchase the right, but
    not the obligation, to use a predetermined
    exchange rate for a future payment
  • Value date is anywhere from 3 days to 365 days in
    the future
  • There is sometimes a premium
  • No cost options contracts can also be structured

13
Options Contract
Example
  • Wineco importer imports wine from France.
  • They have just negotiated the price of a
    container of wine at 320,000 EUR. The wine will
    be shipped via container and will arrive in 3
    months.
  • The bill is payable upon the container arriving
    at the port.
  • Vanilla Options Contract Wineco can purchase
    the option to use a guaranteed exchange rate.
  • If the market moves in his favor, Wineco is not
    obligated to use the option.
  • If the market moves against him, Wineco is
    protected with the option.
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