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Financial Results 2001

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Title: Financial Results 2001


1
Financial Results 2001
  • 30 January 2002

2
  • It should be noted that certain statements herein
    which are not historical facts, including,
    without limitation those regarding expectations
    for market growth and developments expectations
    for growth and profitability and statements
    preceded by believes, expects, anticipates,
    foresees, or similar expressions, are
    forward-looking statements within the meaning of
    the United States Private Securities Litigation
    Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are
    based on current plans, estimates and
    projections, they involve risks and uncertainties
    which may cause actual results to materially
    differ from those expressed in such
    forward-looking statements. Such factors
    include, but are not limited to(1) operating
    factors such as continued success of
    manufacturing activities and the achievement of
    efficiencies therein, continued success of
    product development, acceptance of new products
    or services by the Groups targeted customers,
    success of the existing and future collaboration
    arrangements, changes in business strategy or
    development plans or targets, changes in the
    degree of protection created by the Groups
    patents and other intellectual property rights,
    the availability of capital on acceptable terms
    (2) industry conditions, such as strength of
    product demand, intensity of competition,
    prevailing and future global market prices for
    the Groups products and the pricing pressures
    thereto, price fluctuations in raw materials,
    financial condition of the customers and the
    competitors of the Group, the potential
    introduction of competing products and
    technologies by competitors and (3) general
    economic conditions, such as rates of economic
    growth in the Groups principal geographic
    markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest
    rates.

3
Contents
  • General Jukka Härmälä
  • IV Quarter 2001 . Jukka Härmälä
  • Year 2001 Jukka Härmälä
  • Product areas Björn Hägglund
  • Outlook Jukka Härmälä

4
Creating Value in the Face ofDifficult Markets
  • Sales growth through Consolidated Papers
  • Earnings per share EUR 0.94
  • Strong cash flow
  • ROCE 10.8, which is above the weighted average
    cost
  • of capital
  • Strong balance sheet debt/equity at 0.53
  • North American synergies amounted to USD 66
    million
  • compared with initially calculated USD 90 million
  • Internal restructuring programmes mainly at
    Imatra and Oulu in Finland and Uetersen in
    Germany limited production

excluding non-recurring items
5
Market-related Impact on Result
  • Year of weak demand
  • Price pressure, especially in North America
  • Customer inventory de-stocking
  • Production adjusted to market demand to prevent
    excess inventories
  • curtailments totalled 1 540 000 tonnes

6
IV Quarter Results
7
IV Quarter versus III Quarter EPS
EUR
excluding non-recurring items
8
Year 2001
9
Earnings Per Share
EUR
excluding non-recurring items
10
Return on Capital Employed

WACC 10before tax
Target gt 13 over the cycle
excluding non-recurring items
11
Debt/Equity
Target lt 0.8
12
Capital Expenditure and Depreciation
Depreciation
Goodwill and impairment amortization
Capital expenditure
Capital expenditure as of sales
MEUR
13
North American Division
  • Integration process succesfully completed
  • Financially, operations remained depressed due to
    the recessionary US economy
  • EBIT excluding goodwill amortisations was USD
    26 million negative, equal to EUR 29 million
  • Operating cash flow (before capital expenditure)
    was USD 210 million equal to EUR 234 million
  • Synergy benefits totalled USD 66 million equal
    toEUR 74 million
  • Initially calculated USD 90 million equal to EUR
    98 millionfor 2001
  • Good achievement in difficult market conditions
    that restricted productivity-related synergy
    gains

14
Share Repurchases
  • 28 March, 2001 2 Jan, 2002
  • Number Of target, Total amount, Average of
    shares EUR million price, EUR
  • Series A 799 400 8.26 9.7 12.06
  • Series R 9 975 000 28.03 116.1 11.63
  • Total 10 774 400 125.8
  • New proposal for AGM for 2002
  • Series A 9 100 000
  • Series R 35 400 000

) No purchases has been made since 2 January
15
Dividend Stable at EUR 0.45
EPS
EUR
Payout ratio
Dividend

) Board Proposal
) excluding non-recurring items
16
Product Areas
17
Operating profit ofmain product areas
  • EUR million I/00 II/00 III/00 IV/00 I/01 II/01 II
    I/01 IV/01
  • Magazine paper 92 91 139 78 114 72 84 77Operating
    profit sales 16 16 19 8 13 9 10 9
  • Newsprint 63 43 81 82 134 126 129 120Operating
    profit sales 15 10 18 17 27 26 27 26
  • Fine paper 151 147 194 198 168 82 71 74Operating
    profit sales 20 19 22 19 16 9 8 9
  • Packaging boards 116 91 131 104 115 90 98 43Opera
    ting profit sales 16 12 17 14 16 13 15 7
  • Timber 24 22 17 11 6 8 3 -3Operating profit
    sales 8 7 6 4 2 3 1 -1

