Defras Horizon Scanning - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Loading...

PPT – Defras Horizon Scanning PowerPoint presentation | free to view - id: 17fa83-ZDc1Z



Loading


The Adobe Flash plugin is needed to view this content

Get the plugin now

View by Category
About This Presentation
Title:

Defras Horizon Scanning

Description:

Defra's Horizon Scanning & Futures Programme. Emily Holmes ... (e.g. MoD Strategic Trends 2030, Countryside 2020, etc) Select a Short List of ~25 Key Studies ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:59
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 27
Provided by: Def268
Category:

less

Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: Defras Horizon Scanning


1
Defras Horizon Scanning Futures Programme
  • Emily Holmes Programme Co-ordinator
  • Rohit Talwar - Programme Manager
  • Horizon Scanning
  • Science Strategy Team
  • emily.holmes_at_defra.gsi.gov.uk
  • rohit.talwar_at_defra.gsi.gov.uk
  • www.escience.defra.gov.uk/horizonscanning
  • Tel 020 7238 1816 / 07973 405 145

2
Contents
  • Programme Overview
  • Activities and Outputs
  • Learning
  • Future Direction
  • Conclusions

3
Defras HS Definition Goals
  • DEFINITION
  • The systematic examination of potential threats,
    opportunities and likely future developments
    which are at the margins of current thinking and
    planning.
  • GOALS New Risks, New Opportunities, New Ideas
  • To improve Defras resilience and capability to
    anticipate and prepare for new risks and
    opportunities
  • Challenge and extend Defras thinking on future
    science and environmental challenges
  • Engage staff from across Defra and encourage high
    quality external contributions

4
Programme Fundamentals
  • Encompass all scientific disciplines
  • Reports to Howard Dalton Chief Scientific
    Advisor
  • Located in the Science Directorates Science
    Strategy Team
  • 2M annual budget
  • 5 current research themes
  • Run by the Horizon Scanning Unit
  • Programme manager
  • Programme co-ordinator
  • Part time research assistant
  • Internal and external project managers
  • Projects specified in consultation with science
    and policy staff across Defra
  • Services delivered by external contractors
  • Independent Advisory Panel

5
HS Programme Roadmap
2004/05 Deliver Outputs / Prove the Value
2005/06 HS Embedded Across Defra
2003/04 Establish the Mechanisms / Initiate
Research
2002-03 Create the Programme Strategy
6
HS Programme Components
7
Contents
  • Programme Overview
  • Activities and Outputs
  • Learning
  • Future Direction
  • Conclusions

8
The Baseline Scan
Develop a Long List of 100 Global Futures
Studies (e.g. MoD Strategic Trends 2030,
Countryside 2020, etc)
Select a Short List of 25 Key Studies (Based on
Credibility / Quality / Relevance)
Support Directorates, Environmental Research
Funders Forum (ERFF) Members and Possibly OGDs
in Interpretation, Evaluation Application
Provide a Web-Based Interface to Support Future
Use / Continuous Update
9
Emerging Findings
  • Climate change
  • Trust
  • Risk
  • Celebrity
  • Governance
  • Ambient intelligence
  • Integration of technologies

10
Research Activity - 1
  • Future Landscapes
  • Development of Models for Sustainable Rural
    Policy and Land Use (SURPLUS) Contract awarded
  • Coping with Threats
  • Scoping study to investigate the potential of
    alternative strategies for national biosecurity
    against introduced diseases, pests and alien
    species Contract awarded
  • Meeting Peoples Future Needs
  • Rural Futures Scenario Creation and Back Casting
  • - Contract awarded
  • Re-thinking the Food Economy
  • Future of the Food Chain joint funding from DoH
    invitation to tender issued

11
Research Activity - 2
  • Environmental Constraints contracts awarded
    for
  • Development of a Virtual Fisheries Model (VFM) to
    be used to test future fisheries management and
    industry scenarios
  • Greenhouse Gas Stabilisation
  • Alternative Scenarios for Marine Ecosystems
  • Impact of Future Energy Policy on Biodiversity
  • The Future of Healthy Ecosystems
  • Integrated Knowledge Management of Environmental
    Datasets for Future Environmental Analysis
  • Future Environmental Effects of Non-Synthetic
    Chemical Use

