December Meeting Outcomes - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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December Meeting Outcomes

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December Meeting Outcomes – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: December Meeting Outcomes


1
December Meeting Outcomes
Implied probability
0.0 - 0.25
Employment Report (Oct) Wholesale Trade (Sept)
0.50
0.75
2
January Meeting Outcomes
Implied probability
0.0 - 0.25
Employment Report (Oct) Wholesale Trade (Sept)
0.50
0.75
3
March Meeting Outcomes
Implied probability
0.0 - 0.25
Employment Report (Oct) Wholesale Trade (Sept)
0.50
0.75
4
Recent Implied Probabilities
Dec outcomes (Jan options) avg target 0-25 50  
11/11/2009 0.150 100.0 0.0  
11/12/2009 0.150 100.0 0.0  
Dec outcomes (Jan options) avg target 0-25 50 75
11/11/2009 0.150 100.0 0.0 0.0
11/12/2009 0.150 100.0 0.0 0.0
January outcomes avg target 0-25 50  
11/11/2009 0.175 95.4 4.6  
11/12/2009 0.165 97.6 2.4  
January outcomes avg target 0-25 50 75
11/11/2009 0.175 97.2 0.0 2.8
11/12/2009 0.165 98.4 0.0 1.6
March outcomes avg target 0-25 50  
11/11/2009 0.210 78.8 21.2  
11/12/2009 0.200 81.0 19.0  
March outcomes avg target 0-25 50 75
11/11/2009 0.210 90.1 0.0 9.9
11/12/2009 0.200 91.3 0.0 8.7
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