Before goodwill and non-recurring items
18
Magazine paper
Change III/IV
  • EUR million 2000 2001 I/01 II/01 III/01 IV/01
  • Sales 2 818.8 3.449.0 910.2 847.6 831.7 859.5 3.3
  • Operating profit 399.4 346.9 113.6 72.3 83.9 77.1
    -8.1
  • of sales 14.2 10.1 12.5 8.5 10.1 9.0
  • ROOC, 15.5 10.1 12.7 8.0 9.6 9.2
  • Deliveries, 1000 t 3 269 3 871 994 920 967 990 2.4
  • Market-related downtime amounted to 146 000
    tonnes in Europe and 68 000 tonnes in North
    America.
  • Demand in Western Europe and North America
    remained weak despite an almost normal seasonal
    pick-up in catalogue demand.
  • Producer inventories are reported low as a result
    of the production curtailments. Customer
    inventories are likewise reported to be low.
  • Demand is expected to remain unchanged and the
    upturn will be slow. Demand could pick up during
    the second half of 2002 and is conditional on the
    overall development of the economy.

19
Newsprint
Change III/IV
  • EUR million 2000 2001 I/01 II/01 III/01 IV/01
  • Sales 1 766.7 1 933.9 501.7 490.7 471.9 469.6 -0.5
  • Operating profit 268.3 508.8 134.1 125.6 128.7 120
    .4 -6.4
  • of sales 15.2 26.3 26.7 25.6 27.3 25.6
  • ROOC, 19.9 41.4 43.0 41.2 43.3 40.6
  • Deliveries, 1000 t 3 134 3 031 780 755 740 756 2.2
  • Production was curtailed by 88 000 tonnes to
    adjust to weakened demand.
  • The depressed print advertising market has led to
    a further reduction in newsprint demand
    worldwide.
  • Producer inventories in Western Europe have
    shrunk after peaking in autumn. Customer
    inventories are reported to be low.
  • Global newsprint demand is expected to remain
    fairly weak in the beginning of the year. The
    situation could improve later in 2002 provided
    there is no further weakening in the world
    economy.

20
Fine paper
Change III/IV
  • EUR million 2000 2001 I/01 II/01 III/01 IV/01
  • Sales 3 473.2 3 617.5 1 021.3 904.1 838.6 853.5 1.
    8
  • Operating profit 688.8 394.5 167.6 81.9 70.6 74.4
    5.4
  • of sales 19.8 10.9 16.4 9.1 8.4 8.7
  • ROOC, 20.3 9.1 14.9 7.5 6.7 7.2
  • Deliveries, 1000 t 3 151 3 191 857 773 760 801 5.4
  • Market-related production curtailments totalled
    88 000 tonnes in Europe and 42 000 tonnes in
    North America.
  • In Western Europe demand for coated fine paper
    appeared to bottom out during the fourth quarter.
  • A clear seasonal improvement has been seen in
    demand for uncoated fine papers, especially in
    cut size, and price pressure has eased. In Asia,
    demand for uncoated papers has stabilised.
  • On average, order books for coated fine papers
    are still weak but clearly stronger for uncoated
    fine papers.
  • Provided no negative surprises occur in the world
    economy, fine paper demand could pick up during
    the second half of 2002 as a balance is restored
    after de-stocking.

21
Packaging Boards
Change III/IV
  • EUR million 2000 2001 I/01 II/01 III/01 IV/01
  • Sales 2 975.0 2 724.0 701.9 704.2 672.8 645.1 -4
    .1
  • Operating profit 441.3 346.2 115.1 90.2 97.5 43.4
    -55.5
  • of sales 14.8 12.7 16.4 12.8 14.5 6.7
  • ROOC, 15.4 12.8 17.5 13.8 14.6 6.5
  • Deliveries, 1000 t 3 417 2 765 706 728 678 653 -3.
    7
  • Production curtailments resulting from weak
    demand totalled 54 000 tonnes.
  • On the cartonboard market demand remained low but
    the liquid packaging board market was stable.
    Demand for corrugated board strengthened somewhat
    in Finland, and especially in Russia and the
    Baltic States, but stayed weak in Sweden. The
    laminating paper market remained good but in the
    core and coreboard market both demand and prices
    were low.
  • Most of the business areas have seen no growth in
    overall demand since summer 2000 but markets are
    expected to improve during the year 2002.