12
Communications and Networking
  • Arranging meetings with all Directorates to
    explore HS needs
  • Launch of Bi-weekly Horizon Scanning Newsletter
  • Contribution to regular Environmental Scans as
    part of Balanced Scorecard reporting
  • Lunchtime updates on research projects started
    December 18th
  • Seminar programme with external speakers
  • Networking with OGDs programme is well
    supported by OST

13
Immediate Priorities
  • Work with individual Directorates to introduce
    Baseline Scan, identify HS research priorities
    and determine how best to support them
  • Establish Internal HS Forum to guide the
    programme
  • Commission rapid insights studies
  • Broaden communications and networking to raise
    awareness and engage the organisation
  • Initiate HS capacity building and training

14
How can we Help?
  • Continuous scanning
  • Long term studies 612 months duration
  • Rapid insight studies - reports of 20-30 pages in
    length, completed in 6-12 week turnaround
  • HS mini briefings rapid overviews of key topics
    - 2- 4 page briefings completed within 5-10 days
  • Point research 2-4 hour turnaround for ad hoc
    enquiries
  • Tailored services workshops, training, ad hoc
    advice and assistance
  • Networking - Identification of external resources
    and contacts

15
Questions for Directorates
  • How does our work fit with that of your
    Directorate / Function?
  • How would you use the Baseline Scan how can we
    help you in applying it?
  • What forward looking / HS activity has your
    Directorate / Function completed in the last 2
    years or is currently in progress / planned /
    under consideration?
  • How do we provide visibility and encourage
    sharing of the HS work going on across Defra?
  • How best can we support your Directorate /
    Function in factoring longer term thinking into
    strategy, policy and operations?
  • Are there specific HS related training or support
    needs we can help you address?

16
Contents
  • Programme Overview
  • Activities and Outputs
  • Learning
  • Future Direction
  • Conclusions

17
Successes
  • Securing top level buy-in and budget early on
  • SAC / Advisory Group support
  • Creating a real programme
  • Built a passive external network
  • Winning internal credibility
  • Commissioned 15 studies in 6 months
  • Fresh Thinking - Employed a range of partners
  • Support from Management Board and Directors

18
2020 Hindsight
  • Long period of definition and strategising
  • Over-intellectualised decisions
  • Killed too many trees
  • Bored the internal audience
  • Didnt initiate some early research
  • Too risk averse

19
Living with Complexity
  • Fail 65 of the time v Take no risks
  • Challenge the orthodoxy v Gain buy-in
  • Deliver robust evidence v Do it in a page
  • Introduce new ideas v Manage expectations
  • Highlight new challenges v Cant cope as it is

20
Risks
  • Change of heart at the top
  • Budget reduction
  • Lack of buy-in
  • So what response to outputs
  • Loss of momentum
  • Failure of nerve / imagination
  • Over-commit and under-resource
  • Contractors dont deliver

21
Contents
  • Programme Overview
  • Activities and Outputs
  • Learning
  • Future Direction
  • Conclusions

22
Management Board Drivers
  • Managing complexity
  • Joined up thinking
  • Effects based planning / operations e.g. 2020
    home
  • Agility and Innovation
  • Future proofing policy options
  • Creating an information / knowledge hub
  • Facilitate learning network
  • Inform risk management
  • Support opportunity identification / risk taking
  • Share it with ministers

23
Evolving the Model
Trends and Driving Forces e.g. Environmental
Footprints Environmental Technologies Population
Migration
Futures Methods e.g. New Tools and
Processes Complexity Management Futures Research
Techniques
Insight
Approach
IMPACT
Application
Implications
Policy Challenges e.g. Relevance to Strategic
Themes Impact of CAP Reform Managing Medium to
Long Term Risk Impact of Rapid Climate Change
Engagement e.g. Presentation Media Policy
Integration Learning Approaches
24
Defras 5 Strategic Themes
  • Climate Change and Energy
  • Natural Resource Protection
  • Sustainable Consumption and Production
  • Sustainable Rural Communities
  • A Sustainable Food and Farming Sector

25
Contents
  • Programme Overview
  • Activities and Outputs
  • Learning
  • Future Direction
  • Conclusions

26
Conclusions
  • Real learning comes from action
  • Go for early activity to create tangible outputs
  • Help the organisation develop an appetite for HS
  • Leanness encourages creativity
  • Respect the organisations time
  • Be clear on the difference between risks and
    dislikes
  • Curiosity and passion for futures work helps
  • The network is critical
  • Maintain momentum
About PowerShow.com