Title: Third International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts and implications for policy and decision-making
1Third International Seville Conference
onFuture-Oriented Technology Analysis
(FTA)Impacts and implications for policy and
decision-making
16th- 17th October 2008
Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
Augusta Maria Paci Maria Stella Chiacchio
ITIA-CNR
2Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
Rationale
- FTA in research and innovation is the relevant
process for planning collaborative development of
future industrial technologies. - New approach to technology foresight coupled
with the roadmapping and impact assessment for
implementation. - The Rolling programme method to bring RI forward
processing multiple inputs from multiple
stakeholders to produce a unique common direction
for multiple stakeholders serving as a new input
for action.
3Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
Rolling Programme FRIM cycle
Foresight demand driven process for future
technologies with attractiveness and feasibility
analysis.
Roadmapping open process for screening and
planning of the RTD prioritization of next
generation technologies with feasibility and
traceability of industrial expected impacts by
time horizons.
Implementation the process towards consistency
of efforts for stakeholders interventions. Plans
of priorities to minimizing threats, maximizing
opportunities and reducing risks for new HAV
products/services, processes and business models.
Monitoring the assessment and evaluation process
towards innovation knowledge capture and CBA.
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Technologies
Rolling Programme visibility
Rolling Programme ensures through Knowledge
Management for Innovation effectiveness,
efficiency and consistency to futuring-oriented
technologies for production systems emerging
paradigms. The goal is to track and make the end
to end visibility of the advancements towards
turning knowledge into innovation.
5Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
The empirical study Impact assessment
- The autonomous study Transectoral technologies
impact on sectors, carried on by EPPLab in the
FP6 SSA Leadership project, deals with - RTD pre-competitive areas analyzing the
industrial expected impact at European level - Industrial targets of innovation of 25
manufacturing sectors that are analyzed with
regard to the futuring expected impact of 49 RTD
areas - the synthetic Impact view that is in the
Initial Impact Matrix consistent with the
ManuFuture reference model.
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Technologies
Empirical study Initial Impact Matrix
temporal distribution of sectors innovation
6 ManuFuture SRA Pillars
Interested Sectors
- Main results
- the cross-referenced demand driven
prioritization of RTD areas - 100 top topics for Call Topics for the
Stakeholders and for the European Commission
multi-annual planning in the FP7 Programme 4.3
New Production.
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Technologies
Application of demand driven Futuring Model
Demand driven
FRIM cycle
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Technologies
Empirical study Operative method flow
INFORMATION ANALYSIS of sectoral Roadmaps
EXTRACTION
Sectors targets
- Focus on
- sectors HVA targets
- Time horizon
- multi-sectoral perspective
- multi-technological perspective.
CATCHING
Sectors targets content and time horizon
RELATIONSHIP
- Macro areas and sectors, giving
- Traceability of transectoral macro areas
- by the multiple sectors demand
- Visibility of time horizon
- Prioritization of macro areas.
SCOPE
RESULTS
- Hierarchy of precompetitive
- innovation needs
- A transectoral technology need
- A multisectoral need
- A sector need
- Initial Impact matrix
- Twofold view matrix
9Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
Development of FTA in research and innovation
Empirical Study twofold view
RESEARCH (RTD Macro area) INNOVATION (Sector)
Focus Technological driver Innovation driver
Relation 1 macro area n sectors 1 sector n macro areas
RESULTS
Assess Multi-sectoral impact of RTD areas Impact of transectoral technologies at sector level
Trace Transectoral feature RD direction of sector innovation
Identify time distribution Time distribution of macroareas Time distribution of sector innovation
Prioritize Macro areas (Common and advanced) Transectoral technologies at sector level
Show the perspective Multi-sectoral Multi-technological
10Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
FTA in research example of RTD Macro Area view
Offer RTD Macro area
Indirect element Traceability Expected impact
(grey color)
Demand 25 Sectors
Direct element Time horizon Continuous need
Indirect element Traceability No expected impact
(white color)
11Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
FTA in research and innovation for policy and
decision making
- The empirical study
- supports European stakeholders, researchers,
Industries and Policy Bodies at multilevel for
competitiveness and sustainability to develop new
capabilities to generate anticipatory initiatives
that require impact assessment analysis to
understand the entire transformation process. - contributes to the direct involvement of
stakeholders on planning and coordinating future
actions in terms of RD programmes, competitive
calls and funded projects. - responds to the need of Sound Intelligence
support already envisaged by CREST Multilevel
Policies Report, 2007.
12Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
Conclusions a new futuring context
A new futuring context for research and
innovation requires
- to build an open environment networking
industrial research and innovation communities - to develop new foresight method - from a linear
to a complex approach - to respond to the
increasingly complex, interdependent and
uncertain realms of todays business and policy
strategy in the Knowledge economy - to create a value upstream through availability
of existing competences and of sound directions - to support FTA for Industrial Research with the
rolling programme.
This is the new futuring context of research and
industry stakeholders to operate more effectively
and to proceed faster toward the common goal.
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Technologies
Acknowledgments
The authors are pleased to acknowledge Mr. Andrea
Gentili, Coordinator for the European Commission
of the ManuFuture Platform, and Mr. Jyrki
Suominen, Scientific Officer of European
Commission and Project Officer of Leadership
project, for their precious collaboration and
suggestions. Acknowledgements are also due to
ManuFuture European Technology Platform, to
ManuFuture National Technological Platforms and
to the Leadership Consortium. A particular
appreciation is to industrial key opinion leaders
of about 120 companies and to roadmappers of
research organizations involved in the
roadmapping activity of the Leadership project.
14Futuring the changing world for Industrial
Technologies
Augusta Maria Paci EPPLab Responsible Maria
Stella Chiacchio doctoral student in Economic and
Management Engineering at Tor Vergata
University in Rome EPPLab of ITIA-CNR (Consiglio
Nazionale delle Ricerche) Via dei Taurini,
19 00185 Rome, Italy 39 06 4993
7870 maria.chiacchio_at_itia.cnr.it