Calgary: Taking Modeling in a Different Direction

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CalgaryTaking Modeling in a Different Direction
21st International Emme Users Conference 2007
October 10-12
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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1971
1964

• 1964
• First RTM Built in 1964
• Conventional 4 Step Model
• Sub area models for detailed work
• 1971 1991
• Regular Updates

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1971

• 1991
• Key Management Decision
• Strategic Plan was upcoming
• Key Partnerships formed
• University of Calgary
• City of Edmonton

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1995
1971

• 1995
• Go Plan is completed
• Long Range Transportation Plan

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1995
1971
1998

• 1998
• Stakeholder sessions

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1995
1971
1998

• 1998
• Stakeholder sessions
• 3 year Budget Planning
• Model describe as an asset

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1995
1999
1971
1998

• 1999
• Provincial Decision on Fuel Tax
• 5 cents per litre returned to Calgary and
  Edmonton
• Funds could used for planning as it relates to
  infrastructure
• Provided stable funding for model
• Data collection
• Consulting

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1995
1999
1971
1998

• Framework for RTM
• Personal Travel Model
• Commercial Vehicle Model
• Emissions Post Processor
• Added Detail
• Increase the scope of projects

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
1991
1995
1999
2001
2003
1971
1998
2000
2002

• 2000-2001 Data Collection for 2001 RTM
• 2001-2002 Data Analysis Network Development
• 2002-2003 Calibration Validation of the 2001
  RTM

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
MISSION
We plan, design, build, operate and maintain
travel behaviour models and interpret the results
to support planning for the land use, transport,
air quality and economic needs and well being of
Calgary and the surrounding region.
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City of Calgary Forecasting Division
Dianne Atkins Manager
Model Maintenance Enhancement Peter Grubor
Projects/Requests Ken Lindmark
Model Devt . Process Improvement Paul McMillan
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Transportation Modeling In Calgary

• We answer approximately 200 - 300 requests for
  forecasts per year
• Cost recovery for Staff time on development
  related requests

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary

• Standard Forecast Series
• 8 Forecast Horizons
• 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2035
• Long Range Scenario
• consistent project results
• Assumptions well documented and available to
  clients via web

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
Primary RTM Applications
Primary Customers
Strategic City/Region-wide Policy Plans
Sector level 10 Yr Capital Plan build what?
when? Road Design functional TIA site
level
Trans Dept ?LU Plng Province Consultants
Region emerging
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Transportation Modeling In Calgary

• External Partnerships
• U of C, City of Edmonton, Province, U of A
• Internal Partnerships
• Corp. Economics, Geodemographics (Planning)
• Intellectual Property Policy

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary

• Current Efforts
• 2006 Revalidation of RTM
• Tour Based Personal Travel Model

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Proposed Initiatives - Model Development and
Maintenance Plan
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Expert Panel Review

• a best practice model one of the best in
  North America
• never seen a model asked to do so much for so
  many so fast
• excellent and committed staff
• benefit from having built strong ties with
  other City Departments, Edmonton, expert at U of
  C
• visionary leadership and consistent financial
  support

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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
2011
2016
2021
2007
Federal Census
Civic Census
Place of Work Survey
Household Activity / CV Survey
3 yr Budget
Economic Forecasts
Major Studies
???
???
Tr. Plan
External and Internal Cycles
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Transportation Modeling In Calgary
Continuous Data Collection
effort
duration
effort
duration
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Transportation Modeling In Calgary

• Lessons Learned
• Have a Plan
• Talk about it every chance you get
• If your budget proposal fails, try again

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Thank you
We are proud to be part of the Transportation
Planning team and Calgarys future.