The first quarter sales figures have been
adjusted by EUR 50.1 million against Group
eliminations.
22
Timber
Change III/IV
  • EUR million 2000 2001 I/01 II/01 III/01 IV/01
  • Sales 1 242.1 1 180.5 307.3 311.8 266.2 295.2 10.9
  • Operating profit 73.3 12.6 5.6 7.9 2.5 -3.4 NM
  • of sales 5.9 1.1 1.8 2.5 0.9 -1.2
  • ROOC, 18.6 3.1 5.7 7.7 2.4 -3.3
  • Deliveries, 1000 t 4 880 4 860 1 242 1 276 1
    082 1 260 16.5
  • The overall market situation remained weak.
    Worldwide, there is no sign of a short-term
    improvement in building or renovation activity
    which would support a significant increase in
    wood consumption. In the second half of 2001 the
    production volume in Europe, North America and
    Japan was drastically reduced, resulting in a
    reasonable market balance for early 2002.
  • Demand will not support full capacity utilisation
    in Europe or North America, and prices will
    remain weak during the first half of 2002. Any
    significant firming of the market is conditional
    on improved prospects for the global economy.

l
23
Outlook
24
Outlook 2002
  • Year 2002 will be challenging
  • Pulp prices are low with no sign as yet of any
    firm recovery
  • Weak demand for coated magazine papers and coated
    fine papers is expected to continue, although
    fine paper appears to have bottomed out during
    the fourth quarter
  • Demand for SC paper and uncoated fine paper
    should remain stable
  • Demand for newsprint will remain fairly weak in
    Europe and North America
  • Packaging board markets are likely to stay rather
    stable
  • Timber markets will continue weak, although a
    slight improvement in prices has recently been
    seen
  • Market sensitivity has increased as production
    curtailments and de-stocking have emptied
    inventories
  • Pick-up in demand is conditional on a firm
    improvement in the global economy
  • Stora Enso will continue to adjust production to
    market demand

25
Stora Ensos strengths
  • Once demand improves Stora Enso will be in a
    position to benefit from the full effects of
  • Streamlined structure and organisation
  • Strong balance sheet
  • enabling future restructuring and growth
  • share buy-back programmes
  • Efficiency and synergy programmes
  • Capacity management
  • Extensive restructuring and rebuild projects
    implemented in recent years

26
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27
Additional
28
Sales
MEUR
29
Operating profit
MEUR
excluding non-recurring items
30
Key ratios well in line with targets
  • ROCE 10.8 Target gt 13 over the cycle
  • Debt/Equity 0.53 Target 0.8
  • Pay-out ratio 48 Target 1/3 of net profit over
    the cycle
  • Capital Expenditure
  • Target should not exceed the level of
    depreciation
  • EUR 857.1 million vs. depreciation EUR 1 113.3
    million

) Excluding non-recurring items
31
Operating profit by quarter
MEUR
Excluding non-recurring items
32
EPS by quarter
EUR
Excluding non-recurring items
33
Dividend proposal
  • Dividend proposal EUR 0.45
  • Payout ratio 48 excl. non-recurring items
  • Total dividend payment about EUR 404 million(897
    million shares)
  • Dividend yield (EUR 13.83) 3.3
  • Record date 22 March, 2001
  • Dividend will be paid on 5 April, 2001

34
Synergies 2001 from Acquisition ofConsolidated
Papers
  • USD million Estimate Actual
  • Best practices 50 58
  • Production efficiency
  • Cost savings
  • Optimization of sales and logistics 30 3
  • Access to best distributionchannels in USA
  • European imports andPort Hawkesbury
  • Purchasing 10 5
  • 90 66

35
Market-related curtailments in 2001
  •  000 tonnes Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Total
  • Magazine Papers
  • Europe 0 75 110 146 331
  • North America 30 61 70 68 229
  • 30 136 180 214 560
  • Newsprint
  • Europe 0 0 42 88 130
  • Fine Paper
  • Europe 99 93 223 88 503
  • North America 36 63 26 42 167
  • 135 156 249 130 670
  • Packaging Boards 40 50 36 54 180
  • Total 205 342 507 485 1540
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