Growth%20in%20Cecil%20County

1
Growth in Cecil County

• Population
• Migration, Commuters, Jobs
• Land Use, Planned Growth, Sprawl
• Base Realignment, APG
• Prognosis Priorities

2
Population Change

• Cecil County

3
Total Population in Cecil County, Actual and
Projected
Almost doubles
4
Population Increases, Cecil County, Actual
Projected, by Decade
5
Population Change in Cecil County by Major Age
Groups, 2000-2010
64
23
12
6
Population Change in Cecil County by Major Age
Groups, 2010-2020
23
23
54
7
Population Change in Cecil County by Major Age
Groups, 2020-2030
27
27
45
8
Annual Rate of Population Change in Cecil County,
Actual Projected, by Decade
9
Annual Rate of Total Population Change in
Remainder of Maryland, Actual Projected
10
Migration, Commuters, Jobs

• Cecil County

11
gt1/2 Popn Increase, 90s
12
Net Commutation for Cecil County(In commuters
minus out commuters)
Net Out Commutation increases by nearly 19,000
between 2000 and 2030
Source U.S. Census, U.S. BEA and the Maryland
Department of Planning
13
Annual Rate of Total Job Change in Cecil County,
Actual Projected
14
Land Use,Planned Growth, Sprawl

• Cecil County

15
Growth in Cecil County
Increase
Est. Increase
180
1973 to 2002
2002 to 2030
160
Development
Development
140
159
127
120
Population
100
77
Population
80
61
60
40
20
0
16
(No Transcript)
17
(No Transcript)
18
(No Transcript)
19
(No Transcript)
20
Residential Single Family Sales Above 300,000
(Median) 2002
By Census Tract
21
Residential Single Family Sales Above 300,000
(Median) 2005
By Census Tract
22
Base Re-alignment APG

• Givens
• Transferred military jobs 4,700
• Additional contractual jobs 2 to 3 times
• Estimate total of 10,000 to 12,000
• Questions
• In-commuters?
• Workweek residents?
• Market preferences Cecil / PFAs / NAR / SAR?
• Water/sewer, growth plans, ordinances

23
Prognosis

• Fast growth 2000 2030
• Heavy in-migration aging population
• More out-commuters
• Richer market for development products
• More loss of land than population increase
• Major threat to high quality environment

24
Priorities

• Its all about the market
• Plans/programs for water / sewer, Smart Growth
• Development incentives for diverse, high quality
  communities in planned areas
• Subdivision and development restrictions more
  preservation outside Priority Funding Areas